BTC - Institutional Cost Corridor (Overlay)BTC - Institutional Cost Corridor | RM
Strategic Context
The approval of Spot Bitcoin ETFs on January 11, 2024, signaled the beginning of the "Institutional Era." Since then, price discovery has shifted from being purely retail-driven to being heavily influenced by massive, off-chain equity flows.
The Institutional Cost Corridor is an approach for a quantitative tool designed to solve the problem of "Institutional Blindness" by mapping the aggregate cost basis of Wall Street's entry. It allows for the identification of structural "gravity zones" where institutional capital is most likely to move from a state of profit into a state of defense.
The Methodology: Data Selection & Weighting
To ensure the output is statistically significant, the data engine focuses exclusively on the "Big 3" liquidity providers: BlackRock (IBIT), Fidelity (FBTC), and Bitwise (BITB). These three funds represent over 80% of total Spot ETF liquidity. A weighted ratio is applied (prioritizing BlackRock) to reflect the reality that a dollar flowing into IBIT has a significantly higher impact on market structure than a dollar in smaller, fragmented funds. This ensures the indicator follows the actual mass of institutional capital.
Recalculating the Shadow: Nominal Price & AUM
A common point of confusion is that Bitcoin ETFs have a completely different nominal price than Bitcoin itself (e.g., an IBIT share may trade at $50 while BTC is at $100,000). To solve this, the script does not look at the dollar price of the shares. Instead, it uses Assets Under Management (AUM) and Relative Performance Mapping . By calculating the percentage growth of the funds' underlying value since inception and projecting that growth onto the Bitcoin price axis, the script "re-scales" the institutional entry levels. This allows us to see exactly where Wall Street is "underwater" on a standard Bitcoin chart.
The Mathematical Foundations: Genesis vs. Anchored
The indicator utilizes two distinct mathematical approaches to triangulate the "Truth" of institutional positioning. These are not arbitrary assumptions, but forward-mapped models verified against professional financial benchmarks.
1. Conservative Floor (Genesis Mode)
• The Logic: This model uses a Cumulative Inflow VWAP . It treats every dollar that has entered the ETFs since Day 1 as part of a single, massive ledger.
• Scientific Justification: This approach maps to the "Fortress Zone" of early, high-conviction capital. Historical AUM performance data suggests that the largest influx of structural capital occurred during the launch phase of 2024. This logic identifies the Ultimate Floor —the level where the entire ETF cohort would flip to a net loss. In late 2025 research (e.g., Glassnode "True Market Mean"), this model consistently aligns with the deepest structural support of the bull cycle.
2. Wall Street Entry (Anchored Mode)
• The Logic: This model utilize a Relative Performance Anchor . It synchronizes the Bitcoin price on Launch Day with the growth performance of the ETF fund shares.
• Scientific Justification: This approach identifies the "Active Participant Basis." It reflects the entry price for the capital that fueled the most recent expansion cycles. It maps directly to the "Active Investors' Realized Price" cited by institutional research firms, identifying the immediate psychological "pain threshold" for the current market majority.
3. Institutional Mean (Hybrid Mode)
• The Logic: A 50/50 mathematical blend of the Conservative Floor and the Wall Street Entry .
• Justification: This is the "Equilibrium Zone." It serves as a neutral baseline by balancing early-stage "Genesis" conviction with late-cycle volatility. It represents the median cost basis of all current institutional holders.
4. The Shadow Corridor (Full Range)
• The Logic: Visualizes the entire spread between the Conservative Floor and the Wall Street Entry.
• Justification: The "Structural Support Cloud." Instead of a single price, it defines a regime . As long as Bitcoin remains above this cloud, the institutional trend remains in an "Expansion Phase." A re-entry into this corridor suggests a transition from a trending market into a value-accumulation phase.
Tactical Playbook: Scenario Logic
The Shadow Corridor (Full Range) visualizes the area between these two models, creating an "Institutional War Zone."
• Active Support Test: When price tests the Wall Street Entry (upper boundary), it indicates the active institutional majority is at breakeven. Expect significant defensive buying (bids) as funds protect their yearly performance reports.
• Deep Value Regime: Trading inside the Corridor is defined as a "Value Regime." This is where institutional accumulation historically absorbs retail capitulation.
• The Premium Trap: When the distance between price and the Corridor exceeds 35-40%, the market is "speculatively overextended," signaling a high probability of mean-reversion.
