Detecting Sideways Market or Strong Trends| Copy Trade Tungdubai**Tool Description**:
The **"Detecting Sideways Market or Strong Trends | Copy Trade Tungdubai"** tool is designed to help traders identify two key market conditions:
1. **Sideways Market**:
- This condition is detected when the ADX is below 20, the price stays within the Bollinger Bands, and the RSI is between 45 and 55.
- When the market is sideways, the chart background will turn yellow as a visual alert.
2. **Strong Trend Market**:
- This condition is identified when the ADX is above 25, and either the price breaks out of the Bollinger Bands or the RSI surpasses the overbought (70) or oversold (30) levels.
- When the market is in a strong trend, the chart background will turn blue as a visual alert.
**Key Components of the Tool**:
- **ADX**: Measures the strength of the market trend, with key thresholds at 20 and 25.
- **Bollinger Bands**: Helps determine volatility and checks if the price is within or outside the bands.
- **RSI**: Measures momentum, helping identify overbought and oversold levels.
**Visual Features on the Chart**:
- ADX, RSI, and Bollinger Bands are clearly plotted with their respective key thresholds for easier recognition of market conditions.
- The chart background changes color to reflect the current market condition (yellow for sideways, blue for strong trends).
**Alerts**:
- Alerts are triggered when the market enters either a sideways or strong trend phase, providing notifications to help users act promptly.
This tool serves as a practical aid in recognizing market conditions, allowing traders to make informed decisions aligned with their strategies.
**Mô tả công cụ**:
Công cụ **"Detecting Sideways Market or Strong Trends | Copy Trade Tungdubai"** được thiết kế để giúp các nhà giao dịch xác định hai trạng thái chính của thị trường:
1. **Thị trường đi ngang (Sideways)**:
- Điều kiện được xác định dựa trên chỉ số ADX thấp hơn ngưỡng 20, giá nằm trong dải Bollinger Bands, và chỉ số RSI dao động trong khoảng từ 45 đến 55.
- Khi thị trường đi ngang, nền của biểu đồ sẽ chuyển sang màu vàng để cảnh báo trực quan.
2. **Thị trường bùng nổ sóng mạnh (Strong Trend)**:
- Điều kiện được xác định khi ADX vượt qua ngưỡng 25 và giá phá vỡ dải Bollinger Bands (hoặc) chỉ số RSI vượt ngưỡng quá mua 70 hoặc quá bán 30.
- Khi thị trường bùng nổ sóng mạnh, nền biểu đồ sẽ chuyển sang màu xanh để cảnh báo trực quan.
**Các thành phần chính của công cụ**:
- **ADX**: Được sử dụng để đo sức mạnh xu hướng thị trường, với các ngưỡng quan trọng là 20 và 25.
- **Bollinger Bands**: Được sử dụng để xác định mức độ biến động và kiểm tra giá nằm trong hay ngoài dải.
- **RSI**: Dùng để đo mức độ quá mua/quá bán, xác định động lượng giá.
**Hiển thị trên biểu đồ**:
- Các đường ADX, RSI, và Bollinger Bands được vẽ rõ ràng, cùng với các ngưỡng quan trọng (hỗ trợ nhận biết trạng thái thị trường).
- Nền biểu đồ thay đổi màu sắc tương ứng với điều kiện thị trường.
**Cảnh báo**:
- Cảnh báo sẽ được kích hoạt khi thị trường rơi vào trạng thái đi ngang hoặc bùng nổ sóng mạnh, với các thông báo giúp người dùng hành động kịp thời.
Công cụ này là một trợ thủ hữu ích trong việc nhận biết trạng thái thị trường, từ đó giúp các nhà giao dịch đưa ra quyết định phù hợp với chiến lược của mình.
Forecasting
Dynamic Market ScannerDynamic Market Scanner is a powerful tool for analyzing financial markets, combining a variety of indicators to provide clear and understandable signals.
