27 Feb ’24 — Nifty fights it out and resolves on the upside
Nifty Analysis - Stance Bullish ⬆️
Recap from yesterday: “Ideally, we should expect the leg2 to start soon, but the premiums are not indicative. Also, we have the monthly expiry this week and things could get a bit volatile before we find a clear trend.”
4mts chart
Nifty50 would have given enough choppiness for those bullish today to test your courage. But N50 ended up defending yesterday’s low and resolved on the upside. We started the day gap-down, but we did not have enough momentum to break the swing low. And by the 3rd candle, we went into the green territory. From there we had one more attempt to go underwater i.e. from 11.39 to 12.11 - but this attempt was quickly bought into. Interestingly, N50 took this as the reversal point and then started climbing steadily. On the 4 minutes chart, it formed a nice 2-legged upmove.
On the higher time frame, the ATH is the only thing that stands in the way of the Bulls. Whereas, Bears have 2 to 3 tasks to do to get the scale tipped in their favor. They need to take out the 22051 and 21913 support levels, which is only possible if we have a macro level bad news. Banks are the only sector that could give away such an opportunity. Already the FIIs are not so happy with the future prospects of the financial sector in India. A small trigger could set the ball rolling and before long it could become an avalanche. What we can do is wait for more clarity to appear and then play along. As of now, we wish to play bullish on Nifty and neutral on BankNifty.
63mts chart
Recap from yesterday: “Ideally, we should expect the leg2 to start soon, but the premiums are not indicative. Also, we have the monthly expiry this week and things could get a bit volatile before we find a clear trend.”
4mts chart
Nifty50 would have given enough choppiness for those bullish today to test your courage. But N50 ended up defending yesterday’s low and resolved on the upside. We started the day gap-down, but we did not have enough momentum to break the swing low. And by the 3rd candle, we went into the green territory. From there we had one more attempt to go underwater i.e. from 11.39 to 12.11 - but this attempt was quickly bought into. Interestingly, N50 took this as the reversal point and then started climbing steadily. On the 4 minutes chart, it formed a nice 2-legged upmove.
On the higher time frame, the ATH is the only thing that stands in the way of the Bulls. Whereas, Bears have 2 to 3 tasks to do to get the scale tipped in their favor. They need to take out the 22051 and 21913 support levels, which is only possible if we have a macro level bad news. Banks are the only sector that could give away such an opportunity. Already the FIIs are not so happy with the future prospects of the financial sector in India. A small trigger could set the ball rolling and before long it could become an avalanche. What we can do is wait for more clarity to appear and then play along. As of now, we wish to play bullish on Nifty and neutral on BankNifty.
63mts chart
