Stochastic ColorStochastic Color. A momentum indicator that compares a particular closing price of an asset to a range of its prices over a specific period of time. It helps identify overbought and oversold conditions in the market. The indicator ranges from 0 to 100, with readings above 80 typically considered overbought and readings below 20 considered oversold. It is often used to anticipate potential price reversals.
Indikatoren und Strategien
SMI Ergodic Oscillator ColorSMI Ergodic Oscillator Color. A variation of the True Strength Index (TSI), the SMI Ergodic Oscillator is a momentum indicator used to identify trend direction and potential reversals. It consists of a double-smoothed price momentum line and a signal line, helping traders spot buy and sell signals when the two lines cross. It is particularly useful for filtering out market noise and confirming the strength of a trend.
RSI SMA ColorRSI 14 with SMA 21 Color. A momentum oscillator that measures the speed and change of price movements. It ranges from 0 to 100 and is typically used to identify overbought or oversold conditions in a market. An RSI above 70 may indicate that an asset is overbought, while an RSI below 30 may suggest it is oversold.
Parabolic Move Indicator for catching moves with Penny Stocks.
Catch the day’s first big moves! Track premarket gap-ups or gap-downs, then spot early momentum shifts using volume, RSI, VWAP, EMAs, and breakout levels—perfect for acting on strong intraday setups right at market open.
**Description:**
The Parabolic Move Scanner + VWAP Bands + EMAs indicator helps traders identify **high-probability intraday moves**, particularly immediately after market open. It is ideal for stocks that **gap up or down premarket, pull back slightly, and then show renewed strength or weakness** once regular trading begins.
The indicator combines multiple components for precise signals:
* **Relative Volume Filter: ** Highlights bars with unusually high activity to ensure signals are backed by real participation.
* **RSI Momentum Change: ** Detects sudden momentum shifts to identify early strength or weakness.
* **Recent Highs/Lows Breakout: ** Confirms price is breaking short-term resistance or support.
* **VWAP & Standard Deviation Bands: ** Provides intraday trend reference points, with optional daily reset.
* **Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs): ** Tracks trend across short, medium, and long-term intraday periods.
* **Visual Signals: ** Background highlights and horizontal breakout lines make it easy to spot key bars.
* **Alerts: ** Configurable alerts notify you of bullish or bearish parabolic moves.
**Optimal Use Case: **
Use in the first 15–30 minutes after market open at 1 minute Time Frame. Best for **stocks showing a premarket gap followed by a pullback**, then resuming strength (bullish) or weakness (bearish). The combination of **volume, RSI, breakouts, VWAP, and EMAs** ensures you identify the **day’s biggest marktet open moves especially with penny stocks moves** with higher confidence.
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### **Recommended Settings**
**Component** | **Recommended Setting** | **Description / Purpose**
| **Volume Average Length** | 20 bars | Period for calculating average volume to detect relative spikes. |
| **Volume Multiplier** | 2.0 | Current bar volume must exceed 2× average to signal high activity. |
| **RSI Length** | 7 bars | Short-term RSI period to measure momentum changes. |
| **RSI Change Threshold** | 7 | Minimum RSI change required to trigger momentum signal. |
| **Recent Highs Lookback** | 5 bars | Number of bars to check for short-term breakout levels. |
| **Horizontal Line Length** | 10 bars | Length of horizontal breakout line drawn on the chart. |
| **Horizontal Line Color** | Green (bullish) / Red (bearish) | Visual identification of breakout levels. |
| **Horizontal Line Thickness** | 1 | Line width for breakout visualization. |
| **VWAP Source** | hlc3 | Price source for VWAP calculation. |
| **VWAP Bands Multipliers** | 1×, 2×, 3× | Standard deviation multiples for intraday bands.
| **VWAP Daily Reset** | Enabled | Resets VWAP at the start of each trading day.
| **EMA Lengths** | 9, 13, 20, 33, 50 | Short, medium, and long-term EMAs to track intraday trend. |
| **Enable Bearish Signals** | True | Allows detection of bearish parabolic moves. |
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CF Cycle Low Projection V2Overview
This indicator helps traders analyze repeating market cycles by detecting significant pivot lows and projecting when the next cycle low may occur. It provides timing context to support decision-making but does not generate direct buy/sell signals.
How it works
Pivot detection : Confirms swing lows using left/right bars. Filters (minimum % move and optional ATR separation) ensure only meaningful lows are counted.
Cycle averaging : Calculates the average interval (and standard deviation) between recent pivot lows.
Projection : Adds the average interval to the last pivot low to forecast the next potential cycle low. If that point lies in the past, the script rolls forward until the projection is in the future.
Timing window : A shaded area around the ETA is drawn, based on either standard deviation or a percentage of the average, showing when a low is statistically more likely to occur.
Visualization:
• Vertical line = projected cycle low
• Shaded box = timing window
• Label = countdown in weeks/days/hours
• HUD = status, ETA, intervals used
How to use
Select your preferred timeframe (works on intraday and higher).
Allow pivots to accumulate; once the HUD shows Status: OK, projections will appear.
Use the ETA line and timing window together with structure, liquidity levels, and support/resistance zones.
Combine with your own strategy and risk management rules.
Notes
Works on any market supported by TradingView (crypto, stocks, forex, indices).
Filters can be adjusted to reduce noise (e.g., increase % move or ATR multiplier).
This tool is designed for cycle timing analysis only. It does not predict exact prices or guarantee outcomes.
Some traders refer to this approach as “camel cycle trading,” but here it is implemented as a pivot-based cycle projection tool.