Key Features:
- Signal Generation:
The main signals "Buy", "Sell", and "Hold" are formed based on the analysis of indicators:
- MACD
- RSI
- SMA
- EMA
- WMA
- Hull MA
Additional Analytical Tools:
- ATR is used to assess volatility and helps to understand the risk of the current market situation.
- SMA Ichimoku does not generate signals but is used to assess their accuracy.
- If the price is above the SMA, "Buy" signals are more likely, as this confirms the strength of the upward movement.
- If the price is below the SMA, "Buy" signals require additional confirmations.
Dashboard:
Displays the current price position relative to the indicators, helping the trader understand how strong or weak the current signals are.
Advantages of Using:
1. Signal Filtering:
The price position relative to the SMA Ichimoku helps to assess the likelihood of successful trades.
2. Volatility Analysis:
ATR provides additional information about risks and market fluctuations.
3. Comprehensive Approach:
Signal generation is based on a combination of key indicators, offering a multifaceted view of the market.
Explanation of Percent Calculation in the Table:
- The table shows the values of indicators such as MACD, ATR, EMA, SMA, WMA, and Hull MA in percentages. Percentages are calculated based on the current value of the indicator relative to its maximum and minimum.
- Percentages are displayed for each indicator, allowing traders to assess market conditions based on their current values.
Dynamic Market Scanner will become a reliable assistant in your technical analysis toolkit, providing a comprehensive overview of market conditions and helping to make informed trading decisions.
MW:TA Days of the WeekENG: Vertical separators to easily detect days of the week and see which past liquidity was taken down. Screenshot example contains days of the week indicator and manually drawn lines of grabbed liquidity. Useful for trades based on liquidity grab and reaction.
Tested on Forex, Crypto, Indexes, Stocks, Commodities markets.
-
РУС: Вертикальные разделители для визуального определения дней недели и просмотра снятой ликвидности на графике. На скриншоте отмечен индикатор разделительных периодов (дней) и вручную нарисованные линии, которые отмечают снятую ликвидность и реакцию цены на снятие. Полезно для тех трейдеров, которые торгуют по реакции на снятую ликвидность.
Протестировано на рынках Форекс, Крипто, ИНдексов, Акций и Сырья.
FuTech : MACD Crossovers Advanced Alert Lines=============================================================
Indicator : FuTech: MACD Crossovers Advanced Alert Lines
Overview:
The "FuTech: MACD Crossovers Advanced Alert Lines" indicator is designed to assist traders in identifying key technical patterns using the :-
1. MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) and
2. Golden/Death Crossovers
By visualizing these indicators directly on the chart with advanced lines, it helps traders make more informed decisions on when to enter or exit trades.
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Key Features of "FuTech: MACD Crossovers Advanced Alert Lines":
1. MACD Crossovers:
a) The MACD is one of the most widely used indicators for identifying momentum shifts and potential buy/sell signals. This indicator plots vertical lines on the chart whenever the MACD line crosses the signal line.
b) Upward Crossover (Bullish Signal) : When the MACD line crosses above the signal line, a green vertical line will appear, indicating a potential buying opportunity.
c) Downward Crossover (Bearish Signal) : When the MACD line crosses below the signal line, a red vertical line will appear, signaling a potential selling opportunity.
2. Golden Cross & Death Cross:
a) The Golden Cross occurs when the price moves above a long-term moving average (like the 50-day moving average), signaling a potential upward trend.
b) The Death Cross occurs when the price moves below a long-term moving average, signaling a potential downward trend.
c) These crossovers are displayed with customizable lines on the chart to easily spot when the market is shifting direction.
d) Golden Cross (Bullish Signal) : A blue vertical line appears when the price crosses above the selected long-term moving average.
e) Death Cross (Bearish Signal) : A purple vertical line appears when the price crosses below the selected long-term moving average.
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Customization Options:
This indicator offers several customization options to suit your trading preferences:
1) MACD Settings:
a) Choose between different moving average types (EMA, SMA, or VWMA) for calculating the MACD.
b) Adjust the lengths of the fast, slow, and signal MACD periods.
c) Control the width and color of the vertical lines drawn on the chart for both up and down crossovers.
