LIVE #14! THE MOST ACCURATE GOLD FORECAST IN THE WORLD
SUMMARY - This is the 12/18, 15-min bar, 72-hour ultra detailed, CONTINUOUS EVOLVING FORECAST for direction and shape of price action in FX_IDC XAUUSD gold ticker. Continuing from the previous post #006's extrapolation, gold needs the ratios of trends to straighten out for first quarter rally to 2700-2800 that will begin on 01/10//2024. At the same time, if this doesn't happen, the twisting intermediate trends start aiming for 1980 AND LOWER. It just so happens that we are 14 hours from having a perfect perfect set up for this run. This also coincides with Richmond and Atlanta Fed head speeches.
DETAILS - As a warning, the first rule of trading is don't lose money. As a reminder, the second rule of trading is don't forget the first rule. As usual, this MUST be used with continuing notes posted throughout duration of this forecast to supplement - not replace - your trading discipline and risk management. Be aware that there is AN ACTUAL LIMIT on the number updates I can do per post, so I am not going be super detailed. That said, it's been working out anyway. Links for most recent and relevant posts are below for background and how we got here. I recommend that you replay them occasionally as frame of reference, but most importantly, as evidence that legit forecasting help you win day in and day out. And if my forecasts help you make REAL MONEY, help me out by spreading the word to people you know PERSONALLY to keep this thing going. Please hit like/boost button.
DETAILS - As a warning, the first rule of trading is don't lose money. As a reminder, the second rule of trading is don't forget the first rule. As usual, this MUST be used with continuing notes posted throughout duration of this forecast to supplement - not replace - your trading discipline and risk management. Be aware that there is AN ACTUAL LIMIT on the number updates I can do per post, so I am not going be super detailed. That said, it's been working out anyway. Links for most recent and relevant posts are below for background and how we got here. I recommend that you replay them occasionally as frame of reference, but most importantly, as evidence that legit forecasting help you win day in and day out. And if my forecasts help you make REAL MONEY, help me out by spreading the word to people you know PERSONALLY to keep this thing going. Please hit like/boost button.
Kommentar:
12/19, 8:23 AM ET 2032.XX
a) one more check down ahead of noon is likely
b) 2 fed speakers are 9:30 and 12:30
c) they maybe catalysts or not, but regression mapping show
d) bulls own the rest of Tuesday and all Wednesday
a) one more check down ahead of noon is likely
b) 2 fed speakers are 9:30 and 12:30
c) they maybe catalysts or not, but regression mapping show
d) bulls own the rest of Tuesday and all Wednesday
Kommentar:
9:52 2039.xx in my car
1) it's moving early
2) so it wants to finish this move in 36 hours or less
3) I'm about to be at hospital
4) for 2days
1) it's moving early
2) so it wants to finish this move in 36 hours or less
3) I'm about to be at hospital
4) for 2days
Kommentar:
5) 9:25 AM 2044.xx so we are early for this forecast
6) but late for last one, replay it:
6) but late for last one, replay it:
Kommentar:
7) in the end, this is a CONTINUOUSLY EVOLVING FORECAST...
8) I'm only adding a few notes until late Wed or early Thursday
9) use your discipline and risk management
8) I'm only adding a few notes until late Wed or early Thursday
9) use your discipline and risk management
Kommentar:
1:04 PM 2039.XX moving next for 2061, before midnight.
Kommentar:
Kommentar:
3:37 PM still 2039.xx when we get 2061 is sort of a big deal
1) if we hit that BEFORE OR AROUND 10 PM ET TONIGHT
2) first it would retrace to ROUGHLY 2040 ( or 45 or whatever)
3) after which, odds of HITTING AND REJECTION AT 2093 by 8 AM ET is a coin flip
1) if we hit that BEFORE OR AROUND 10 PM ET TONIGHT
2) first it would retrace to ROUGHLY 2040 ( or 45 or whatever)
3) after which, odds of HITTING AND REJECTION AT 2093 by 8 AM ET is a coin flip
Kommentar:
12/20 1:55 AM ET... SHOULD BE AT 2060 NOW, BUT INSTEAD CHECKED 2036 TWICE AND NOW STUCK AT 2041...
a) there is no doubt we move for 2061 next
b) the problem is what next means...
d) and the trap set following 2061
e) and then Christmas is Monday
f) so then 12/26 we would still be at around 2050 again with 9 trading days to straighten it all out..
g) you are asking for miracles now...
a) there is no doubt we move for 2061 next
b) the problem is what next means...
d) and the trap set following 2061
e) and then Christmas is Monday
f) so then 12/26 we would still be at around 2050 again with 9 trading days to straighten it all out..
g) you are asking for miracles now...