9 EMA / 20 EMA Crossover with alert for DUKE9 EMA / 20 EMA Crossover with alert for DUKE
has built in alerts to make your life easier
Ichimoku Fractal Flow### Ichimoku Fractal Flow (IFF)
By Gurjit Singh
Ichimoku Fractal Flow (IFF) distills the Ichimoku system into a single oscillator by merging fractal echoes of price and cloud dynamics into one flow signal. Instead of static Ichimoku lines, it measures the "flow" between Conversion/Base, Span A/B, price echoes, and cloud echoes. The result is a multidimensional oscillator that reveals hidden rhythm, momentum shifts, and trend bias.
#### 📌 Key Features
1. Fourfold Fusion – The oscillator blends:
* Phase: Tenkan vs. Kijun spread (short vs. medium trend).
* Kumo Phase: Span A vs. Span B spread (cloud thickness).
* Echo: Price vs lagged reflection.
* Cloud Echo: Price vs. projected cloud center.
2. Oscillator Output – A unified flow line oscillating around zero.
3. Dual Calculation Modes – Oscillator can be built using:
* High-Low Midpoint (classic Ichimoku-style averaging).
* Wilder’s RMA (smoother, less noisy averaging averaging).
4. Optional Smoothing – EMA or Wilder’s RMA creates a trend line, enabling MACD-style crossovers.
5. Dynamic Coloring – Bullish/Bearish color shifts for quick bias recognition.
6. Fill Styling – Highlighted regions between oscillator & smoothing line.
7. Zero Line Reference – Acts as a structural pivot (bull vs. bear).
#### 🔑 How to Use
1. Add to Chart: Works across all assets and timeframes.
2. Flow Bias (Zero Line):
* Above 0 → Bullish flow 🐂
* Below 0 → Bearish flow 🐻
3. With Signal Line:
* Oscillator above smoothing line → Possible upward trend shift.
* Oscillator below smoothing line → Possible downward trend shift.
4. Strength:
* Wide separation from smoothing = strong trend.
* Flat, tight clustering = indecision/range.
5. Contextual Edge: Combine signals with Ichimoku Cloud analysis for stronger confluence.
#### ⚙️ Inputs & Options
* Conversion Line (Tenkan, default 9)
* Base Line (Kijun, default 26)
* Leading Span B (default 52)
* Lag/Lead Shift (default 26)
* Oscillator Mode: High-Low Midpoint vs Wilder’s RMA
* Use Smoothing (toggle on/off)
* Signal Smoothing: Wilder/EMA option
* Smoothing Length (default 9)
* Bullish/Bearish Colors + Transparency
#### 💡 Tips
* Wilder’s RMA (both oscillator & smoothing) is gentler, reducing whipsaws in sideways markets.
* High-Low Mid captures pure Ichimoku-style ranges, good for structure-based traders.
* EMA reacts faster than RMA; use if you want early momentum signals.
* Zero-line flips act like momentum pivots—watch them near cloud boundaries.
* Signal line crossovers behave like MACD-style triggers.
* Strongest signals appear when oscillator, signal line, and Ichimoku Cloud all align.
👉 In short: Ichimoku Fractal Flow compresses multi-layered Ichimoku system into a single fractal oscillator that detects flow, pivotal shifts, and momentum with clarity—bridging price, cloud, and echoes into one signal. Where the cloud shows structure, IFF reveals the underlying flow. Together, they offer a fractal lens into market rhythm.
Cascades & Sloped Lines (RU) • v6How it works
• The base trendline is built from the last two confirmed pivot lows (uptrend) and/or pivot highs (downtrend).
• “Cascades” are a set of parallel lines above and below the base line, spaced equally: either ATR × multiplier or a fixed percentage of price.
• Lines are automatically rebuilt when a new confirmed pivot appears. To avoid overloading the chart, old lines are removed.
Useful settings
• Increase Pivot Left/Right if you want “larger” swing points.
• Switch the step mode to Percent if you want a fixed distance.
• Adjust Lines Above/Below to get a “dense” or “sparse” cascade.
• Colors and thickness — match them to your style.
Strong tendence detector - Detector de Fuerte TendenciaThis chart shows when an asset is in a strong uptrend or downtrend. The legend on the left indicates if the RSI is above 62 or below 38 on the monthly, weekly, and daily timeframes. A strong uptrend is confirmed when all three timeframes are above 62, while a strong downtrend is confirmed when they are all below 38. Periods of a strong uptrend are highlighted with a green background, and periods of a strong downtrend are highlighted in red.
Pivot Up & Down range - Máximos y Mínimos de RangoUps and downs from range 3 to 10 candles. Highs are marked with a red arrow and lows with a green one.
High Probability Order Blocks [AlgoAlpha]🟠 OVERVIEW
This script detects and visualizes high-probability order blocks by combining a volatility-based z-score trigger with a statistical survival model inspired by Kaplan-Meier estimation. It builds and manages bullish and bearish order blocks dynamically on the chart, displays live survival probabilities per block, and plots optional rejection signals. What makes this tool unique is its use of historical mitigation behavior to estimate and plot how likely each zone is to persist, offering traders a probabilistic perspective on order block strength—something rarely seen in retail indicators.
🟠 CONCEPTS
Order blocks are regions of strong institutional interest, often marked by large imbalances between buying and selling. This script identifies those areas using z-score thresholds on directional distance (up or down candles), detecting statistically significant moves that signal potential smart money footprints. A bullish block is drawn when a strong up-move (zUp > 4) follows a down candle, and vice versa for bearish blocks. Over time, each block is evaluated: if price “mitigates” it (i.e., closes cleanly past the opposite side and confirmed with a 1 bar delay), it’s considered resolved and logged. These resolved blocks then inform a Kaplan-Meier-like survival curve, estimating the likelihood that future blocks of a given age will remain unbroken. The indicator then draws a probability curve for each side (bull/bear), updating it in real time.
🟠 FEATURES
Live label inside each block showing survival probability or “N.E.D.” if insufficient data.
Kaplan-Meier survival curves drawn directly on the chart to show estimated strength decay.
Rejection markers (▲ ▼) if price bounces cleanly off an active order block.