2) Golden Cross / Death Cross Settings:
a) Select the moving average type for the Golden Cross / Death Cross (EMA, SMA, or VWMA).
b) Define the lookback period for calculating the Golden Cross / Death Cross.
c) Customize the appearance of the Golden and Death Cross lines, including their width and color.
You can use both as well as either of the MACD lines or Golden Crossover / Death Crossover Lines respectively as per your trading strategies
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How "FuTech: MACD Crossovers Advanced Alert Lines" indicator Works:
a) The indicator monitors the price and calculates the MACD and Golden/Death Crosses.
b) When the MACD line crosses above or below the signal line, or when the price crosses above or below the long-term moving average, it plots a vertical line on the chart.
c) These lines help traders quickly spot potential turning points in the market, providing clear signals to act upon.
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Use Case:
a) Swing Traders: The indicator is useful for spotting momentum shifts and trend reversals, helping you time entries and exits for short- to medium-term trades.
b) Long-Term Traders: The Golden and Death Cross signals help identify major trend changes, giving insights into potential market shifts.
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Why Use This "FuTech: MACD Crossovers Advanced Alert Lines" Indicator ?
a) Clear Visuals : The vertical lines provide clear and easy-to-spot signals for MACD crossovers and Golden/Death Crosses.
b) Customizable : Adjust settings for your personal trading strategy, whether you're focusing on short-term momentum or long-term trend shifts.
c) Supports Decision Making : With its advanced line plotting and customizable features, this indicator helps you make quicker and more informed trading decisions.
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How to Use:
a) MACD Crossovers: Look for green lines to signal potential buying opportunities (when the MACD line crosses above the signal line) and red lines for selling opportunities (when the MACD line crosses below the signal line).
b) Golden Cross / Death Cross: Use the blue lines to confirm when a positive trend may begin (Golden Cross) and purple lines to warn when a negative trend may start (Death Cross).
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Conclusion:
"FuTech: MACD Crossovers Advanced Alert Lines" indicator combines two powerful technical analysis tools, the MACD and Golden/Death Crosses, to provide clear, actionable signals on your chart.
By customizing the appearance of these signals and combining them with your trading strategy, you can enhance your decision-making process and improve your trading outcomes.
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Thank you !
Jai Swaminarayan Dasna Das !
He Hari ! Bas Ek Tu Raji Tha !
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FuTech : Earnings (All 269 Fundamental Metrics of Tradingview)FuTech : Earnings Indicator
The FuTech : Earnings Indicator is a revolutionary tool, offering the most comprehensive integration of all 269 fundamental financial metrics available from the TradingView platform.
This groundbreaking indicator is designed to empower financial researchers, traders, investors, and analysts with an unmatched depth of data, enabling superior analysis and decision-making.
Overview
"FuTech : Earnings Indicator" is the first-ever indicator to provide a holistic comparison of fundamental financial metrics for any stock, covering quarterly, yearly, and trailing twelve months (TTM) periods.
This tool brings together key financial data from income statements, balance sheets, cash flows, and other critical metrics found in company annual reports.
It also incorporates additional unique features like per-employee data, R&D expenses, and capital expenditures (CapEx), which are typically hidden within dense financial statements of Annual Reports.
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Key Features and Capabilities
1. Comprehensive Financial Metrics
- "FuTech : Earnings Indicator" offers access to all 269 fundamental metrics available on TradingView platform. This includes widely used data such as revenue, profit margins, and EPS, alongside more niche metrics like R&D expenditure, employee efficiency, and financial scores developed by renowned analysts.
- Users can explore income statement data (e.g., net income, gross profit), balance sheet items (e.g., total assets, liabilities), cash flow metrics, and other financial statistics such as Altman Score, per employee expenses etc. in unparalleled detail.
2. Comparison Across Time Periods
- "FuTech : Earnings Indicator" allows users to analyze data for:
- Quarterly periods (e.g., Q1, Q2, Q3, Q4).
- Yearly comparisons for a broad historical view.