Kommentar:
h) and by the way, THAT INCLUDES THE 26TH bc New Years Day is a Monday, too
i) the sick part of this is... had we not moved early yesterday...
j) there would be no trap...
k) but since we moved early AND STALLED... now there's a trap
i) the sick part of this is... had we not moved early yesterday...
j) there would be no trap...
k) but since we moved early AND STALLED... now there's a trap
Kommentar:
l) so what? so...
1) we are moving for 2061 in very slow drag fashion...
2) this can take all of today and thursday....
3) then rug pull to I don't know what...
4) that would be friday
5) then we will see what miracle we will need on the 26th to make up for 5 lost trading days
1) we are moving for 2061 in very slow drag fashion...
2) this can take all of today and thursday....
3) then rug pull to I don't know what...
4) that would be friday
5) then we will see what miracle we will need on the 26th to make up for 5 lost trading days
Kommentar:
6) it would be $100 move in one 24-hours type of situation
7) and yes, I have tools to nail the move if it happens
8) but you are asking for a miracle setup to fall into place
7) and yes, I have tools to nail the move if it happens
8) but you are asking for a miracle setup to fall into place
Kommentar:
4:17 AM ET 2042.XX
9) hit 2060 about 8-9 AM... AND MAYBE... we can avoid a trap
10) can we have a valid setup now, but not a strong one
11) I would be surprised if there's follow through
9) hit 2060 about 8-9 AM... AND MAYBE... we can avoid a trap
10) can we have a valid setup now, but not a strong one
11) I would be surprised if there's follow through
Trade wurde manuell geschlossen:
6:47 AM 2032.XX so bulls lost 2061 setup
a) and all of a sudden everything is possible
b) this post is dead
c) we are looking at 1920-2150 range to close the year
a) and all of a sudden everything is possible
b) this post is dead
c) we are looking at 1920-2150 range to close the year
Kommentar:
12//21 12:24 PM ET PRICE BEEN SWINGING A LOT?
a) notice how price has been VERY ZIG-ZAG?
b) that's bc of explosion of short term to intermediate term vol
c) intermediate to long term vol has been doing the opposite, furiously collapsing
d) so zone that looked like 1920-2150 is going to drop to 2100 and 2020 by 01/03/24
e) and shrinks all the way to 2060 to 2030 BY 01/10
f) but daily vol CONTINUES TO GROW ALL THE WAY THROUGH...
g) that means you get something like this:
a) notice how price has been VERY ZIG-ZAG?
b) that's bc of explosion of short term to intermediate term vol
c) intermediate to long term vol has been doing the opposite, furiously collapsing
d) so zone that looked like 1920-2150 is going to drop to 2100 and 2020 by 01/03/24
e) and shrinks all the way to 2060 to 2030 BY 01/10
f) but daily vol CONTINUES TO GROW ALL THE WAY THROUGH...
g) that means you get something like this:
Kommentar:
Kommentar:
h) so the bulls' answer to the bears' trap after 2061 is ...
i) STRETCH IT ALL THE WAY OUT TO 12//27-28
j) this also means at 2042 right now.. your trading zone for the entire next week is 2030-2060 and there's won't be anything going on until
k) 12/28-29 when price from what looks like 2035 to 2095 to 01/02
l) then you get a week of price SWINGING MASSIVELY the daily time frame before settling down 01/09
i) STRETCH IT ALL THE WAY OUT TO 12//27-28
j) this also means at 2042 right now.. your trading zone for the entire next week is 2030-2060 and there's won't be anything going on until
k) 12/28-29 when price from what looks like 2035 to 2095 to 01/02
l) then you get a week of price SWINGING MASSIVELY the daily time frame before settling down 01/09
Kommentar:
m) so this channel is going to be useful until then:
Kommentar:
n) route above assume some flux in vol patterns
o) if you assume no more surprises, you get this:
o) if you assume no more surprises, you get this:
Kommentar:
p) dark blue route would be obvious bc of the pennant
Kommentar:
12/21 AND HERE IS NEXT ONE:
a) yeah, yeah it is
b) how can this be invalidated?
c) if bears want to stop this move, price needs to go straight to 2000 now
d) and by now, I mean Sunday night
e) it's very late for bears to stop this move
f) it's also very late for bulls to aim past 2280 in Q1
g) make this move though, and the sky's the limit for March 8th, 2024