Alerts for zone creation and rejection signals, supporting rule-based trading workflows.
🟠 USAGE
Read the label inside each block for Age | Survival% (or N.E.D. if there aren’t enough samples yet); higher survival % suggests blocks of that age have historically lasted longer.
Use the right-side survival curves to gauge how probability decays with age for bull vs bear blocks, and align entries with the side showing stronger survival at current age.
Treat ▲ (bullish rejection) and ▼ (bearish rejection) as optional confluence when price tests a boundary and fails to break.
Turn on alerts for “Bullish Zone Created,” “Bearish Zone Created,” and rejection signals so you don’t need to watch constantly.
If your chart gets crowded, enable Prevent Overlap ; tune Max Box Age to your timeframe; and adjust KM Training Window / Minimum Samples to trade off responsiveness vs stability.
SMA ProjectionWhat it does
Draws a linear projection of a Simple Moving Average (SMA) 20 bars into the future using the SMA’s recent slope. Optionally shows a tiny momentum flag (just a number) positioned 0.75× ATR below the SMA on the last bar. No future data is read; everything updates on the current bar only.
How it works
SMA: Standard SMA on your chosen source and length.
Projection (fixed 20 bars): Uses a linear extrapolation from the last SMA value with slope
slope = (ma - ma ) / slopeLen
Momentum magnitude (optional): A signed number where >0 = up-slope, <0 = down-slope, ~0 = flat. Units are selectable: price/bar, %/bar, or ATR/bar (default). The flag is rendered small and colored teal (pos) / red (neg) / gray (flat).
Key features
Fixed 20-bar projection (no input—keeps it simple and comparable).
Tiny numeric momentum flag (off by default) placed well below the line (0.75× ATR).
Unit choices for momentum: price/bar, %/bar, ATR/bar.
Deadband option to zero-out tiny slopes.
Non-repainting projection: drawn only on the last bar; updates each candle.
Inputs (summary)
SMA length and Source
Slope lookback (for magnitude)
Show momentum flag (default: Off)
Magnitude units: price/bar, %/bar, ATR/bar (default)
Deadband and Decimals for display control
Tips
For smoother projections, increase slope lookback; for responsiveness, decrease it.
Use ATR/bar or %/bar if you want momentum values that are more comparable across symbols and timeframes.
The projection is indicative, not predictive—combine with structure, volume, and risk management.
Notes & limits
The “future” line is just a linear extrapolation from recent behavior; regime shifts will break linearity.
The momentum flag text is intentionally minimal to avoid chart clutter.
Works on any timeframe; the projection distance is always 20 bars on that timeframe.
Tags: SMA, moving average, projection, slope, momentum, ATR, extrapolation, non-repainting, trading tools
Tzotchev Trend Measure [EdgeTools]Are you still measuring trend strength with moving averages? Here is a better variant at scientific level:
Tzotchev Trend Measure: A Statistical Approach to Trend Following
The Tzotchev Trend Measure represents a sophisticated advancement in quantitative trend analysis, moving beyond traditional moving average-based indicators toward a statistically rigorous framework for measuring trend strength. This indicator implements the methodology developed by Tzotchev et al. (2015) in their seminal J.P. Morgan research paper "Designing robust trend-following system: Behind the scenes of trend-following," which introduced a probabilistic approach to trend measurement that has since become a cornerstone of institutional trading strategies.
Mathematical Foundation and Statistical Theory
The core innovation of the Tzotchev Trend Measure lies in its transformation of price momentum into a probability-based metric through the application of statistical hypothesis testing principles. The indicator employs the fundamental formula ST = 2 × Φ(√T × r̄T / σ̂T) - 1, where ST represents the trend strength score bounded between -1 and +1, Φ(x) denotes the normal cumulative distribution function, T represents the lookback period in trading days, r̄T is the average logarithmic return over the specified period, and σ̂T represents the estimated daily return volatility.
This formulation transforms what is essentially a t-statistic into a probabilistic trend measure, testing the null hypothesis that the mean return equals zero against the alternative hypothesis of non-zero mean return. The use of logarithmic returns rather than simple returns provides several statistical advantages, including symmetry properties where log(P₁/P₀) = -log(P₀/P₁), additivity characteristics that allow for proper compounding analysis, and improved validity of normal distribution assumptions that underpin the statistical framework.
The implementation utilizes the Abramowitz and Stegun (1964) approximation for the normal cumulative distribution function, achieving accuracy within ±1.5 × 10⁻⁷ for all input values. This approximation employs Horner's method for polynomial evaluation to ensure numerical stability, particularly important when processing large datasets or extreme market conditions.
Comparative Analysis with Traditional Trend Measurement Methods
The Tzotchev Trend Measure demonstrates significant theoretical and empirical advantages over conventional trend analysis techniques. Traditional moving average-based systems, including simple moving averages (SMA), exponential moving averages (EMA), and their derivatives such as MACD, suffer from several fundamental limitations that the Tzotchev methodology addresses systematically.
Moving average systems exhibit inherent lag bias, as documented by Kaufman (2013) in "Trading Systems and Methods," where he demonstrates that moving averages inevitably lag price movements by approximately half their period length. This lag creates delayed signal generation that reduces profitability in trending markets and increases false signal frequency during consolidation periods. In contrast, the Tzotchev measure eliminates lag bias by directly analyzing the statistical properties of return distributions rather than smoothing price levels.
The volatility normalization inherent in the Tzotchev formula addresses a critical weakness in traditional momentum indicators. As shown by Bollinger (2001) in "Bollinger on Bollinger Bands," momentum oscillators like RSI and Stochastic fail to account for changing volatility regimes, leading to inconsistent signal interpretation across different market conditions. The Tzotchev measure's incorporation of return volatility in the denominator ensures that trend strength assessments remain consistent regardless of the underlying volatility environment.