- TTM analysis to observe the most recent trends and developments.
- Users can select a minimum of 4 periods up to an unlimited range for detailed comparisons in both quarter.
3. Dynamic Data Display
- Users can select up to 5 key metrics alongside the stock price column to focus their analysis on the most relevant data points.
- Highlighting with green and red symbols offers an intuitive and visual representation:
- Green : Positive trends or improvements.
- Red : Negative trends or deteriorations.
4. Automated Averages
- "FuTech : Earnings Indicator" automatically calculates averages of selected metrics across the chosen periods. This feature helps users quickly identify performance trends and smooth out anomalies, enabling faster and more reliable research.
5. Designed for Research Excellence
- FuTech serves a wide audience, including:
- Corporate finance professionals who need a deep dive into financial metrics.
- Individual investors seeking robust tools for investment analysis.
- Broking companies and equity research analysts performing stock analysis.
- Traders looking to incorporate fundamental metrics into their strategies.
- Technical analysts seeking a better understanding of price behavior in relation to fundamentals.
- Fundamental research aspirants who want an edge in their learning process.
6. Unmatched Detail for Deeper Insights
- By pulling all 269 Financial metrics from the TradingView, "FuTech : Earnings Indicator" enables:
- Cross-comparison of a stock’s performance with its historical benchmarks.
- Evaluation of rare data like R&D expenses, CapEx trends, and employee efficiency ratios for enhanced investment insights.
- This ensures users can study stocks in greater depth than ever before.
7. Enhanced Usability
- Simple to use and visually appealing, "FuTech : Earnings Indicator" is designed with researchers in mind.
- Its intuitive interface ensures even novice users can navigate the wealth of data without feeling overwhelmed.
Applications of FuTech : Earnings Indicator
FuTech : Earnings Indicator is incredibly versatile and has applications in diverse fields of financial research and trading:
1. Corporate Finance
- Professionals in corporate finance can leverage "FuTech : Earnings Indicator" to benchmark company performance, study efficiency ratios, and evaluate financial health across various metrics.
2. Investors and Traders
- Long-term investors can use the tool to study the fundamental strengths of a stock before making buy-and-hold decisions.
- Traders can incorporate "FuTech : Earnings Indicator" into their analysis to align comprehensive fundamental trends with their targeted technical signals.
3. Equity Research Analysts
- Analysts can streamline their workflows by quickly identifying trends, outliers, and averages across large datasets.
4. Education and Research
- "FuTech : Earnings Indicator" is ideal for students and aspiring financial analysts who want a practical tool for understanding real-world data.
How FuTech : Earnings Indicator Stands Out
1. First-Ever Integration of All Financial Metrics
- It's an exclusive tool which offers the ability to explore all 269 financial metrics available on TradingView for a single stock research in-depth for quarters, years or TTM periods.
2. Period Customization
- Users have complete flexibility to select and analyze data across any range of time periods, allowing for customized insights tailored to specific research goals.
3. Data Visualization
- The intuitive use of color-coded symbols (green for positive trends, red for negative) makes complex data easy to interpret at a glance.
4. Actionable Insights
- The automated average calculations provide actionable insights for making informed decisions without manual computations.
5. Unique Metrics
- Metrics such as research and development costs, CapEx, and per-employee efficiency data offer unique angles that aren’t typically available in traditional analysis tools.
Why to Use FuTech : Earnings Indicator ?
1. Boost Your Research Power
- With FuTech, you can unlock a world of data that gives you the edge in analyzing stocks. Whether you’re a seasoned analyst or a beginner, this tool offers something for everyone.
2. Save Time and Effort
- The automated features and intuitive interface eliminate the need for time-consuming manual calculations and formatting.
3. Make Better Decisions
- "FuTech : Earnings Indicator's" detailed comparison capabilities and insightful visual aids allow for more accurate assessments of a stock’s performance and potential.
4. Broad Appeal
- From individual investors to financial institutions, FuTech is a valuable tool for anyone in the world of finance.
