Vale Could Be Breaking Out

Brazilian mining stock Vale has lost about one-third of its value since the spring, but now it could be showing signs of a potential turnaround.

The first pattern on today’s chart is the falling trendline along the highs of April and June. VALE broke that resistance early this month and bounced above it last week.

Second, you have a low in mid-July, a lower low in early September and a higher low in late September. Together, those have produced a basing pattern.

Third, prices have managed to turn the 50-day simple moving average (SMA) higher. It initially proved resistance in August and September, but the most recent bounce occurred at the same line. Is intermediate-term direction changing?

Next, last week had a bullish inside candle on the weekly chart.

Fifth, the 8-day exponential moving average (EMA) is back above the 21-day EMA. (This chart includes our 2 MA Ratio custom script.)

Finally, VALE has a new catalyst after saying on Friday it may spin off its copper and nickel divisions into a new company. That would separate the faster-growing metals (with green-energy links) from slower-growing iron ore. Could that excitement boost interest in a company trading for less than 5 times earnings (with a 20 percent dividend yield)?

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