• Macro Breakdown: A Weekly (1W) candle closing below the Conservative Floor (lower boundary) signals a structural trend shift, indicating the majority of ETF-era capital is officially in a drawdown.
Operational Recommendation Best viewed on the Daily (1D) timeframe for macro structural analysis, providing the most reliable signal for institutional defense zones.
Tags: bitcoin, btc, etf, blackrock, ibit, institutional, cost-basis, vwap, macro, cycle, realized-price, Rob Maths
Indikatoren und Strategien
BTC Valuation ZonesBTC Valuation – Distance From 200 MA
This indicator provides a simple but powerful Bitcoin valuation framework based on how far price is from the 200-period Moving Average, a level that has historically acted as Bitcoin’s long-term equilibrium.
Instead of predicting tops or bottoms, this tool focuses on mean-reversion behavior:
When price deviates too far above the 200 MA → risk increases
When price deviates deeply below the 200 MA → long-term opportunity increases
MA150 Respect Ratio (ATR-adjusted)This indicator measures how reliably price respects the 150-day moving average as support.
It computes an empirical probability (Respect Ratio) based on historical interactions with MA150:
– Dynamic touch tolerance based on ATR
– Optional shallow breaks allowed (user-defined)
– Trend filter (MA150 rising + price above)
– Minimum event count for statistical reliability
The output is a probability score (0–1) indicating how often MA150 held as support when tested.
This tool is intended for research and decision support, not as a standalone trading signal.
Cantillon Clean Moving Averages [Free]Overview Standard Moving Averages are static. The Cantillon Clean MA is dynamic. It automatically changes color based on price interaction, giving you an instant visual read on the trend health of the Short (20), Medium (50), and Long (200) term flows.
Features
Dynamic Coloring: Green when Bullish, Red when Bearish.
Smart Weighting: Uses Exponential Moving Averages (EMA) to react faster than standard SMAs.
Crossover Signals: Subtle "X" markers when the short-term trend flips.
Want the Real Institutional Trend? Moving averages lag. To track the True Institutional Cost Basis (Anchored VWAP) and statistical reversal points, you need the Cantillon Terminal .
Optimized Options Day Trading Script -Anurag Dec20-2025This indicator is a specialized Multi-Timeframe Trend & Regime System designed specifically for intraday trading on SPY, QQQ, and SPX. It is optimized for high-volatility execution (like 0DTE) by filtering out "choppy" low-probability conditions before they happen.
Unlike standard indicators that only look at the current chart, this script runs a background check on the 15-Minute Timeframe
Offset Bollinger Bandsbollinger band offset by 10 period. Appied on daily time frame for entry and exit
Performance with Okuninushi Line Area Determinations**Performance Indicator with Market Structure Analysis**
Building upon TradingView's official Performance indicator, I've added a custom column to assess current market structure using my Okuninushi Line methodology, which visualizes the AB structure concept.
**What is the AB Structure?**
The AB structure identifies equilibrium levels based on recent price action. The Okuninushi Line calculates the 50% midpoint between the highest high and lowest low over a specified lookback period. In this implementation, I use a 65-day period on the daily timeframe (representing one quarter: 13 weeks × 5 trading days), though this is fully customizable.
**Market Structure Classification:**
- **Above Okuninushi Line** → "upper to okuni" → Price is in the **Premium Area** (bullish structure)
- **Below Okuninushi Line** → "down to okuni" → Price is in the **Discount Area** (bearish structure)
This additional column provides an instant visual reference for whether each asset is currently trading above or below its equilibrium level, complementing the traditional performance metrics with structural context.
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Pre-Market + Daily + Weekly REGULAR HOURS 📦 Pre-Market + Daily + Weekly RTH Range Boxes
This indicator automatically plots Pre-Market, Daily, and Weekly range boxes based strictly on US Regular Trading Hours (RTH).
What it does:
Pre-Market Box (04:00–09:30)
Captures the full pre-market high and low, then projects the range forward from the RTH open.
Daily RTH Box (09:30–16:00)
Tracks the previous day’s regular session high and low and plots the range starting at 04:00 AM the next day.
Weekly RTH Box (Mon–Fri, 09:30–16:00)
Accumulates the full weekly RTH range and plots it at 04:00 AM on Monday.
Session Breakout TrackerThis indicator identifies breakout opportunities when price breaks previous session ranges, tracking 4 distinct breakout chains:
Asia → London (Primary Asia breakout during London session)
London → NY (London breakout during NY session)
NY → Asia (NY breakout during next Asia session)
Asia → NY* (Fallback Asia breakout during NY if Chain 1 had no breakout)
For each breakout, it measures the maximum distance price travels before hitting your defined stop-loss, providing exact pip/point calculations.