Empirical studies by Hurst, Ooi, and Pedersen (2013) in "Demystifying Managed Futures" demonstrate that traditional trend-following indicators suffer from significant drawdowns during whipsaw markets, with Sharpe ratios frequently below 0.5 during challenging periods. The authors attribute these poor performance characteristics to the binary nature of most trend signals and their inability to quantify signal confidence. The Tzotchev measure addresses this limitation by providing continuous probability-based outputs that allow for more sophisticated risk management and position sizing strategies.
The statistical foundation of the Tzotchev approach provides superior robustness compared to technical indicators that lack theoretical grounding. Fama and French (1988) in "Permanent and Temporary Components of Stock Prices" established that price movements contain both permanent and temporary components, with traditional moving averages unable to distinguish between these elements effectively. The Tzotchev methodology's hypothesis testing framework specifically tests for the presence of permanent trend components while filtering out temporary noise, providing a more theoretically sound approach to trend identification.
Research by Moskowitz, Ooi, and Pedersen (2012) in "Time Series Momentum in the Cross Section of Asset Returns" found that traditional momentum indicators exhibit significant variation in effectiveness across asset classes and time periods. Their study of multiple asset classes over decades revealed that simple price-based momentum measures often fail to capture persistent trends in fixed income and commodity markets. The Tzotchev measure's normalization by volatility and its probabilistic interpretation provide consistent performance across diverse asset classes, as demonstrated in the original J.P. Morgan research.
Comparative performance studies conducted by AQR Capital Management (Asness, Moskowitz, and Pedersen, 2013) in "Value and Momentum Everywhere" show that volatility-adjusted momentum measures significantly outperform traditional price momentum across international equity, bond, commodity, and currency markets. The study documents Sharpe ratio improvements of 0.2 to 0.4 when incorporating volatility normalization, consistent with the theoretical advantages of the Tzotchev approach.
The regime detection capabilities of the Tzotchev measure provide additional advantages over binary trend classification systems. Research by Ang and Bekaert (2002) in "Regime Switches in Interest Rates" demonstrates that financial markets exhibit distinct regime characteristics that traditional indicators fail to capture adequately. The Tzotchev measure's five-tier classification system (Strong Bull, Weak Bull, Neutral, Weak Bear, Strong Bear) provides more nuanced market state identification than simple trend/no-trend binary systems.
Statistical testing by Jegadeesh and Titman (2001) in "Profitability of Momentum Strategies" revealed that traditional momentum indicators suffer from significant parameter instability, with optimal lookback periods varying substantially across market conditions and asset classes. The Tzotchev measure's statistical framework provides more stable parameter selection through its grounding in hypothesis testing theory, reducing the need for frequent parameter optimization that can lead to overfitting.
Advanced Noise Filtering and Market Regime Detection
A significant enhancement over the original Tzotchev methodology is the incorporation of a multi-factor noise filtering system designed to reduce false signals during sideways market conditions. The filtering mechanism employs four distinct approaches: adaptive thresholding based on current market regime strength, volatility-based filtering utilizing ATR percentile analysis, trend strength confirmation through momentum alignment, and a comprehensive multi-factor approach that combines all methodologies.
The adaptive filtering system analyzes market microstructure through price change relative to average true range, calculates volatility percentiles over rolling windows, and assesses trend alignment across multiple timeframes using exponential moving averages of varying periods. This approach addresses one of the primary limitations identified in traditional trend-following systems, namely their tendency to generate excessive false signals during periods of low volatility or sideways price action.
The regime detection component classifies market conditions into five distinct categories: Strong Bull (ST > 0.3), Weak Bull (0.1 < ST ≤ 0.3), Neutral (-0.1 ≤ ST ≤ 0.1), Weak Bear (-0.3 ≤ ST < -0.1), and Strong Bear (ST < -0.3). This classification system provides traders with clear, quantitative definitions of market regimes that can inform position sizing, risk management, and strategy selection decisions.
Professional Implementation and Trading Applications
The indicator incorporates three distinct trading profiles designed to accommodate different investment approaches and risk tolerances. The Conservative profile employs longer lookback periods (63 days), higher signal thresholds (0.2), and reduced filter sensitivity (0.5) to minimize false signals and focus on major trend changes. The Balanced profile utilizes standard academic parameters with moderate settings across all dimensions. The Aggressive profile implements shorter lookback periods (14 days), lower signal thresholds (-0.1), and increased filter sensitivity (1.5) to capture shorter-term trend movements.
Signal generation occurs through threshold crossover analysis, where long signals are generated when the trend measure crosses above the specified threshold and short signals when it crosses below. The implementation includes sophisticated signal confirmation mechanisms that consider trend alignment across multiple timeframes and momentum strength percentiles to reduce the likelihood of false breakouts.
The alert system provides real-time notifications for trend threshold crossovers, strong regime changes, and signal generation events, with configurable frequency controls to prevent notification spam. Alert messages are standardized to ensure consistency across different market conditions and timeframes.
Performance Optimization and Computational Efficiency
The implementation incorporates several performance optimization features designed to handle large datasets efficiently. The maximum bars back parameter allows users to control historical calculation depth, with default settings optimized for most trading applications while providing flexibility for extended historical analysis. The system includes automatic performance monitoring that generates warnings when computational limits are approached.
Error handling mechanisms protect against division by zero conditions, infinite values, and other numerical instabilities that can occur during extreme market conditions. The finite value checking system ensures data integrity throughout the calculation process, with fallback mechanisms that maintain indicator functionality even when encountering corrupted or missing price data.
Timeframe validation provides warnings when the indicator is applied to unsuitable timeframes, as the Tzotchev methodology was specifically designed for daily and higher timeframe analysis. This validation helps prevent misapplication of the indicator in contexts where its statistical assumptions may not hold.
