TTP Pair CipherPair Cipher can run your hedge pair trading strategy.
Pair cipher can use a spread chart (two assets ratio or difference) to manage a hedge position consisting of two assets: one long and one short position.
Event though the spread chart is used to determine the entries and exits each coin price action is used to calculate floating PNL.
It supports different bot platforms. It's backtestable and can run live.
Features:
- Internal and external entry signal
- In-chart realised PNL plot
- Hedge position floating PNL chart
- Individual floating PNL for each long and short ("show coins" toggle)
- Retracement exit strategy: determine at which retracement factor to exit your position while in profit
- PNL RSI exit strategy: determine at which RSI level crossunder you'd like to exit. RSI is applied to the floating PNL
- Static TP/SL levels
- ATR TP/SL levels with individual factors. When ATR is selected the TP or SL acts as a multiplier of ATR instead.
- On-chart debug labels for alerts
- Intra candle alert: signals can trigger intra candle in this mode, but this mode will cause repainting. Example: if the position goes below SL intra candle, the alert will be sent, but later if it goes in profit before closing the candle, the backtest will continue with the position open. The backtest does NOT have access to the intra candle data. Alert intra candle reduces the risk of not applying SL.
Example of setup:
1) Load an empty 1 hour timeframe chart with the spread BYBIT:REQUSDT.P / BYBIT:REEFUSDT.P
2) Select an investment amount
3) Select TP 1.2 and enable ATR
4) Select SL 1.1 and enable ATR
5) Select RSI profits of crossunder 70
6) Don't enable external signal (you can try with TTP PNR)
7) Select BYBIT:REQUSDT.P as symbol 1
8) Select BYBIT:REEFUSDT.P as symbol 2
Statistics
NSE METRICS Public [ILuvMarkets]This indicator supports the following NSE wide metrics derived from EOD BHAVCOPY.
UP/DOWN VOLUME
UP/DOWN TRADED VALUE
ADVN/DCLN
4% UP/DOWN
NEW HIGHS/LOWS 20D
NEW HIGHS/LOWS 50D
NEW HIGHS/LOWS 100D
NEW HIGHS/LOWS 200D
The metrics can be displayed as NET ( UP - DOWN), ACTUAL VALUE (UP vs. DOWN) or a PERCENTAGE ( UP / (UP + DOWN))
Please use Daily Timeframe for these metrics.
The metrics are updated by an EOD Batch process once NSE BHAVCOPY is available.
Bankruptcy Risk: Altman Z-Score, Zmijewski Score, Grover GThis custom indicator calculates three common bankruptcy risk scores:
Altman Z-Score
Zmijewski Score
Grover G-Score
Altman Z-Score
Companies are in healthy condition if the Z-Score > 2.6.
Companies are in vulnerable conditions and need improvement (grey area) if the score is between 1.1 - 2.6.
Companies have the potential to lead to serious bankruptcy if the Z-Score < 1.1.
Zmijewski Score
The company has the potential to go bankrupt if the value of X Score > 0.
The company is healthy if the value of X Score < 0.
Grover Model: G-Score
The company has the potential to go bankrupt if the G Score ≤ -0.02.
The company is in good health if the value of G Score ≥ 0.001.
The indicator pulls key financial metrics and calculates each score, then displays the results in a table with color-coding based on the level of bankruptcy risk.
Users can toggle between FQ and FY periods and view details on the underlying metrics. This provides an easy way to visualize bankruptcy risk for a company and compare across different scoring models.
Useful for fundamental analysis and assessing financial health.
The financial ratios and methodology are based on research described in
"Analysis of Bankruptcy Prediction Models in Determining Bankruptcy of Consumer Goods Companies in Indonesia" (Thomas et al., 2020).
NIFTY POSITION ScannerTracking the real-time intraday position of NIFTY stocks is the utility of this price action based scanner. The number of stocks in this scanner is 40 due to TradingView's script limit.
The script takes present day's price range of the stocks (stocks of the Index being tracked included in this screener) into account, to hint strength or weakness in the underlying Index (for example: NIFTY here).
The day's price range of a stock is gauged on a scale of 0-100, where 0 is Day's price low and 100 is day's price high.
If a stock is in 90-100 price range section the cell with title "90" illuminates hinting the stock is trading near day's high.
Likewise, if a stock is in 0-10 price range section the cell with title "10" illuminates hinting that the stock is trading near day's low.
The price range of 10-25 is represented in the cell titled "25"
The price range of 75-90 is represented in the cell titled "75"
Only one cell from the day's range illuminates at a time for a stock, signaling the present position of that stock in the Day's range at that instant.
The script works best above 10 second time frame.
Idea: If majority of the heavy weight stocks of the Index being tracked are trading near Day's high the underlying Index must be going strong at that very instant and Vice versa.
Disclaimer: Only for studying Index movement ideas intraday, trading is not advised.
Also check out the other scripts by me.
-- Dr. Vats
Market Performance TableThe Market Performance Table displays the performance of multiple tickers (up to 5) in a table format. The tickers can be customized by selecting them through the indicator settings.