Features :
Automatic session detection (Asia: 18:00-03:00, London: 03:00-12:00, NY: 12:00-18:00 NYT)
Complete session range tracking - high/low for each session
Session level plotting with adjustable transparency
User Inputs :
Adjustable pip multiplier (0.0001 for Forex, 0.01 for JPY pairs)
Customizable stop-loss distance in pips
Toggle labels/table/session levels independently
Adjustable session duration for optimizing strategies and back testing
ORB FX REPLAY - FINAL SAFEHere is the description in English, written to sound professional and meet all the requirements for publishing on TradingView:
Script Description:
Title: ORB Strategy Backtest Pro - Ultra Compatibility
Description: This is an Opening Range Breakout (ORB) strategy specifically designed for professional backtesting. It is optimized to run smoothly on external platforms like FX Replay and TradingView's replay mode.
Key Features:
Custom Session: Automatically calculates the High and Low of a specific time window (default: 10:00 - 10:15 Bucharest/GMT+2).
Impulse Confirmation: Features a "Min Impulse" filter to ensure entries happen on strong momentum, avoiding "fake-outs" near the range boundaries.
Hard Target Management: Designed for "Set & Forget" backtesting. Once a trade is triggered, the script tracks it until it hits either the Stop Loss (SL) or the final Take Profit 3 (TP3).
Visual Projections: Draws clear, real-time lines for Entry, SL, and TP3 on the chart for easy visual tracking.
Automated Statistics: Includes a dynamic label system that tracks Total Trades, Win Count, and Loss Count based on the TP3/SL logic.
Optimized Code: Built using Pine Script v5 with a focus on stability and compatibility, avoiding complex tables that often cause errors on external engines.
Continuous Round Number LevelsWhat the Indicator Does:
This indicator draws red horizontal lines on the chart at every round price level – that is, prices ending with 00, 000, or other round numbers according to the roundStep setting.
How It Works:
The indicator checks the visible price range on the chart, based on the number of bars defined (lookbackBars).
It calculates the nearest round price levels within this range – both the lowest and highest visible prices.
For each round level within the range, it creates a red horizontal line that extends both forward and backward across the chart (extend.both).
The lines update automatically when you scroll the chart or when the market price changes, so you always see the relevant round levels.
Benefits:
Provides a clear visual of round number levels, which often act as natural support or resistance zones in trading.
Lines are visible across the entire chart, making it easy to see where price may pause or reverse.
Adjustable for different assets by changing the roundStep.
Real-time updating ensures the lines always match the visible price range.
In short, this indicator makes it easy to identify natural support and resistance levels visually, with continuous lines across the chart, helping you make more precise trading decisions.
If you like, Your Majesty, I can also create an advanced version with Decision Zones around each round level, so you have safe entry zones for trades rather than just a single line.
Do you want me to do that?
Highs & LowsIntroduction: This indicator marks highs and lows from the previous New York, Asian, and London sessions, including the daily high and low. It is made to be as user friendly/adjustable as possible.
It was designed around trading during the New York morning session, using the 1 hour and 1 minute(or similar) timeframes in conjunction.
Settings: Common settings for the cleanest viewing are as follows:
1 Hour Chart Settings:
Box #3 "Label Vertical Offset" to "18".
Box #4 "Label X Offset" to "2".
1 Minute Chart Settings:
Box #3 "Label Vertical Offset" to "2".
Box #4 "Label X Offset" to "0".
Note: Adjusting text to the darkest "black" setting may provide the best contrast.
MSO - Market Stress Oscillator [WavesUnchained]MSO - Market Stress Oscillator
Bidirectional stress oscillator built on WVF + Z-score, with JMA/ADX filters, regime bias, and validated follow-through. Designed to expose downside panic vs upside euphoria and measure whether the market accepts or rejects each stress event.
Quick Setup
- Stress Color Mode : Intuitive (Downside=green, Upside=red) or Technical (classic colors).
