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EUR/HUF 1H Chart: Surge after breakout

Short
FX_IDC:EURHUF   EURO / HUNGARIAN FORINT
The Euro continues to strengthen against the Hungarian Forint since hitting a medium-term channel at 317.00 early in June. This appreciation has been bounded in a more junior channel which has guided the pair out of the senior channel. At the time of this analysis, the Euro was testing the 327.00 mark – its highest level in several years.

Technical indicators have been located in the overbought territory for two weeks, as well as they are starting to converge with the price level. These signals allow to make an assumption that a correction south could follow soon.

Bullish gains should be capped near the monthly R3 at 330.00, thus allowing bears to dominate in the market for a week or two. The nearest support of significance is the 55– and 100-period (4H) SMAs and a channel line circa 322.00. Technical indicators on the 1D chart suggest that this decline might actually prevail for a longer period of time, thus setting the 3.16 level as a possible target for mid-August.
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