The indicator calculates various metrics for each ticker, including the 1-day change percentage, whether the price is above the 50, 20, and 10-day simple moving averages (SMA), as well as the relative strength compared to the 10/20 SMA and 20/50 SMA crossovers. It also calculates the price deviation from the 50-day SMA.
The table is displayed on the chart and can be positioned in different locations.
Credits for the idea to @Alex_PrimeTrading ;)
S&P Sector PerformanceS&P Sector Performance calculate and display the logarithmic returns of SPX and each S&P Sector for a predefined timeframe or for a custom date.
PCA-Risk IndicatorOBJECTIVE:
The objective of this indicator is to synthesize, via PCA (Principal Component Analysis), several of the most used indicators with in order to simplify the reading of any asset on any timeframe.
It is based on my Bitcoin Risk Long Term indicator, and is the evolution of another indicator that I have not published 'Average Risk Indicator'.
The idea of this indicator is to use statistics, in this case the PCA, to reduce the number of dimensions (indicator) to aggregate them in some synthetic indicators (PCX)
I invite you to dig deeper into the PCA, but that is to try to keep as much information as possible from the raw data. The signal minus the noise.
I realized this indicator a year ago, but I publish it now because I do not see the interest to keep it private.
USAGE:
Unlike the Bitcoin Risk Long Term indicator, it does not make sense to change or disable the input indicators unless you use the 'Average Indicator' function. Because each input is weighted to generate the outputs, the PCX.
I extracted several courses (Bitcoin, Gold, S&P, CAC40) on several timeframes (W, D, 4h, 1h) of Trading view and use the Excel generated for the data on which I played the PCA analysis.
The results:
explained_variance_ratio: 0.55540809 / 0.13021972 / 0.07303142 / 0.03760925
explained_variance: 11.6639671 / 2.73470717 / 1.53371209 / 0.7898212
Interpretation:
Simply put, 55% of the information contained in each indicator can be represented with PC1, +13% with PC2, +7% with PC3, +3% with PC4.
What is important to understand is that PC1, which serves as a thermometer in a way, gives a simple indication of over-buying or over-selling area better than any other indicator.
PC2, difficult to interpret, is more reactive because precedes PC1, but can give false signals.
PC3 and PC4 do not seem relevant to me.
The way I use it is to take PC1 for Risk indicator, and display PC2 with 'Area'. When PC2 turns around and PC1 arrives on extremes, it can be good points to act.
NOTES :
- It is surprising that a simple average of all the indicators gives a fairly relevant result
- With Average indicator as Risk indicator, you can combine the indicators of your choice and see the predictive power with the staining of bars.
- You can add alerts on the levels of your choice on the Risk Indicator
- If you have any idea of adding an indicator, modification, criticism, bug found: share them, it’s appreciated!
---- FR ----
OBJECTIF :
L'objectif de cet indicateur est de synthétiser, via l'ACP (Analyse en Composantes Principales), plusieurs indicateurs parmi les plus utilisés avec afin de simplifier la lecture de n'importe quel actif sur n'importe quel timeframe.
Il est inspiré de mon indicateur 'Bitcoin Risk Long Term indicator', et est l'évolution d'un autre indicateur que je n'ai pas publié 'Average Risk Indicator'.
L'idée de cet indicateur est d'utiliser les statistiques, en l'occurence l'ACP, pour réduire le nombre de dimensions (indicateur) pour les agréger dans quelques indicateurs synthétiques (PCX)
Je vous invite à creuser l'ACP, mais c'est chercher à conserver un maximum d'informations à partir de la donnée brute. Le signal moins le bruit.
J'ai réalisé cet indicateur il y a un an, mais je le publie maintenant car je ne vois pas l'intérêt de le garder privé.
UTILISATION :
Contrairement à 'Bitcoin Risk Long Term indicator', il ne fait pas sens de modifier ou désactiver les indicateurs inputs, sauf si vous utiliser la fonction 'Average Indicator'. Car chaque input est pondéré pour générer les outputs, les PCX.
J'ai extrait plusieurs cours (Bitcoin, Gold, S&P, CAC40) sur plusieurs timeframes (W, D, 4h, 1h) de Trading view et utiliser les Excel généré pour la data sur laquelle j'ai joué l'analyse ACP.
Les résultats :
explained_variance_ratio : 0.55540809 / 0.13021972 / 0.07303142 / 0.03760925
explained_variance : 11.6639671 / 2.73470717 / 1.53371209 / 0.7898212
Interprétation :
Pour faire simple, 55% de l'information contenu dans chaque indicateur peut être représenté avec PC1, +13% avec PC2, +7% avec PC3, +3% avec PC4.
Ce qui faut y comprendre c'est que le PC1, qui sert de thermomètre en quelque sorte, donne une indication simple de zone de sur-achat ou sur-vente mieux que n'importe quel autre indicateur.
PC2, difficile à interpréter, est plus réactif car précède PC1, mais peut donner des faux signaux.
PC3 et PC4 ne me semble pas pertinent.
