wsbza

Turning Point?

wsbza Aktualisiert   
FX:USOIL   Rohöl CFD's (WTI)
It might be bit early to call the end of bullish rally since late December 2018. But we could certainly have a count that shows wave (C) of {B} has reached it's peak.
Kommentar:
But the above count does not necessarily mean the start of the multi months bear market, here is an alternative count
Kommentar:
possible Long-term wave count
Kommentar:
Divergence between RSI & Price, but price is still trading above the blue up trend line
Kommentar:
short-term count
Kommentar:
any push above 64.72 would argue either wave 4 or wave 5 is under way
Kommentar:
Kommentar:
break below the blue wave {i} low at 60.04 would indicate wave {iii} decline is under way
Kommentar:
there are two possible bearish counts: either 1-2 or 1-2 plus {i}-{ii}
Kommentar:
Kommentar:
The '1-2' scenario also has two possible counts
flat {b} of 2
triangle {b} of 2
Kommentar:
break below 62.09 ( end of wave (i) of {c} of 2) would indicate blue wave {c} is done
Kommentar:
The '1-2 plus {i}-{ii}' scenario
Kommentar:
Kommentar:
also notice that price has failed number of times to climb back above the uptrend line
Kommentar:
Therefore I think it's less likely to see another wave 5 of (C). A solid close below $60.02 (6 May low) would confirm the above bearish counts.
Kommentar:
is wave 3 ready to explode?
Kommentar:
Short-term count
Kommentar:
daily chart
Kommentar:
we could also assume the 1-2 is one degree higher and count the structure as follows
Kommentar:
Kommentar:
possible short-term counts:
either
or
Kommentar:
Kommentar:
alternative count
Kommentar:
Kommentar:
wave {iv} under way?
Kommentar:
Kommentar:
wave (iv) could be a triangle
Kommentar:
Kommentar:
possible short-term counts:
wave 3 done ( or if 1-2 = (1)-(2), then 3 = 1 of (3) )
Kommentar:
or wave (i)-(ii) of {v}
Kommentar:
immediate break above end of wave {iv} at $53.36 would eliminate the above (i)-(ii) scenario
Kommentar:
Kommentar:
wave 4 or wave 2 of (3)
Kommentar:
Kommentar:
triangle
or flat?
Kommentar:
triangle
or flat
Kommentar:
Kommentar:
{a}-{b}-{c} flat with a diagonal wave {c}?
Kommentar:
Kommentar:
or an impulse wave {c}
Kommentar:
Kommentar:
possible short-term count
Kommentar:
possible short-term count
Kommentar:
either way
Kommentar:
Kommentar:
let's see if guppy ema could trigger the bearish signal
Kommentar:
a solid close below wave (iv) low at $57.73 would also argue wave 2 has reached it's peak
Kommentar:
Kommentar:
break below wave {a}(of 2) high at $54.80 would confirm the above bearish count
Kommentar:
possible short-term count
Kommentar:
key resistance at $58.32 as wave iv should not breach the end of wave i
Kommentar:
possible short-term counts
or
Kommentar:
note the rally from recent low at 56.03 is contained within a parallel channel
Kommentar:
triple zigzag?
Kommentar:
Kommentar:
Need to see an impulsive decline to break below the end of wave x at 57.30
Kommentar:
Kommentar:
alternative count
Kommentar:
possible short-term count
Kommentar:
possible short-term count
Kommentar:
Kommentar:
either pink A-B-C complete (Y) or grey (1)-(2) then {i}-{ii}
Kommentar:
Kommentar:
Note on 11 July, i assumed the following two scenarios:
Bullish A-B-C for wave (Y)
Bearish (1)-(2)
Kommentar:
the bullish count is no longer valid, simply because wave B of a zigzag can never move beyond the start of wave A
Kommentar:
Kommentar:
possible short term counts
Kommentar:
bearish green {i}-{ii}-(i)-(ii)
OR
bullish grey A-B-C flat for wave (2)
Kommentar:
Kommentar:
Kommentar:
Kommentar:
no change
Kommentar:
Complex flat for wave (2)
Simple flat for wave (2)
Kommentar:
OR even a more complex correction for wave (2) , e.g. double three combination where wave Y is a triangle
Kommentar:
Flat
or Combination
Kommentar:
there are some bullish possibilities
or
Kommentar:
medium term expectations
OR

'When you have eliminated the impossible, whatever remains, however improbable must be the truth.'


Email:info@ewc.space
Haftungsausschluss

Die Informationen und Veröffentlichungen sind nicht als Finanz-, Anlage-, Handels- oder andere Arten von Ratschlägen oder Empfehlungen gedacht, die von TradingView bereitgestellt oder gebilligt werden, und stellen diese nicht dar. Lesen Sie mehr in den Nutzungsbedingungen.