ryanabbott

SPX in terms of gold, testing long term trend line

Long
The unprecedented rise in stocks despite worrying earnings from the broad market could have a few explanations. Likely the reason for the "bubble" in the price of the S&P 500 is the intervention of the Fed. By looking at an SPX/GC1! chart, we can see the market with a lack of devaluation of the dollar. The market is in a converging triangle that will determine its course for the next year. My favored outcome is a current rejection of the trend line with the price of gold breaking down and pushing the market higher. Each time the SPX/GC1! price has touched the trend line, it has resulted in a parabolic upward move in the S&p 500. Thus, I am bullish in the short term for the broad market, and bearish for gold in the short term. These opinions will remain unless the price breaks through the trend line, or until it reaches the top of the forming triangle.
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