CORE CONCEPT
- Downside stress : price flushes below WVF baseline (panic)
- Upside stress : price stretches above WVF baseline (euphoria)
- Stress is normalized via Z-score for cross-asset/timeframe robustness
ENGINE (BI-WVF + Z-SCORE)
- WVF Long and Short computed separately (panic vs euphoria)
- Z-score window normalizes extremes
- Thresholds are TF-aware (15m / 1h / 4h / D / W / M)
QUALITY FILTERS
- JMA trend filter (slope-based, low-lag)
- ADX minimum for trend strength
- Min Extreme Duration to avoid 1-bar noise
- Cooldown to prevent signal clustering
ACCEPT / REJECT LOGIC
- Events are evaluated after reactBars (forward follow-through)
- Accepted : follow-through >= minFollowATR
- Rejected : follow-through < minFollowATR
- Scores (0..1) optionally plotted as acceptance strength
BIAS / REGIME CONTEXT
- Bias line : zL - zS (who dominates)
- Bias band : regime threshold (only meaningful outside band)
- HTF Wind : higher-timeframe bias flip (JMA smoothed)
- Clarity Label : regime entry aligned with HTF + absBias threshold
VISUALIZATION
- Stress Lines : Red = downside stress (panic), Green = upside stress (euphoria)
- Bias Line : zL - zS (who dominates). Neutral inside band, colored outside.
- Bias Band : regime threshold. Fill shows when bias is usable.
- Zones : boxes at peak events (history preserved, FIFO capped)
- Chart Labels : DA/DR/UA/UR (or LA/LR/SA/SR) at peaks
- Lines : reaction window + peak level lines (FIFO capped)
STRESS COLOR MODE
- Intuitive : Downside stress = green, Upside stress = red (opportunity mapping)
- Technical : Downside stress = red, Upside stress = green (classic convention)
- This setting is visual only ; logic, bias, and signals are unchanged
HOW TO USE
1. Read the stress lines : red spikes = panic risk, green spikes = euphoria risk.
2. Check bias : outside the band = usable regime; inside = noise.
3. Use DA/DR/UA/UR :
- DA/UA = stress accepted (follow-through confirmed)
- DR/UR = stress rejected (weak follow-through)
4. Add HTF wind : prefer signals aligned with HTF bias.
5. Tune presets by TF; use manual TF override for testing.
PRESETS & UI
- Full TF preset table (15m / 1h / 4h / D / W / M)
- Manual TF override for testing
- Preset summary panel (optional)
LOGGING (CSV)
- Pivot and stress logs for validation
- Early/First-pivot classification options
- Label IDs included for chart-to-log tracing
BEST USE CASES
- Panic/euphoria detection with follow-through validation
- Regime-aware context (bias + HTF wind)
- Multi-timeframe stress mapping (15m to Weekly)
Version: 1.0.0
Author: WavesUnchained
Pine Script: v6
Educational use only. Test thoroughly before live trading.
King Trade 4-hour buy/sell strategyThis is a buy/sell system for 4-hour candlestick charts. For best results, use it on Heiken Ashi candlestick charts.
Rango Pre-Apertura (8am-9am)Overview
This indicator is specifically designed for the index trading community, with a focus on US30 (Dow Jones). It centers on the concepts of "Capital Injection" and "Opening Traps," automatically identifying the most critical liquidity levels prior to the New York Open (09:30 AM EST).
Indicator Logic
The script operates on the premise that the range formed between 08:00 AM and 09:00 AM EST acts as a key accumulation or manipulation zone before the official session. By marking these levels, traders can visualize where institutional algorithms are likely to seek liquidity before the day’s primary expansive move begins.
Key Features
08:00 - 09:00 AM Range: Automatically calculates and projects the exact High and Low of this pre-market window.
Previous Day Levels (PDH/PDL): Identifies the Previous Day High and Low as primary zones for External Liquidity (BSL/SSL).
Visual Clarity: Lines are projected only until 01:00 PM EST to keep the chart clean for post-session analysis.
Professional Styling: Uses non-continuous plots to avoid visual noise and diagonal line "bleeding" between trading days.
How to Trade with this Script
Mapping: Identify whether the price opens above or below the 8:00 AM range.
The Trap: Look for liquidity sweeps (Stop Runs) of the marked lines exactly at 09:30 AM.
Confirmation: Combine this indicator with price action to detect "Force Invalidations" (Engulfing patterns) at H1 or H4 Points of Interest (POI).
RVOL Text This script will give you the Relative volume at the time in a numbered text on your charts.
Simple ATR Volatility Context v1.0This indicator provides a simple visual view of market volatility using ATR expressed as a percentage of price. It is designed to help identify when a market transitions from low-activity (compression) to higher-activity (expansion).