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Conclusion
- The FuTech : Earnings Indicator is a must-have for anyone serious about financial analysis.
- It combines the depth of all 269 fundamental metrics with intuitive tools for comparison, visualization, and calculation.
- Designed for ease of use and powerful insights, FuTech : Earnings Indicator is set to transform the way financial data is analyzed and understood.
Thank you !
Jai Swaminarayan Dasna Das !
He Hari ! Bas Ek Tu Raji Tha !
Rolling Window Geometric Brownian Motion Projections📊 Rolling GBM Projections + EV & Adjustable Confidence Bands
Overview
The Rolling GBM Projections + EV & Adjustable Confidence Bands indicator provides traders with a robust, dynamic tool to model and project future price movements using Geometric Brownian Motion (GBM). By combining GBM-based simulations, expected value (EV) calculations, and customizable confidence bands, this indicator offers valuable insights for decision-making and risk management.
Key Features
Rolling GBM Projections: Simulate potential future price paths based on drift (μμ) and volatility (σσ).
Expected Value (EV) Line: Represents the average projection of simulated price paths.
Confidence Bands: Define ranges where the price is expected to remain, adjustable from 51% to 99%.
Simulation Lines: Visualize individual GBM paths for detailed analysis.
EV of EV Line: A smoothed trend of the EV, offering additional clarity on price dynamics.
Customizable Lookback Periods: Adjust the rolling lookback periods for drift and volatility calculations.
Mathematical Foundation
1. Geometric Brownian Motion (GBM)
GBM is a mathematical model used to simulate the random movement of asset prices, described by the following stochastic differential equation:
dSt=μStdt+σStdWt
dSt=μStdt+σStdWt
Where:
StSt: Price at time tt
μμ: Drift term (expected return)
σσ: Volatility (standard deviation of returns)
dWtdWt: Wiener process (standard Brownian motion)
2. Drift (μμ) and Volatility (σσ)
Drift (μμ): Represents the average logarithmic return of the asset. Calculated using a simple moving average (SMA) over a rolling lookback period.
μ=SMA(ln(St/St−1),Lookback Drift)
μ=SMA(ln(St/St−1),Lookback Drift)
Volatility (σσ): Measures the standard deviation of logarithmic returns over a rolling lookback period.
σ=STD(ln(St/St−1),Lookback Volatility)
σ=STD(ln(St/St−1),Lookback Volatility)
3. Price Simulation Using GBM
The GBM formula for simulating future prices is:
St+Δt=St×e(μ−12σ2)Δt+σϵΔt
St+Δt=St×e(μ−21σ2)Δt+σϵΔt
Where:
ϵϵ: Random variable from a standard normal distribution (N(0,1)N(0,1)).
4. Confidence Bands
Confidence bands are determined using the Z-score corresponding to a user-defined confidence percentage (CC):
Upper Band=EV+Z⋅σ
Upper Band=EV+Z⋅σ
Lower Band=EV−Z⋅σ
Lower Band=EV−Z⋅σ
The Z-score is computed using an inverse normal distribution function, approximating the relationship between confidence and standard deviations.
Methodology
Rolling Drift and Volatility:
Drift and volatility are calculated using logarithmic returns over user-defined rolling lookback periods (default: μ=20μ=20, σ=16σ=16).
Drift defines the overall directional tendency, while volatility determines the randomness and variability of price movements.
Simulations:
Multiple GBM paths (default: 30) are generated for a specified number of projection candles (default: 12).
Each path is influenced by the current drift and volatility, incorporating random shocks to simulate real-world price dynamics.
Expected Value (EV):
The EV is calculated as the average of all simulated paths for each projection step, offering a statistical mean of potential price outcomes.
Confidence Bands:
The upper and lower bounds of the confidence bands are derived using the Z-score corresponding to the selected confidence percentage (e.g., 68%, 95%).
EV of EV:
A running average of the EV values, providing a smoothed perspective of price trends over the projection horizon.
Indicator Functionality
User Inputs:
Drift Lookback (Bars): Define the number of bars for rolling drift calculation (default: 20).