Visual Design and User Interface
The indicator features eight professional color schemes designed for different trading environments and user preferences. The EdgeTools theme provides an institutional blue and steel color palette suitable for professional trading environments. The Gold theme offers warm colors optimized for commodities trading. The Behavioral theme incorporates psychology-based color contrasts that align with behavioral finance principles. The Quant theme provides neutral colors suitable for analytical applications.
Additional specialized themes include Ocean, Fire, Matrix, and Arctic variations, each optimized for specific visual preferences and trading contexts. All color schemes include automatic dark and light mode optimization to ensure optimal readability across different chart backgrounds and trading platforms.
The information table provides real-time display of key metrics including current trend measure value, market regime classification, signal strength, Z-score, average returns, volatility measures, filter threshold levels, and filter effectiveness percentages. This comprehensive dashboard allows traders to monitor all relevant indicator components simultaneously.
Theoretical Implications and Research Context
The Tzotchev Trend Measure addresses several theoretical limitations inherent in traditional technical analysis approaches. Unlike moving average-based systems that rely on price level comparisons, this methodology grounds trend analysis in statistical hypothesis testing, providing a more robust theoretical foundation for trading decisions.
The probabilistic interpretation of trend strength offers significant advantages over binary trend classification systems. Rather than simply indicating whether a trend exists, the measure quantifies the statistical confidence level associated with the trend assessment, allowing for more nuanced risk management and position sizing decisions.
The incorporation of volatility normalization addresses the well-documented problem of volatility clustering in financial time series, ensuring that trend strength assessments remain consistent across different market volatility regimes. This normalization is particularly important for portfolio management applications where consistent risk metrics across different assets and time periods are essential.
Practical Applications and Trading Strategy Integration
The Tzotchev Trend Measure can be effectively integrated into various trading strategies and portfolio management frameworks. For trend-following strategies, the indicator provides clear entry and exit signals with quantified confidence levels. For mean reversion strategies, extreme readings can signal potential turning points. For portfolio allocation, the regime classification system can inform dynamic asset allocation decisions.
The indicator's statistical foundation makes it particularly suitable for quantitative trading strategies where systematic, rules-based approaches are preferred over discretionary decision-making. The standardized output range facilitates easy integration with position sizing algorithms and risk management systems.
Risk management applications benefit from the indicator's ability to quantify trend strength and provide early warning signals of potential trend changes. The multi-timeframe analysis capability allows for the construction of robust risk management frameworks that consider both short-term tactical and long-term strategic market conditions.
Implementation Guide and Parameter Configuration
The practical application of the Tzotchev Trend Measure requires careful parameter configuration to optimize performance for specific trading objectives and market conditions. This section provides comprehensive guidance for parameter selection and indicator customization.
Core Calculation Parameters
The Lookback Period parameter controls the statistical window used for trend calculation and represents the most critical setting for the indicator. Default values range from 14 to 63 trading days, with shorter periods (14-21 days) providing more sensitive trend detection suitable for short-term trading strategies, while longer periods (42-63 days) offer more stable trend identification appropriate for position trading and long-term investment strategies. The parameter directly influences the statistical significance of trend measurements, with longer periods requiring stronger underlying trends to generate significant signals but providing greater reliability in trend identification.
The Price Source parameter determines which price series is used for return calculations. The default close price provides standard trend analysis, while alternative selections such as high-low midpoint ((high + low) / 2) can reduce noise in volatile markets, and volume-weighted average price (VWAP) offers superior trend identification in institutional trading environments where volume concentration matters significantly.
The Signal Threshold parameter establishes the minimum trend strength required for signal generation, with values ranging from -0.5 to 0.5. Conservative threshold settings (0.2 to 0.3) reduce false signals but may miss early trend opportunities, while aggressive settings (-0.1 to 0.1) provide earlier signal generation at the cost of increased false positive rates. The optimal threshold depends on the trader's risk tolerance and the volatility characteristics of the traded instrument.
Trading Profile Configuration
The Trading Profile system provides pre-configured parameter sets optimized for different trading approaches. The Conservative profile employs a 63-day lookback period with a 0.2 signal threshold and 0.5 noise sensitivity, designed for long-term position traders seeking high-probability trend signals with minimal false positives. The Balanced profile uses a 21-day lookback with 0.05 signal threshold and 1.0 noise sensitivity, suitable for swing traders requiring moderate signal frequency with acceptable noise levels. The Aggressive profile implements a 14-day lookback with -0.1 signal threshold and 1.5 noise sensitivity, optimized for day traders and scalpers requiring frequent signal generation despite higher noise levels.
Advanced Noise Filtering System
The noise filtering mechanism addresses the challenge of false signals during sideways market conditions through four distinct methodologies. The Adaptive filter adjusts thresholds based on current trend strength, increasing sensitivity during strong trending periods while raising thresholds during consolidation phases. The Volatility-based filter utilizes Average True Range (ATR) percentile analysis to suppress signals during abnormally volatile conditions that typically generate false trend indications.
The Trend Strength filter requires alignment between multiple momentum indicators before confirming signals, reducing the probability of false breakouts from consolidation patterns. The Multi-factor approach combines all filtering methodologies using weighted scoring to provide the most robust noise reduction while maintaining signal responsiveness during genuine trend initiations.
The Noise Sensitivity parameter controls the aggressiveness of the filtering system, with lower values (0.5-1.0) providing conservative filtering suitable for volatile instruments, while higher values (1.5-2.0) allow more signals through but may increase false positive rates during choppy market conditions.
Visual Customization and Display Options
The Color Scheme parameter offers eight professional visualization options designed for different analytical preferences and market conditions. The EdgeTools scheme provides high contrast visualization optimized for trend strength differentiation, while the Gold scheme offers warm tones suitable for commodity analysis. The Behavioral scheme uses psychological color associations to enhance decision-making speed, and the Quant scheme provides neutral colors appropriate for quantitative analysis environments.
