RealMacro

CRB Commodity Index on the verge of a 13 year Major Breakout

Long
TVC:TRJEFFCRB   Thomson Reuters/CoreCommodity CRB Index
I have been harping on commodities for a long time now. Way before they even made their move.
While I am still not in the inflation camp in terms of the way CPI . I am very much in the camp that
commodities will continue to soar till the market cracks. Excessive deficits that lead to excessive
savings will lead to money flows causing commodities to soar.

Back on March 16th, I posted WHAT IS DRIVING INFLATION FEARS?

As you can see commodities are leading the 10 years yield higher.


As posted before on Feb 24th, commodities were at a key area and hitting resistance and possibly
topping.

Since then we have broken out and now in open waters, for commodities to run much further.

I will keep saying it. No Govt can print value for a currency Govt can only create digits. It is
up to the private sector's ability to keep up with digit growth in order for the digits to be valued.
That is not possible when deficits are 30% ($6 trillion) to Real GDP. therefore asset price inflation
is inevitable. We have seen it thus far in stocks, bonds, real estate, and now commodities that are
on the verge of exploding. While the FED says we see no inflation, Fiscal policy, QE , ZIRP are not to
blame. Many highly followed "financial, Macro, Economic experts" on social media have echoed that
sentiment. I have adamantly disagreed with them publicly! I will let you be the judge as to who is right.

More supporting charts

Sugar is sweet

DBA CORN FOOD INFLATION


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