Volatility Lookback (Bars): Define the number of bars for rolling volatility calculation (default: 16).
Projection Candles (Bars): Set the number of bars to project future prices (default: 12).
Number of Simulations: Specify the number of GBM paths to simulate (default: 30).
Confidence Percentage: Input the desired confidence level for bands (default: 68%, adjustable from 51% to 99%).
Visualization Components:
Simulation Lines (Blue): Display individual GBM paths to visualize potential price scenarios.
Expected Value (EV) Line (Orange): Highlight the mean projection of all simulated paths.
Confidence Bands (Green & Red): Show the upper and lower confidence limits.
EV of EV Line (Orange Dashed): Provide a smoothed trendline of the EV values.
Current Price (White): Overlay the real-time price for context.
Display Toggles:
Enable or disable components (e.g., simulation lines, EV line, confidence bands) based on preference.
Practical Applications
Risk Management:
Utilize confidence bands to set stop-loss levels and manage trade risk effectively.
Use narrower confidence intervals (e.g., 50%) for aggressive strategies or wider intervals (e.g., 95%) for conservative approaches.
Trend Analysis:
Observe the EV and EV of EV lines to identify overarching trends and potential reversals.
Scenario Planning:
Analyze simulation lines to explore potential outcomes under varying market conditions.
Statistical Insights:
Leverage confidence bands to understand the statistical likelihood of price movements.
How to Use
Add the Indicator:
Copy the script into the TradingView Pine Editor, save it, and apply it to your chart.
Customize Settings:
Adjust the lookback periods for drift and volatility.
Define the number of projection candles and simulations.
Set the confidence percentage to tailor the bands to your strategy.
Interpret the Visualization:
Use the EV and confidence bands to guide trade entry, exit, and position sizing decisions.
Combine with other indicators for a holistic trading strategy.
Disclaimer
This indicator is a mathematical and statistical tool. It does not guarantee future performance.
Use it in conjunction with other forms of analysis and always trade responsibly.
Happy Trading! 🚀
Anchored Geometric Brownian Motion Projections w/EVAnchored GBM (Geometric Brownian Motion) Projections + EV & Confidence Bands
Version: Pine Script v6
Overlay: Yes
Author:
Published On:
Overview
The Anchored GBM Projections + EV & Confidence Bands indicator leverages the Geometric Brownian Motion (GBM) model to project future price movements based on historical data. By simulating multiple potential future price paths, it provides traders with insights into possible price trajectories, their expected values, and confidence intervals. Additionally, it offers a "Mean of EV" (EV of EV) line, representing the running average of expected values across the projection period.
Key Features
Anchor Time Setup:
Define a specific point in time from which the projections commence.
By default, it uses the current bar's timestamp but can be customized.
Projection Parameters:
Projection Candles (Bars): Determines the number of future bars (time periods) to project.
Number of Simulations: Specifies how many GBM paths to simulate, ensuring statistical relevance via the Central Limit Theorem (CLT).
Display Toggles:
Simulation Lines: Visual representation of individual GBM simulation paths.
Expected Value (EV) Line: The average price across all simulations at each projection bar.
Upper & Lower Confidence Bands: 95% confidence intervals indicating potential price boundaries.
EV of EV Line: Running average of EV values, providing a smoothed central tendency across the projection period. Additionally, this line often acts as an indicator of trend direction.
Visualization:
Clear and distinguishable lines with customizable colors and styles.
Overlayed on the price chart for direct comparison with actual price movements.
Mathematical Foundation
Geometric Brownian Motion (GBM):
Definition: GBM is a continuous-time stochastic process used to model stock prices. It assumes that the logarithm of the stock price follows a Brownian motion with drift.
Equation:
S(t)=S0⋅e(μ−12σ2)t+σW(t)
S(t)=S0⋅e(μ−21σ2)t+σW(t) Where:
S(t)S(t) = Stock price at time tt
S0S0 = Initial stock price
μμ = Drift coefficient (average return)
σσ = Volatility coefficient (standard deviation of returns)
W(t)W(t) = Wiener process (standard Brownian motion)
Drift (μμ) and Volatility (σσ):
Drift (μμ) represents the expected return of the stock.