The Ocean, Fire, Matrix, and Arctic schemes offer additional aesthetic options while maintaining analytical functionality. Each scheme includes optimized colors for both light and dark chart backgrounds, ensuring visibility across different trading platform configurations.
The Show Glow Effects parameter enhances plot visibility through multiple layered lines with progressive transparency, particularly useful when analyzing multiple timeframes simultaneously or when working with dense price data that might obscure trend signals.
Performance Optimization Settings
The Maximum Bars Back parameter controls the historical data depth available for calculations, with values ranging from 5,000 to 50,000 bars. Higher values enable analysis of longer-term trend patterns but may impact indicator loading speed on slower systems or when applied to multiple instruments simultaneously. The optimal setting depends on the intended analysis timeframe and available computational resources.
The Calculate on Every Tick parameter determines whether the indicator updates with every price change or only at bar close. Real-time calculation provides immediate signal updates suitable for scalping and day trading strategies, while bar-close calculation reduces computational overhead and eliminates signal flickering during bar formation, preferred for swing trading and position management applications.
Alert System Configuration
The Alert Frequency parameter controls notification generation, with options for all signals, bar close only, or once per bar. High-frequency trading strategies benefit from all signals mode, while position traders typically prefer bar close alerts to avoid premature position entries based on intrabar fluctuations.
The alert system generates four distinct notification types: Long Signal alerts when the trend measure crosses above the positive signal threshold, Short Signal alerts for negative threshold crossings, Bull Regime alerts when entering strong bullish conditions, and Bear Regime alerts for strong bearish regime identification.
Table Display and Information Management
The information table provides real-time statistical metrics including current trend value, regime classification, signal status, and filter effectiveness measurements. The table position can be customized for optimal screen real estate utilization, and individual metrics can be toggled based on analytical requirements.
The Language parameter supports both English and German display options for international users, while maintaining consistent calculation methodology regardless of display language selection.
Risk Management Integration
Effective risk management integration requires coordination between the trend measure signals and position sizing algorithms. Strong trend readings (above 0.5 or below -0.5) support larger position sizes due to higher probability of trend continuation, while neutral readings (between -0.2 and 0.2) suggest reduced position sizes or range-trading strategies.
The regime classification system provides additional risk management context, with Strong Bull and Strong Bear regimes supporting trend-following strategies, while Neutral regimes indicate potential for mean reversion approaches. The filter effectiveness metric helps traders assess current market conditions and adjust strategy parameters accordingly.
Timeframe Considerations and Multi-Timeframe Analysis
The indicator's effectiveness varies across different timeframes, with higher timeframes (daily, weekly) providing more reliable trend identification but slower signal generation, while lower timeframes (hourly, 15-minute) offer faster signals with increased noise levels. Multi-timeframe analysis combining trend alignment across multiple periods significantly improves signal quality and reduces false positive rates.
For optimal results, traders should consider trend alignment between the primary trading timeframe and at least one higher timeframe before entering positions. Divergences between timeframes often signal potential trend reversals or consolidation periods requiring strategy adjustment.
Conclusion
The Tzotchev Trend Measure represents a significant advancement in technical analysis methodology, combining rigorous statistical foundations with practical trading applications. Its implementation of the J.P. Morgan research methodology provides institutional-quality trend analysis capabilities previously available only to sophisticated quantitative trading firms.
The comprehensive parameter configuration options enable customization for diverse trading styles and market conditions, while the advanced noise filtering and regime detection capabilities provide superior signal quality compared to traditional trend-following indicators. Proper parameter selection and understanding of the indicator's statistical foundation are essential for achieving optimal trading results and effective risk management.
References
Abramowitz, M. and Stegun, I.A. (1964). Handbook of Mathematical Functions with Formulas, Graphs, and Mathematical Tables. Washington: National Bureau of Standards.
Ang, A. and Bekaert, G. (2002). Regime Switches in Interest Rates. Journal of Business and Economic Statistics, 20(2), 163-182.
Asness, C.S., Moskowitz, T.J., and Pedersen, L.H. (2013). Value and Momentum Everywhere. Journal of Finance, 68(3), 929-985.
Bollinger, J. (2001). Bollinger on Bollinger Bands. New York: McGraw-Hill.
Fama, E.F. and French, K.R. (1988). Permanent and Temporary Components of Stock Prices. Journal of Political Economy, 96(2), 246-273.
Hurst, B., Ooi, Y.H., and Pedersen, L.H. (2013). Demystifying Managed Futures. Journal of Investment Management, 11(3), 42-58.
Jegadeesh, N. and Titman, S. (2001). Profitability of Momentum Strategies: An Evaluation of Alternative Explanations. Journal of Finance, 56(2), 699-720.
Kaufman, P.J. (2013). Trading Systems and Methods. 5th Edition. Hoboken: John Wiley & Sons.
Moskowitz, T.J., Ooi, Y.H., and Pedersen, L.H. (2012). Time Series Momentum. Journal of Financial Economics, 104(2), 228-250.
Tzotchev, D., Lo, A.W., and Hasanhodzic, J. (2015). Designing robust trend-following system: Behind the scenes of trend-following. J.P. Morgan Quantitative Research, Asset Management Division.
RSI with KAMA and Custom Buy/Sell SignalsUses Kaufman MA on the RSI to generate signals when crossing user thresholds
Kyoshiro - FVG + Order Blocks📌 Kyoshiro – FVG + Order Blocks
This indicator combines Order Block (OB) detection with an intelligent auto-management system and a clean visual display on the chart.
It is designed to help traders better identify institutional zones where price frequently reacts.
⚙️ Key Features:
✅ Real-time detection of bullish and bearish Order Blocks.
✅ Automatic cleanup: invalidated OBs are removed to keep the chart clean.
✅ Customizable display:
Maximum number of visible OBs (bullish / bearish).
Zone colors, outlines, and midlines.
Line styles (solid, dashed, dotted) and adjustable width.