La manière dont je m'en sert c'est de prendre PC1 pour Risk indicator, et d'afficher PC2 avec 'Region'. Lorsque PC2 se retourne et que PC1 arrive sur des extrêmes, cela peut être des bons points pour agir.
NOTES :
- Il est étonnant de constater qu'une simple moyenne de tous les indicateurs donne un résultat assez pertinent
- Avec Average indicator comme Risk indicator, vous pouvez combiner les indicateurs de vos choix et voir la force prédictive avec la coloration des bars.
- Vous pouvez ajouter des alertes sur les niveaux de votre choix sur le Risk Indicator
- Si vous avez la moindre idée d'ajout d'indicateur, modification, critique, bug trouvé : partagez-les, c'est apprécié !
IU SIP CALCULATORHow This Indicator Script Works:
1. This indicator script calculate the monthly SIP returns of any market over any user defined period.
2. SIP stands for Systematic Investment Plan. It is a way to invest in any asset by regularly investing a fixed amount of money at regular intervals for example Monthly, Weekly, Quarterly etc.
3. This indicator Calculate the following
# Average buy price
# Total quantity hold
# Yearly returns
# Monthly returns
# Total invested amount
# Total profits in amount
# Total portfolio value
# Total returns in per percentage term.
4. This script takes monthly SIP amount, starting month, starting year, ending year, ending month from the user and store the value for calculations.
5. After that it store the open price of every month into an array then it average the array and compare that price with the last month close price.
6. on the bases of this it performs all of the calculations.
7. The script plot every calculation into an table from.
8. It requires monthly chart timeframe for working.
9. The table is editable user can change the color and transparency.
How User Can Benefit From The Script:
1. User can get the past monthly SIP returns of any market he wants to invest this will give him an overview about what to expect from the market.
2. Once user understand the expected returns from the market he can adjust his investment strategy.
3. This help the user to Analyse various stocks and their past performance.
4. User can also short list the best performed stocks.
5. Over all this script will give complete SIP vision of any market.
Crypto Liquidation HeatmapThis indicator is designed to identify potential areas of liquidations, in most crypto assets.
How does it work?
At the core of this indicator, it utilizes Open Interest (a statistic measuring the sum of all open futures positions), which I will refer to as OI.
The script monitors changes in OI, and then correlates these changes to the price action trend to derive an estimation of whether an increase in OI relates to an increase in Shorts or in Longs.
The trend is currently identified by the candle closing direction, therefore a bullish candle with increasing OI, results in the script counting an increase in Long Positions. Whereas a bearish candle and increasing OI, results in an increase of Short Positions.
Following that, the script estimates where these new positions will be liquidated (set either as a manual percentage, or using one of the defined presets).
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
What makes this indicator unique from "Liquidation Levels" scripts, is the the way it groups potential liquidation volumes in segments, creating a cumulative view of liquidity potential - a true heatmap, not simply levels. To further clarify, liquidity within a set range is added to the segment of that range. The settings allow you to set the resolution of the range, according to preference. There is also an Automatic mode (at this moment limited to Bitcoin).
Regular OI Liquidation levels do not combine their volumes when overlapped, nor do they adhere to any ranges - making them scattered and not representative of the true liquidity in that area. This Liquidation Heatmap fixes all of those limitations.
Another unique addition to this Liquidation Heatmap, is my custom three tier color gradients with alpha support (transparency). This function allows a seamless transition of the coloring in liquidation potential from purple (minimum), to blue (medium), to yellow (maximum). This allows a larger range of liquidity identification, along with further aesthetic bonuses.
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
How to use this indicator?
In general, such a tool can be used in numerous ways. It is not a standalone signal, meaning you should always compliment this tool with your own TA and reasoning.
One way of using this tool, is to anticipate that the price will continue on its trend, when you see it moving towards a zone of high liquidity (expecting that liquidity to be taken out).
Another way of using this tool, would be to anticipate a kickback after a liquidation event has taken place, thus returning to the mean.
Kalman MomentumKalman Filter
The Kalman Filter is an algorithm used for recursive estimation and filtering of time-series data. It was developed by Rudolf E. Kálmán in the 1960s and has found widespread applications in various fields, including control systems, navigation, signal processing, and finance.
The primary purpose of the Kalman filter is to estimate the state of a dynamic system based on a series of noisy measurements over time. It operates recursively, meaning it processes each new measurement and updates its estimate of the system state as new data becomes available.
Kalman Momentum Indicator
This indicator implements the Kalman Filter to provide a smoothed momentum indicator using returns. The momentum in this indicator is calculated by getting the logarithmic returns and then getting the expected value.
The Kalman calculation in this indicator is used to filter and predict the next value based on the logarithmic returns expected value.
Here's a simplified explanation of the steps and how they are applied in the Script:
State Prediction: Predict the current state based on the previous state estimate.
Error Covariance Prediction: Predict the covariance of the prediction error.
Correction Step:
Kalman Gain Calculation: Calculate the Kalman gain, which determines the weight given to the measurement.
State Correction: Update the state estimate based on the measurement.
