It doesn't seem to have the strength for a meaningful breakout. On the contrary, this time it touches 15.5k, without a breakout we may see bitcoin instead seeking support. This also forms a triple top.
If it goes down to the lower end of the range, bitcoin will also touch its mid-term (since Nov). I'd expect it to gather enough strength to break out of the current range and above 16k.
On the other hand, if it falls below the , we'll be seeing 9k again. Although I think 2:1 odds this won't happen (maybe even higher).