✅ Choice of mitigation method:
Wick
Close
✅ Built-in alerts:
Formation of bullish or bearish OB.
Mitigation of an existing OB.
🔔 Available Alerts:
Bullish OB Formed → A bullish order block is detected.
Bearish OB Formed → A bearish order block is detected.
Bullish OB Mitigated → A bullish OB has been invalidated.
Bearish OB Mitigated → A bearish OB has been invalidated.
🎯 Use Cases:
Quickly identify key liquidity zones.
Track institutional activity in the market.
Improve entry and exit precision.
EMA/SMA Zones 9, 21, 30, 50, 100, 200 + othersMeant for swing trading on the daily chart, feel free to copy and remove/add sections as you wish (Used chatGPT for a lot of it).
Volumetric Compressed MAVCMA (Volumetric Compressed Moving Average) uses the compressor and weighted standard deviation functions originally translated to pinescript by @gorx1 to plot moving averages in order to use for entry confirmation.
🔹 Concepts and Idea:
When we do music we always use different kinds of filters (low-pass, high pass, etc) for equalization and filtering itself. That stuff we use in finance as well. What we also always use in music are compressors, there dynamic processors that automatically adjust volume so it will be more consistent. Almost all the cool music you hear is compressed (both individual instruments (especially vocals) and the whole track afterwards), otherwise stuff will be too quite and too weak to flex on it, and also DJing it would be a nightmare.
🔹 Model:
I don't wanna explain it all in statistical / DSP way for once.
First of all, I think the population of volumes is log-normally distributed, so let's take logs of volumes, now we have a ~ normally distributed data. We take linearly weighted mean, add and subtract linearly weighted standard deviation from it, these would be our thresholds, the borders between different kinds of volumes explained before.
The upper threshold is for downward compression, that will not let volume pass it higher.
The lower threshold is for upward compression, all the volumes lower than this threshold will be brought up to the threshold's level.
Then we apply multipliers to the thresholds in order to adjust em and find the sweet spots. We do it the same way as in sound engineering when we don't aim for overcompression, we adjust the thresholds until they start to touch the signal and all good.
Afterwards, we delete all the number 1 and number 3 volume, leaving us exclusively with the clear main component, ready to be processed further.
We return the volumes to dem real scale.
For more info on Volume Compression it's highly advised to check @gorx1's initial script Volume Compressor
🔹 Settings:
MA Type: Moving average type to be used for comparison after calculating the compressed version of volume. This creates the second line after the compression line, so we can consider crossovers for confirmation entries.
Upward threshold: Upward threshold where the compression of volume is calculated. Increasing usually causes smoother lines.
Downward threshold: Downward threshold where the compression of volume is calculated. Decreasing usually causes smoother lines.
Compression Lookback: The Main lookback window of a volume that is used for compression. Increasing this would provide smoother lines but might cause delayed signals. Decreasing means more signals, but might cause whiplash and distorted signals.
Comparative Lookback: This is our lookback to be used with our ma type selection. There is no static better or worse lookback value for this indicator. It should be adjusted based on the pair.
🔹 Where to use:
This indicator should be used as another confirmation tool for your entry signals in your existing strategy/market following combination. Green dots (crossovers) mean bullish movement is expected, and red dots (crossbounders) mean bearish movement is expected. Automated crossover alerts are available. A reminder is that this kind of indicator should not be used on its own for trading, but rather should be used as a confirmation along with your trend detection and main entry indicators to provide additional confidence.
If you want to know under the hood, read the How it works section below.
🔹 How it works:
//This is our main compression calculation, which is used for the first line.
Compressed_out = compressor(volume, len_window, up_thresh, down_thresh)
//This is the secondary ratio calculation that we use for the second line.
Comp_ma = ma(ma_type, close * compressed_out, len_ml) / ma(ma_type, compressed_out, len_ml)
Vwma = ma(ma_type, close, len_window)
We calculate the ratio of the compressed volume and plot it against the base MA. Base MA's length is determined by the Compression Lookback input compared to the Comperative Lookback that is used for the compressed version. This provides us with another possible confirmation indicator that can be used to take advantage of volume ranges.
Multiple Divergence Scanner (move to candles and merge scales)This indicator detects and visualizes multiple types of RSI-based divergences, including Regular, Hidden, and Dual-source (Multi) Bullish/Bearish signals. Not limited with RSI only. You can add move functions and it will automaticly combine your options.
It offers customizable score filtering, label positioning, and visual styling.
Ideal for traders who seek both technical precision and symbolic clarity in their charts.
You have to drag it to your candles after adding to your chart. Then right click on price->Merge all scales to right/left.
Stop Loss vs Take Profit Probability and EVThis stop loss and take profit calculator uses a Monte Carlo simulation to calculate the probability of hitting your Stop Loss or Take Profit levels across different time horizons (expressed in bars).
It provides data-driven insights to optimize your risk management and position sizing by showing Expected Value for each scenario.
As a quant, I love using statistical data to help my decisions and get better EV from my trades.
🔬 How It's Calculated
Monte Carlo Simulation: Runs 1,000-10,000 price simulations using a random walk model
Volatility Analysis: Combines ATR-based and Historical Volatility for accurate price movement modeling
Expected Value: Calculates profit/loss expectation using formula: (TP_Probability × Reward) - (SL_Probability × Risk)
Time Horizons: Tests multiple timeframes (1, 5, 10, 20, 50 bars) to find optimal holding periods
Risk/Reward Ratios: Automatically calculates and displays R:R ratios for quick assessment
💡 Use Cases
Position Sizing - Determine optimal risk per trade based on Expected Value
Time Horizon Optimization - Find the best holding period for your strategy
Stop Loss Placement - Validate SL levels using probability analysis
Take Profit Optimization - Set TP levels with statistical backing
Strategy Backtesting - Compare different R:R setups before entering trades
Risk Management - Avoid trades with negative Expected Value
Swing vs Day Trading - Choose timeframes with highest success probability
🎯 How to Use
Setup Trade: Enter your entry price, stop loss, and take profit levels
You can add or remove time horizons denominated in bars. Say you are looking at 1h candles, adding a 24-bar time horizon means you are looking into 24 hours
Choose Direction: Select Long or Short position
Review Table
Analyze Expected Value: Focus on positive EV scenarios (green background)
Optimize Timing: Select time horizons with best risk/reward profile
Adjust Parameters: Modify volatility calculation method and simulation count if needed
Examples
Here's how you can read the tables.