Error Covariance Correction: Update the error covariance.
In this Script, the Kalman Filter is applied to estimate the state of the system, with two state variables.
When the Kalman Momentum is above 0, there is positive momentum or positive smoothed expected value.
When the Kalman Momentum is below 0, there is negative momentum or negative smoothed expected value.
How to Use:
Trend Identification:
Positive values of the Kalman Momentum Indicator indicates positive expected value, while negative values suggest negative expected value.
You can look for changes in the sign of the indicator to identify potential shifts in market direction.
Volatility Analysis:
Observe the behavior of the indicator during periods of high and low volatility. Changes in the volatility of the Kalman Momentum Indicator may precede changes in market conditions.
Filtering Noise:
The Kalman Filter is known for its ability to filter out noise in time series data. Use the Kalman Momentum Indicator to filter out the noise in momentum to catch the trend more clearly.
Squeezes:
At time there may be squeezes, and these are zones with low volatility. What could follow after these zones are expansions and huge trending moves.
Indicator Settings:
You can change the source of the calculations.
There is also a lookback for the log returns.
Understanding Expected Value in Trading:
The Expected Value is a fundamental concept that shows the potential outcomes of a trading strategy or individual trade over a series of occurrences. It is a measure that represents the average outcome when a particular action is repeated multiple times.
Images of the indicator:
Sync Frame (MTF Charts) [Kioseff Trading]Hello!
This indicator "Sync Frame" displays various lower timeframe charts for the asset on your screen!
5 lower timeframe candle charts shown
Timeframes auto-calculated using the new timeframe.from_seconds() function
Heikin-Ashi candles available
Baseline chart type available
Dynamic Scaling for ease of use
User customizable timeframes
Simple script (:
The image above shows the baseline chart type.
Time image above shows a traditional candlestick chart.
The image above shows a hekin-ashi chart.
The image above shows the indicator when nearly zoomed in as much as possible. The lower timeframe charts adjust to my chart positioning.
The image above shows my screen fully zoomed out; the lower timeframe charts adjust in both height and width to accommodate my chart positioning!
Thank you for checking this out (:
Blockchain FundamentalThis indicator is made for traders to harness fundamental blockchain data for better decision-making. Unlike traditional tools, this indicator doesn't depend on standard technical indicators. It offers a novel perspective by focusing on core blockchain metrics like capitalization, miner activity, and other intrinsic data elements. I've designed a distinct scoring logic, exclusive to BF, ensuring it's user-friendly and provides actionable insights for traders at all levels.
Mainly created for Bitcoin , but can be applied to any other crypto assets in cost of losing some metrics in the analysis.
Ethereum chart:
Features:
Customizable Moving Averages:
Choose from an array of moving averages, with the flexibility to adjust the length for a tailored analysis, aiding in pinpointing asset trends.
Blockchain Metrics Integration:
Incorporates a range of blockchain metrics such as Market Cap to Realised Cap ratio, Spent Output Profit Ratio, ATH Drawdown, and more.
Blockchain Metrics Evaluation:
Each metric can be toggled on/off to customize the analysis. Using default settings, traders can use all of the metrics combined.
Every metric is essentially evaluated on a scale from -100 to 100 and then combined with others. If any metric is uncertain about its direction (equals to 0), then the score of it is not accounted in a final calculation.
Kalman Filter:
This indicator offers the option to apply a Kalman filter to the signals, enhancing the smoothness and accuracy of the indicator’s output. This is my approach to mitigate the noise in the final output.
Signal Oscillator:
Displays the aggregated score of all selected blockchain metrics.
Offers visual signals with adjustable upper and lower bounds for easy interpretation based on particular asset observation.
Visual Elements:
Signal Oscillator:
A visual representation of the aggregated blockchain fundamental score.
(White line for a raw calculation, orange line for kalman-filtered one)
Signal Counter:
Displays the count of metrics currently being considered in the fundamental score calculation. (grey line at the middle of an indicator)
Buy/Sell Signal Coloring:
The background color changes to indicate potential buying or selling opportunities based on user-defined bounds.
Usage:
Analysis:
Use the signal oscillator to identify potential market tops and bottoms based on blockchain fundamental data.
Adjust the bounds to customize the sensitivity of buy/sell signals.
Customization:
Enable/disable specific blockchain metrics to tailor the indicator to your analytical needs.
Adjust the moving average type and length for better analysis.
Integration:
Combine with other technical indicators to create a comprehensive trading strategy.
Utilize in conjunction with volume and price action analysis for enhanced decision-making. Every output could be used in traders custom strategies and indicators.
IU Probability CalculatorHow This Script Works:
1. This script calculate the probability of price reaching a user-defined price level within one candle with the help Normal Distribution Probability Table.
2. Normal Distribution Probability Table is use for calculating probability of events, it's very powerful for calculation of probability and this script is fully based on that table.
3. It takes the Average True Range value or Standard Deviation value of past user-defined length bar.
4. After that it take this formula z = ( price_level - close ) / (ATR or Standard Deviation) and return the value for z, for the bearish side it take z = (close - price level) / (ATR or Standard Deviation ) formula.