Volatility (σσ) measures the stock's price fluctuation intensity.
Central Limit Theorem (CLT):
Principle: With a sufficiently large number of independent simulations, the distribution of the sample mean (EV) approaches a normal distribution, regardless of the underlying distribution.
Application: Ensures that the EV and confidence bands are statistically reliable.
Expected Value (EV) and Confidence Bands:
EV: The mean price across all simulations at each projection bar.
Confidence Bands: Range within which the actual price is expected to lie with a specified probability (e.g., 95%).
EV of EV (Mean of Sample Means):
Definition: Represents the running average of EV values across the projection period, offering a smoothed central tendency.
Methodology
Anchor Time Setup:
The indicator starts projecting from a user-defined Anchor Time. If not customized, it defaults to the current bar's timestamp.
Purpose: Allows users to analyze projections from a specific historical point or the latest market data.
Calculating Drift and Volatility:
Returns Calculation: Computes the logarithmic returns from the Anchor Time to the current bar.
returns=ln(StSt−1)
returns=ln(St−1St)
Drift (μμ): Calculated as the simple moving average (SMA) of returns over the period since the Anchor Time.
Volatility (σσ): Determined using the standard deviation (stdev) of returns over the same period.
Simulation Generation:
Number of Simulations: The user defines how many GBM paths to simulate (e.g., 30).
Projection Candles: Determines the number of future bars to project (e.g., 12).
Process:
For each simulation:
Start from the current close price.
For each projection bar:
Generate a random number zz from a standard normal distribution.
Calculate the next price using the GBM formula:
St+1=St⋅e(μ−12σ2)+σz
St+1=St⋅e(μ−21σ2)+σz
Store the projected price in an array.
Expected Value (EV) and Confidence Bands Calculation:
EV Path: At each projection bar, compute the mean of all simulated prices.
Variance and Standard Deviation: Calculate the variance and standard deviation of simulated prices to determine the confidence intervals.
Confidence Bands: Using the standard normal z-score (1.96 for 95% confidence), establish upper and lower bounds:
Upper Band=EV+z⋅σEV
Upper Band=EV+z⋅σEV
Lower Band=EV−z⋅σEV
Lower Band=EV−z⋅σEV
EV of EV (Running Average of EV Values):
Calculation: For each projection bar, compute the average of all EV values up to that bar.
EV of EV =1j+1∑k=0jEV
EV of EV =j+11k=0∑jEV
Visualization: Plotted as a dynamic line reflecting the evolving average EV across the projection period.
Visualization Elements
Simulation Lines:
Appearance: Semi-transparent blue lines representing individual GBM simulation paths.
Purpose: Illustrate a range of possible future price trajectories based on current drift and volatility.
Expected Value (EV) Line:
Appearance: Solid orange line.
Purpose: Shows the average projected price at each future bar across all simulations.
Confidence Bands:
Upper Band: Dashed green line indicating the upper 95% confidence boundary.
Lower Band: Dashed red line indicating the lower 95% confidence boundary.
Purpose: Highlight the range within which the price is statistically expected to remain with 95% confidence.
EV of EV Line:
Appearance: Dashed purple line.
Purpose: Displays the running average of EV values, providing a smoothed trend of the central tendency across the projection period. As the mean of sample means it approximates the population mean (i.e. the trend since the anchor point.)
Current Price:
Appearance: Semi-transparent white line.
Purpose: Serves as a reference point for comparing actual price movements against projected paths.
Usage Instructions
Configuring User Inputs:
Anchor Time:
Set to a specific timestamp to start projections from a historical point or leave it as default to use the current bar's time.
Projection Candles (Bars):
Define the number of future bars to project (e.g., 12). Adjust based on your trading timeframe and analysis needs.
Number of Simulations:
Specify the number of GBM paths to simulate (e.g., 30). Higher numbers yield more accurate EV and confidence bands but may impact performance.
