MACRO - DXY
Model Forecast for DXY:
- We expect that DXY will hit 103-104 this impulse wave, likely between Q2-Q4 this year.
- Our model has produced bullish technical signals.
- Fundamentally, the market appears to be transitioning to a new macro quadrant, as growth slows, and inflation rises.
- Investors appear to be complacent, and unprepared for less dovish Monetary Policies. Consensus investors appear to be forward pricing dovish Monetary Policies, and poorly positioned for hawkish or even neutral policy biases.
- We expect that the market will transition to a contraction phase, as inflation rises and growth declines.
- We believe that it is possible that a rapid transition to a stagnation/stagflation, or even a deflation phase is possible, with poor judgement by the Fed.
GLHF,
DPT
Disclaimer:
We absolutely do not provide financial advice in any shape or form. We do not recommend investing based on our opinions and strongly cautions that securities trading and investment involves high risk and that you can lose a lot of money. Loss of principal is possible. We do not recommend risking money you cannot afford to lose. We do not guarantee future performance nor accuracy in historical analyses. We are not registered investment advisors. Our ideas, opinions and statements are not a substitute for professional investment advice. We provide ideas containing impersonal market observations and our opinions. Our speculations may be used in preparation to form your own ideas.
- We expect that DXY will hit 103-104 this impulse wave, likely between Q2-Q4 this year.
- Our model has produced bullish technical signals.
- Fundamentally, the market appears to be transitioning to a new macro quadrant, as growth slows, and inflation rises.
- Investors appear to be complacent, and unprepared for less dovish Monetary Policies. Consensus investors appear to be forward pricing dovish Monetary Policies, and poorly positioned for hawkish or even neutral policy biases.
- We expect that the market will transition to a contraction phase, as inflation rises and growth declines.
- We believe that it is possible that a rapid transition to a stagnation/stagflation, or even a deflation phase is possible, with poor judgement by the Fed.
GLHF,
DPT
Disclaimer:
We absolutely do not provide financial advice in any shape or form. We do not recommend investing based on our opinions and strongly cautions that securities trading and investment involves high risk and that you can lose a lot of money. Loss of principal is possible. We do not recommend risking money you cannot afford to lose. We do not guarantee future performance nor accuracy in historical analyses. We are not registered investment advisors. Our ideas, opinions and statements are not a substitute for professional investment advice. We provide ideas containing impersonal market observations and our opinions. Our speculations may be used in preparation to form your own ideas.
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