5. Once we have the z it look into Normal Distribution Probability Table and match the value.
6. Now the value of z is multiple buy 100 in order to make it look in percentage term.
7. After that this script subtract the final value with 100 because probability always comes under 100%
8. finally we plot the probability at the bottom of the chart the red line indicates "The probability of price not reaching that price level", While the green line indicates "Probability of price Reaching that level " .
9. This script will work fine for both of the directions
How This Is Useful For The User:
1. With this script user can know the probability of price reaching the certain level within one candle for both Directions .
2. This is useful while creating options hedging strategies
3. This can be helpful for deciding stop loss level.
4. It's useful for scalpers for managing their traders and it can be use by binary option traders.
IU Average move How The Script Works :
1. This script calculate the average movement of the price in a user defined custom session and plot the data in a table from on top left corner of the chart.
2. The script takes highest and lowest value of that custom session and store their difference into an array.
3. Then the script average the array thus gets the average price.
4. Addition to that the script converter the price pip change into percentage in order to calculate the value in percentage form.
5. This script is pure price action based the script only take price value and doesn't take any indicator for calculation.
6. The script works on every type of market.
7. If the session is invalid it returns nothing
8. The background color, text color and transparency is changeable.
How User Can Benefit From This Script:
1. User can understand the volatility of any session that he/she wish to trade.
2. It can be helpful for understanding the average price moment of any tradeble asset.
3. It will give the average price movement both in percentage and points bases.
4. By understanding the volatility user can adjust his stop loss or take profit with respect his risk management.
Quadratic & Linear Time Series Regression [SS]Hey everyone,
Releasing the Quadratic/Linear Time Series regression indicator.
About the indicator:
Most of you will be familiar with the conventional linear regression trend boxes (see below):
This is an awesome feature in Tradingview and there are quite a few indicators that follow this same principle.
However, because of the exponential and cyclical nature of stocks, linear regression tends to not be the best fit for stock time series data. From my experience, stocks tend to fit better with quadratic (or curvlinear) regression, which there really isn't a lot of resources for.
To put it into perspective, let's take SPX on the 1 month timeframe and plot a linear regression trend from 1930 till now:
You can see that its not really a great fit because of the exponential growth that SPX has endured since the 1930s. However, if we take a quadratic approach to the time series data, this is what we get:
This is a quadratic time series version, extended by up to 3 standard deviations. You can see that it is a bit more fitting.
Quadratic regression can also be helpful for looking at cycle patterns. For example, if we wanted to plot out how the S&P has performed from its COVID crash till now, this is how it would look using a linear regression approach:
But this is how it would look using the quadratic approach:
So which is better?
Both linear regression and quadratic regression are pivotal and important tools for traders. Sometimes, linear regression is more appropriate and others quadratic regression is more appropriate.
In general, if you are long dating your analysis and you want to see the trajectory of a ticker further back (over the course of say, 10 or 15 years), quadratic regression is likely going to be better for most stocks.
If you are looking for short term trades and short term trend assessments, linear regression is going to be the most appropriate.
The indicator will do both and it will fit the linear regression model to the data, which is different from other linreg indicators. Most will only find the start of the strongest trend and draw from there, this will fit the model to whatever period of time you wish, it just may not be that significant.
But, to keep it easy, the indicator will actually tell you which model will work better for the data you are selecting. You can see it in the example in the main chart, and here:
Here we see that the indicator indicates a better fit on the quadratic model.
And SPY during its recent uptrend:
For that, let's take a look at the Quadratic Vs the Linear, to see how they compare:
Quadratic:
Linear:
Functions:
You will see that you have 2 optional tables. The statistics table which shows you:
The R Squared to assess for Variance.
The Correlation to assess for the strength of the trend.
The Confidence interval which is set at a default of 1.96 but can be toggled to adjust for the confidence reading in the settings menu. (The confidence interval gives us a range of values that is likely to contain the true value of the coefficient with a certain level of confidence).
The strongest relationship (quadratic or linear).
Then there is the range table, which shows you the anticipated price ranges based on the distance in standard deviations from the mean.
The range table will also display to you how often a ticker has spent in each corresponding range, whether that be within the anticipated range, within 1 SD, 2 SD or 3 SD.
You can select up to 3 additional standard deviations to plot on the chart and you can manually select the 3 standard deviations you want to plot. Whether that be 1, 2, 3, or 1.5, 2.5 or 3.5, or any combination, you just enter the standard deviations in the settings menu and the indicator will adjust the price targets and plotted bands according to your preferences. It will also count the amount of time the ticker spent in that range based on your own selected standard deviation inputs.
Tips on Use:
This works best on the larger timeframes (1 hour and up), with RTH enabled.
The max lookback is 5,000 candles.
If you want to ascertain a longer term trend (over years to months), its best to adjust your chart timeframe to the weekly and/or monthly perspective.
And that's the indicator! Hopefully you all find it helpful.
Let me know your questions and suggestions below!
Safe trades to all!
