Overview: On the 4H BTC/USDT chart, we are observing significant liquidity accumulation at two key levels: 100,000 and 90,000 USDT. These levels are likely to act as magnet zones for price action in the short to mid-term. Based on this, I foresee a potential price movement scenario:
Upside Move: Targeting the liquidity at the 100,000 resistance level. Downside Move: Testing the 90,000 support zone, gathering liquidity below. Correction Completion: Following these moves, the correction may conclude, and the price could initiate a new upward trend. Key Indicators Supporting the Analysis: RSI (Relative Strength Index):
Currently at 49, indicating neutral conditions. Any move above 70 (overbought) or below 30 (oversold) will act as confirmation for the next major swing. MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence):
The MACD line has crossed below the signal line, indicating short-term bearish momentum. A bullish crossover will be a key signal for the upward leg to 100,000. Bollinger Bands:
Price is consolidating near the lower band, showing oversold conditions. A break toward the middle band will confirm the upside target. Volume Analysis:
Volume has spiked during recent sell-offs, confirming liquidity accumulation at lower levels. Watch for volume increase on any breakout above resistance. Support and Resistance Zones:
The price is trading below the 200 EMA, indicating a prevailing bearish trend. A reclaim of this level will confirm a trend reversal. Predicted Scenario: Step 1: Price moves upwards to test the 100,000 resistance level to collect liquidity. Step 2: A retracement occurs, pulling the price down to the 90,000 support zone. Step 3: Post-retest, the price stabilizes and resumes an upward trend, potentially targeting new highs. Key Levels to Watch: Resistance Levels: 97,000, 100,000 Support Levels: 92,000, 90,000, 87,000 Trading Plan: Buy: Consider long positions near 90,000 support with confirmation (RSI oversold, MACD bullish crossover). Sell: Partial profit-taking at 97,000 and major selling near 100,000. Risk Management: Use stop-loss levels below 87,000 for buy positions.
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