EUR/USD Surges to New Highs Amid US Dollar Weakness

5. Aug.

The EUR/USD pair extended its rally early Monday, reaching its highest level since March at approximately 1.0970. Disappointing labor market data from the US caused a significant selloff of the US Dollar (USD) during the American session on Friday. Nonfarm Payrolls in the US increased by 114,000 in July, falling well short of the market expectation of 175,000, and the Unemployment Rate rose to 4.3% from 4.1% in June. In response to the July jobs report, the CME FedWatch Tool indicates that markets are nearly fully pricing in a 50 basis point Federal Reserve (Fed) rate cut in September. The technical outlook for EUR/USD shows overbought conditions, suggesting that the pair may continue to rise toward the next supply area around 1.1033, where a price reversal is possible. It will be crucial to monitor the COT report in that area. We are planning to place a pending order in anticipation of this movement.

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