Example 1:
In this chart, we are analyzing the TP and SL probabilities as well as the EV (expected value) for a stock. I want to check what the likelihood is that my SL and TP get triggered over the next 5 days. The stock market is open for 6.5 hours per day, which is 13 bars in this 30-minute bar chart. 26 bars is 2 days, 39 bars is 3 days and so on.
Although this trade is more likely to trigger my SL than my TP, in some of the time horizons we have a positive expected value because of the risk/reward of our trade (i.e. distance of the SL and TP from the price) and the probability of hitting SL and TP.
Example 2:
In this example, we have applied the indicator to gold. Because the TP is much closer to the price, the probability of hitting the TP is much higher.
We can also observe that the expected Value in the shorter time frames is better than in the longer ones. This can give us some clues to set up our trade. If we know that the EV is positive, we can allocate more to that specific trade.
Enjoy, and please let me know your feedback! 😊🥂
Dusk Wave🌊 Dusk Wave (시각적 분석 도구)
개요
기반 기술: 8단계 추세 파도 시각화
시간대: 모든 시간대 호환
신호: 신호 없음 (분석 전용)
용도: 추세 방향 및 강도 분석
Wave 테이블 설명
DUSK WAVE | TREND ANALYSIS
├─ Wave Alignment: 8개 파도 정렬 상태
├─ Trend Strength: 추세 강도 (Strong/Medium/Weak)
├─ Wave Direction: 파도 전체 방향 (Up/Down/Sideways)
├─ Fast Waves: 단기 파도 상태 (1-4번)
├─ Slow Waves: 장기 파도 상태 (5-8번)
├─ Convergence: 파도 수렴/발산 상태
└─ Trend Quality: 추세 품질 등급 (A/B/C/D)
Wave 해석 가이드
파란색 그라데이션: 8개 EMA 파도 표시
정렬 상태: 모든 파도가 같은 방향 = 강한 추세
파도 간격: 좁을수록 강한 추세, 넓을수록 약한 추세
색상 변화: 파도별 속도 차이 시각화
🌊 Dusk Wave (Visual Analysis Tool) - English Version
Overview
Core Technology: 8-Stage Trend Wave Visualization
Timeframe: Compatible with all timeframes
Signals: No signals (Analysis only)
Purpose: Trend direction and strength analysis
Wave Table Description
DUSK WAVE | TREND ANALYSIS
├─ Wave Alignment: 8 wave alignment status
├─ Trend Strength: Trend intensity (Strong/Medium/Weak)
├─ Wave Direction: Overall wave direction (Up/Down/Sideways)
├─ Fast Waves: Short-term wave status (Waves 1-4)
├─ Slow Waves: Long-term wave status (Waves 5-8)
├─ Convergence: Wave convergence/divergence state
└─ Trend Quality: Trend quality grade (A/B/C/D)
Wave Interpretation Guide
Blue Gradient: 8 EMA waves display
Alignment Status: All waves same direction = Strong trend
Wave Spacing: Closer = Stronger trend, Wider = Weaker trend
Color Changes: Visualizes speed differences between waves
ETFs Sector PerformanceDisplays a table of the Top 8 performing ETFs over a selected period (1M / 2M / 3M / 6M) to quickly identify industry strength.
Pre-Set Universe (39 ETFs)
ITA — iShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF
DBA — Invesco DB Agriculture Fund
BOTZ — Global X Robotics & Artificial Intelligence ETF
JETS — U.S. Global Jets ETF
XLB — Materials Select Sector SPDR Fund
XBI — SPDR S&P Biotech ETF
PKB — Invesco Dynamic Building & Construction ETF
ICLN — iShares Global Clean Energy ETF
SKYY — First Trust Cloud Computing ETF
DBC — Invesco DB Commodity Index Tracking Fund
XLY — Consumer Discretionary Select Sector SPDR Fund
XLP — Consumer Staples Select Sector SPDR Fund
BLOK — Amplify Transformational Data Sharing ETF
KARS — KraneShares Electric Vehicles & Future Mobility ETF
XLE — Energy Select Sector SPDR Fund
ESPO — VanEck Video Gaming and eSports ETF
XLF — Financial Select Sector SPDR Fund
PBJ — Invesco Dynamic Food & Beverage ETF
ITB — iShares U.S. Home Construction ETF
XLI — Industrial Select Sector SPDR Fund
PAVE — Global X U.S. Infrastructure Development ETF
PEJ — Invesco Dynamic Leisure & Entertainment ETF
LIT — Global X Lithium & Battery Tech ETF
IHI — iShares U.S. Medical Devices ETF
XME — SPDR S&P Metals & Mining ETF
FCG — First Trust Natural Gas ETF
URA — Global X Uranium ETF
PPH — VanEck Pharmaceutical ETF
QTUM — Defiance Quantum Computing & Machine Learning ETF
IYR — iShares U.S. Real Estate ETF
XRT — SPDR S&P Retail ETF
SOXX — iShares Semiconductor ETF
BOAT — SonicShares Global Shipping ETF
IGV — iShares Expanded Tech-Software Sector ETF
TAN — Invesco Solar ETF
SLX — VanEck Steel ETF
IYZ — iShares U.S. Telecommunications ETF
IYT — iShares U.S. Transportation ETF
XLU — Utilities Select Sector SPDR Fund