What it does
Calculates ATR as a percentage of price
Highlights the chart when volatility exceeds a user-defined threshold
Helps distinguish between quiet markets and trade-worthy conditions
How to use it
Green background indicates elevated volatility
Neutral / muted background indicates low volatility
Use alongside your own trend, structure, or entry tools
What this is not
Not a buy or sell signal
Not predictive
No performance claims
This tool is intended for market context and awareness, not standalone trading decisions.
Intraday Sessions Ranges with Time SegmentationSession Ranges indicator overlays customizable range boxes on major trading sessions (e.g. London, Premarket, NY AM and NY PM) using New York time.
Toggle visibility, add evenly spaced vertical segment lines, and highlight key time zones. Perfect for traders marking price action and levels across multiple historical days.
Sessions + EMAS + Nube (Mini Table)This indicator is designed to help traders analyze market trends and identify potential trading opportunities.
It provides clear visual signals based on price behavior and technical calculations, allowing traders to better understand market structure, momentum, and direction.
The indicator can be used on any market and timeframe, making it suitable for both intraday and swing trading.
It is intended as a decision-support tool and should be used in combination with proper risk management and other forms of analysis.
IV Rank as a Label (Top Right)IV Rank (HV Proxy) – Label
Displays an IV Rank–style metric using Historical Volatility (HV) as a proxy, since TradingView Pine Script does not provide access to true per-strike implied volatility or IV Rank.
The script:
Calculates annualized Historical Volatility (HV) from price returns
Ranks current HV relative to its lookback range (default 252 bars)
Displays the result as a clean, color-coded label in the top-right corner
Color logic:
🟢 Green: Low volatility regime (IV Rank < 20)
🟡 Yellow: Neutral volatility regime (20–50)
🔴 Red: High volatility regime (> 50)
This tool is intended for options context awareness, risk framing, and volatility regime identification, not as a substitute for broker-provided IV Rank.
Best used alongside:
Options chain implied volatility
Delta / extrinsic value
Time-to-expiration analysis
Note: This indicator does not use true implied volatility data.
Anurag Institutional Swing Trader Pro [Robust]nstitutional Swing Flow is a comprehensive, multi-timeframe system designed for swing traders who want to align with "Smart Money" rather than fight against it.
Unlike standard indicators that rely solely on price crossovers, this script analyzes the underlying order flow—tracking stealth accumulation, volume anomalies, and institutional footprints—to generate high-probability swing setups.
Key Features (The "Smart Money" Logic)
1. Institutional Footprints
Stealth Accumulation/Distribution: Detects when price is held in a tight range despite high volume (a classic sign of institutions building a position).
Smart Money Divergence: Identifies when price makes a lower low but Money Flow (OBV/Accumulation-Distribution) makes a higher high.
Fair Value Gaps (FVG): Automatically plots Bullish and Bearish imbalance zones where price is likely to retrace before continuing the trend.
2. Safety First (Risk Management)
Real Earnings Detection: Automatically checks upcoming earnings dates. If an earnings report is within 5 days (adjustable), the script blocks new signals to prevent gambling on binary events.
Visual Exits: Plots dynamic Stop Loss and Take Profit levels on the chart the moment a trade is taken, along with "SL Hit" or "TP Hit" markers for visual backtesting.
3. The "Confluence Score" Dashboard A sophisticated dashboard in the top-right corner rates every setup on a scale of 0 to 100 based on:
Multi-Timeframe Trend: Is the Weekly, Daily, and 4H trend aligned?
Relative Strength: Is the asset outperforming the SPY benchmark?
Volatility: Is the asset in a "Squeeze" (Bollinger Band compression)?
Momentum: RSI, MACD, and CMF confirmation.
Only setups with a score > 65 (adjustable) trigger a BUY or SELL signal.
How to Use
Timeframe: Optimized for 4-Hour (4H) and Daily (D) charts. (Avoid using on <15m charts due to multi-timeframe calculations).
The Signal: Wait for a large "CALL" or "PUT" label.
The Confirmation: Check the Dashboard. Ideally, look for a "Squeeze: YES" combined with a high Institutional Buy Score.
The Exit: Follow the Red (Stop Loss) and Green (Take Profit) lines plotted automatically.
Disclaimer
This tool is for educational purposes only. Swing trading involves risk. Always confirm signals with your own analysis and risk management rules.
Options Volume IndicatorShows the RSI volume based on options volume. Useful for comparing against asset buy and sell signals to see strength of demand for recent options.