Bonsai BX (Backtester)In today's trading landscape, traders need precision and deep analytical tools to navigate the sea of strategies. The Bonsai Backtester is one such tool, meticulously designed to evaluate multiple trading strategies in an integrated manner.
═════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════
🌳 Bonsai BX 🌳 Universal Strategy Testing
📘 Overview
A product of collaboration with the Bonsai community, this backtester is both a reflection of collective insights and a means to provide traders with data-driven insights on TradingView.
📌 Current Backtest
• Dataset: BTCUSD daily candles from Coinbase, starting from March 2015.
• Source Signals: The Bonsai indicator signals are employed for both long and short entries. These are directly visible on the publication chart.
• Trading Assumptions:
• Initial Capital: $1,000
• Maximum Position Size: 10% of equity per trade
• Stop Loss: 10% per position
• Commission: 0.1%
• Slippage: 100 ticks (1.00)
🛠 Key Features
The Bonsai BX is equipped with a range of features aimed at providing traders with a more comprehensive analysis environment:
Features on Chart
• External Indicator Adaptability: Easily incorporate signals from both built-in and custom TradingView indicators.
• Snapshot Table: Delivers on-the-spot insights into crucial strategy performance metrics, including equity, open profit, position size, and entry price. While these details are available in TradingView's 'Performance Summary' panel, we've integrated them directly onto the chart for a more streamlined and accessible viewing experience.
• Trade Labels: Visualize profit metrics for individual trades directly on the chart, allowing for a more immediate grasp of trade outcomes.
• Long & Short Behaviors: Modify long behaviors to either open new long positions while closing short ones, or simply to close short positions. Conversely, for short behaviors, opt to either initiate new short positions while closing any active long ones or simply close long positions.
• Multiple Signals Integration: The tool can currently handle up to three different external signals for long and short trades.
• Condition-based Initiation: Define whether longs and shorts are triggered when 'All Conditions Met' or just 'Any Single Condition Met'. This flexibility allows for a more nuanced trading approach. For example, if you're using a trade signal alongside the RSI, you can specify that a long position should only open when the trade signal is active and the RSI is below 30 at the same time. This lets you combine multiple signals or conditions for more precise trade initiation.
• TP & SL Customization:
• Single TP: Set a specific Take Profit percentage.
• SL: Define a Stop Loss percentage and choose between a standard or trailing stop.
• Trail From: Specify the starting point of the trailing stop, be it the breakeven point or a certain percentage.
• Interface Theme: Users can select between light and dark themes for their interface.
Performance and Trailing
🎛 Using Bonsai BX
1. Add it to your TradingView chart.
2. Adjust script parameters and settings. Integrate external indicator signals as needed.
3. Activate the backtester to refine trading strategies.
Backtester Settings Menu
🪝 Webhook (Beta)
The Webhook functionality, now in beta, augments the Bonsai BX utility. This feature offers a more intuitive method for users to direct webhooks to trading bots, exchanges, and brokers. It simplifies the process by eliminating the need to adjust JSON structures or other payload formats, making alert automation more accessible.
📜 Feedback & Community
The feedback from the Bonsai community has been instrumental in the tool's development and will continue to shape its evolution. As part of our commitment to adaptive, smart trading, this script will continually be updated to meet the ever-changing requirements of traders.
❗️ Disclaimer
Backtesting tools, including the Bonsai BX , simulate trading strategies based on historical data. The following key points should be kept in mind:
1. Past Performance is Not Predictive: While backtesting can offer insights, it's essential to understand that past performance does not guarantee or predict future results. Historical data might not account for future market changes or unforeseen events.
2. External Influences: Market outcomes can be significantly influenced by various external factors like geopolitical events, economic announcements, and sudden shifts in market sentiment. Such factors are often not considered in backtesting simulations.
3. Market Dynamics: Elements like market volatility, liquidity constraints, and slippage can drastically alter expected outcomes. These dynamics might not always be accurately represented in backtest simulations.
4. Limitations of Simulated Trades: Backtesting operates under the assumption that historical trends and patterns will replicate. However, market conditions evolve, and what worked in the past might not necessarily be viable in the future.
5. Informed Decisions: Always base your trading decisions on a mix of comprehensive research, current market analysis, and risk assessment. Relying solely on backtested results can lead to misconstrued perceptions and potential pitfalls.
Trading involves risks, and it's crucial to be fully informed and cautious before making any investment decisions. Always consider seeking advice from financial experts or professionals when in doubt.
[dharmatech] Area Under Yield Curve : USThis indicator displays the area under the U.S. Treasury Securities yield curve.
If you compare this to SP:SPX , you'll see that there are large periods where they are inversely related. Other times, they track together. When the move together, watch out for the expected and eventual divergence.
By default, this indicator will show up in a separate pane. If you move it to an existing pane (e.g. along side SP:SPX ) you'll need to move it to a different price scale.
The area under the yield curve is a quick way to see if the overall yield curve moved up or down. Generally speaking, increasing yields isn't good for markets, unless there is some other stimulus going on simultaneously.
The following treasury securities are used in this calculation:
FRED:DGS1MO (1 month)
FRED:DGS3MO (3 month)
FRED:DGS6MO (6 month)
FRED:DGS1 (1 year)
FRED:DGS2 (2 year)
FRED:DGS3 (3 year)
FRED:DGS5 (5 year)
FRED:DGS7 (7 year)
FRED:DGS10 (10 year)
FRED:DGS20 (20 year)
FRED:DGS30 (30 year)
Tops & Bottoms - Time of Day Report█ OVERVIEW
The indicator tracks and reports the percentage of occurrence of daily tops and bottoms by the time of the day.
█ CONCEPTS
At certain times during the trading day, the market reverses and marks the high or low of the day. Tops and bottoms are vital when entering a trade, as they will decide if you are catching the train or being straight offside. They are equally crucial when exiting a position, as they will determine if you are closing at the optimal price or seeing your unrealized profits vanish.
This indicator is before all for educational purposes. It aims to make the knowledge available to all traders, facilitate understanding of the various markets, and ultimately get to know your trading pairs by heart.
Tops and bottoms percentage of occurrence on EURGBP (London time).
Up days versus down days on EURUSD (London time).
█ FEATURES
Selectable time zones
Present the column chart in your local time zone (or other market participants).
Configurable time range filter
Select the period to report from.
Day type filter
Analyze all days, or filter only up days or down days.
█ HOW TO USE
Plot the indicator and visit the 1-hour or 30-minute timeframe.
█ NOTES
Timeframe choice
The 1-hour timeframe produces a higher number of days sampled. Prefer the usage of the 30-minute timeframe when your market starts at 9:30 AM.
Daylight Saving Time (DST)
The exchange time and geographical time zone options may observe Daylight Saving Time, unlike UTC+0.
Tick Weighted Average Price %BTick Weighted Average Price %B
"TiWAP %B" is an indicator that tracks the NYSE TICK by default and plots price location in relation to the tick weighted average price based only off of extreme TICK movement. NASDAQ TICK is also supported and future updates may add others if they provide value, or if requested.
This utilizes same calculation as TiWAP indicator already published, but removes the need to have it overlaying price to keep things tidy :)
What makes this different?
Quite simply there isn't another indicator that plots weighted average price based on TICK movement as done here, this is showing the correlation between the entire markets volatile price movement and the charted security. It provides a sense of established fair value given the entire NYSE/NASDAQ, given the automated nature of the markets there's a strong correlation between highly liquid ETFs/Indexes and the whole market.
How to use
As price is affected by NYSE the study will reveal location of price as it relates to TiWAP, use location to find reversals from rejections or bounces of standard deviations.
As price is affected by market volatility look to see the weighted price adjust to actual price and combine with other trading strategies to take advantage of the data. Rejections and bounces near standard deviations as well as the weighted average price line can provide excellent trade setups, or they could be utilized in advanced options strategies such as straddles, strangles, iron condors, etc.
Anchor points can be utilized to track how the market is adjusting broad value for the week, month, quarter, etc. The higher timeframe based anchor points will need higher periods for the chart or a max bars lookback error may occur.
Sensitivity should be adjusted as changes in TICK occur, this is commonly correlated with NYSE adjustments but the tooltip provides some guidance on value selection based on current conventional wisdom.
Show Target Level Relation
Turn on "Show Target Level Relation" to observe how current price is moving in relation to previous TiWAP range. For example if %B is configured for session, enabling this feature will reveal price rejecting and reclaim aspects of previous session %B range, works on any anchorage selected so long as resolution permits.
Fill %B As Cloud
By special request, this will render %B as a sentiment cloud which will aid in quick review of price to TiWAP relation being in buy side or sell side ranges, use this to easily spot exhaustion or continuation.
Markets
TICK tracks the entire market and as such whatever the entire market is doing will most likely apply to any individual security charted so give this a shot with anything you trade and let me know your results :)
Usage Conditions
Currently I'm finding the most success with this weighted average price on various intra-day timeframes, but anchored on weekly or higher and utilizing other timeframes may net some interesting swing trading opportunities.
Special thanks to MrChach for the original idea as well as discussions and debugging sessions :)
Monte Carlo Simulation - Your Strategy [Kioseff Trading]Hello!
This script “Monte Carlo Simulation - Your Strategy” uses Monte Carlo simulations for your inputted strategy returns or the asset on your chart!
Features
Monte Carlo Simulation: Performs Monte Carlo simulation to generate multiple future paths.
Asset Price or Strategy: Can simulate either future asset prices based on historical log returns or a specific trading strategy's future performance.
User-Defined Input: Allows you to input your own historical returns for simulation.
Statistical Methods: Offers two simulation methods—Gaussian (Normal) distribution and Bootstrapping.
Graphical Display: Provides options for graphical representation, including line plots and histograms.
Cumulative Probability Target: Enables setting a user-defined cumulative probability target to quantify simulation results.
Adjustable Parameters: Offers numerous user-adjustable settings like number of simulations, forecast length, and more.
Historical Data Points: Option to specify the amount of historical data to be used in the simulation (price).
Custom Binning: Allows you to select the binning method for histograms, with options like Sturges, Rice, and Square Root.
Best/Worst Case: Allows you to show only the best case / worst case outcome (range) for all simulations!
Scatterplot: allows you to show up to 1000 potential outcomes for a specified trade number (or bars forward price endpoint) using a scatter plot.
The image above shows the primary components of the indicator!
The image above shows the best/worst case outcome feature in action!
The image above shows a "fun feature" where 1000 simulated end points for a 15-bar price trajectory are shown as a scatter plot!
How To Perform a Monte Carlo Simulation On Your Strategy
Really, you can input any data into the indicator it will perform a Monte Carlo Simulation on it :D
The following instructions show how to export your strategy results from TradingView to an Excel File, copy the data, and input it into the indicator.
However , you are not limited to following this method!
Wherever your strategy results are stored, simply copy and paste them into the indicator text area in the settings and simulations will begin.
Returns Should Follow This Format
1
3
-3
2
-5
The numbers are presented as a single column. No commas or separators used.
The numbers above are in sequential order. A return of "1" for the first trade and a return of "-5" for the last trade. Your strategy returns will likely be in sequential order already so don't worry too much about this (:
How To Perform a Monte Carlo Simulation On Your TradingView Strategy With Excel Data
Export your strategy returns to an excel file using TradingView
Navigate to your downloads folder to column G "Profit"
Click the column and press CTRL + SPACE to highlight the entire column
Press CTRL + C to copy the entire column
Open this indicator's settings and paste the returns into the text area
The image above illustrates the process!
Notes on Inputting Returns
*Must input your returns without a separate as a vertical list
*The initial text area can only hold so many return values. If your list of trades is large you can input additional returns into two additional text areas at the bottom of the indicator settings.
That should be it; thank you for checking this out!
Xeeder - US Government Bonds AnalysisXeeder - US Government Bonds Analysis (USBA)
The "Xeeder - US Government Bonds Analysis" (USBA) is a comprehensive tool designed to assist traders in analyzing the spread, historical volatility, and correlation between two different U.S. Government Bonds. This indicator is crucial for understanding the relative performance and risk factors between two bond assets.
Details of the Indicator:
Bond Input Settings: This feature allows traders to select two different U.S. Government Bonds from a dropdown list. The bonds range from 1-month to 30-year maturities.
Timeframe Settings: Traders can choose the timeframe for the analysis, such as Daily, Weekly, etc.
Moving Average (MA) Settings: The indicator offers various types of moving averages like SMA, EMA, WMA, etc., for calculating the spread's moving average. Traders can also specify the length of the moving average.
Spread Calculation: The indicator calculates the spread between the selected bonds and plots it on the chart.
Historical Volatility: The indicator calculates and plots the historical volatility of the spread, which is useful for risk assessment.
Correlation Coefficient: This feature calculates the correlation between the two selected bonds over a specified period.
How to Use the Indicator:
Select Bonds: Choose two U.S. Government Bonds from the dropdown list that you are interested in analyzing.
Choose Timeframe: Select the timeframe that aligns with your trading or investment strategy.
Configure MA Settings: Adjust the type and length of the moving average according to your needs.
Analyze Plots: Observe the plotted spread, its moving average, historical volatility, and correlation coefficient to gain insights into the bonds' relative performance and risk factors.
Interpret Data: Use the plotted data to make informed decisions about bond trading or hedging strategies.
Example of Usage:
As a trader focused on swing trading and strategy development, you can use the USBA indicator to:
Select Bonds: Choose bonds that you believe will show significant spread changes based on your macroeconomic and geopolitical analysis.
Adjust Settings: Configure the MA settings to suit your trading strategy.
Analysis and Comparison: Examine the spread, historical volatility, and correlation to identify potential trading opportunities or hedging strategies.
Content Creation: Use the insights gained to write compelling articles on bond market trends, risks, and opportunities, enriching your financial journalism portfolio.
Remember, the USBA indicator is a versatile tool that provides a multi-faceted analysis of U.S. Government Bonds. Always consider your broader trading strategy and market conditions when using this tool.
MeanReversion - LogReturn/Vola ZScoreShows the z-Score of log-return (blue line) and volatility (black line). In statistics, the z-score is the number of standard deviations by which a value of a raw score is above or below the mean value.
This indicator aggregates z-score based on two indicators:
MeanReversion by Logarithmic Returns
MeanReversion by Volatility
Change the time period in bars for longer or shorter time frames. At a daily chart 252 mean on trading year, 21 mean one trading month.
Seasonal Trend by LogReturnSeasonal trend in terms of stocks refers to typical and recurring patterns in stock prices that happen at a specific time of the year. There are many theories and beliefs regarding seasonal trends in the financial markets, and some traders use these patterns to guide their investment decisions.
This indicator calculates the trend by "Daily" logarithmic returns of the past years.
So, you should use this indicator with a "Daily" mainchart.
Note: If you select more years in the past than data is available, the line turns red.