Display Toggles:
Show Simulation Lines: Toggle to display or hide individual GBM simulation paths.
Show Expected Value Line: Toggle to display or hide the EV path.
Show Upper Confidence Band: Toggle to display or hide the upper confidence boundary.
Show Lower Confidence Band: Toggle to display or hide the lower confidence boundary.
Show EV of EV Line: Toggle to display or hide the running average of EV values.
Managing TradingView's Object Limits:
Understanding Limits:
TradingView imposes a limit on the number of graphical objects (e.g., lines) that can be rendered. High values for projection candles and simulations can quickly consume these limits. TradingView appears to only allow a total of 55 candles to be projected, so if you want to see two complete lines, you would have to set the projection length to 27: since 27 * 2 = 54 and 54 < 55.
Optimizing Performance:
Use Toggles: Enable only the necessary visual elements. For instance, disable simulation lines and confidence bands when focusing on the EV and EV of EV lines. You can also use the maximum projection length of 55 with the lower limit confidence band as the only line, visualizing a long horizon for your risk.
Adjust Parameters: Lower the number of projection candles or simulations to stay within object limits without compromising essential insights.
Interpreting the Indicator:
Simulation Lines (Blue):
Represent individual potential future price paths based on GBM. A wider spread indicates higher volatility.
Expected Value (EV) Line (Goldenrod):
Shows the mean projected price at each future bar, providing a central trend.
Confidence Bands (Green & Red):
Indicate the statistical range (95% confidence) within which the price is expected to remain.
EV of EV Line (Dotted Line - Goldenrod):
Reflects the running average of EV values, offering a smoothed perspective of expected price trends over the projection period.
Current Price (White):
Serves as a benchmark for assessing how actual prices compare to projected paths.
Practical Applications
Risk Management:
Confidence Bands: Help in identifying potential support and resistance levels based on statistical confidence intervals.
EV Path: Assists in setting realistic target prices and stop-loss levels aligned with projected expectations.
Trend Analysis:
EV of EV Line: Offers a smoothed trendline, aiding in identifying overarching market directions amidst price volatility. Indicative of the population mean/overall trend of the data since your anchor point.
Scenario Planning:
Simulation Lines: Enable traders to visualize multiple potential outcomes, fostering better decision-making under uncertainty.
Performance Evaluation:
Comparing Actual vs. Projected Prices: Assess how actual price movements align with projected scenarios, refining trading strategies over time.
Mathematical and Statistical Insights
Simulation Integrity:
Independence: Each simulation path is generated independently, ensuring unbiased and diverse projections.
Randomness: Utilizes a Gaussian random number generator to introduce variability in diffusion terms, mimicking real market randomness.
Statistical Reliability:
Central Limit Theorem (CLT): By simulating a sufficient number of paths (e.g., 30), the sample mean (EV) converges to the population mean, ensuring reliable EV and confidence band calculations.
Variance Calculation: Accurate computation of variance from simulation data ensures precise confidence intervals.
Dynamic Projections:
Running Average (EV of EV): Provides a cumulative perspective, allowing traders to observe how the average expectation evolves as the projection progresses.
Customization and Enhancements
Adjustable Parameters:
Tailor the projection length and simulation count to match your trading style and analysis depth.
Visual Customization:
Modify line colors, styles, and transparency to enhance clarity and fit chart aesthetics.
Extended Statistical Metrics:
Future iterations can incorporate additional metrics like median projections, skewness, or alternative confidence intervals.
Dynamic Recalculation:
Implement logic to automatically update projections as new data becomes available, ensuring real-time relevance.
Performance Considerations
Object Count Management:
High simulation counts and extended projection periods can lead to a significant number of graphical objects, potentially slowing down chart performance.
Solution: Utilize display toggles effectively and optimize projection parameters to balance detail with performance.
Computational Efficiency:
The script employs efficient array handling and conditional plotting to minimize unnecessary computations and object creation.
Conclusion
The Anchored GBM Projections + EV & Confidence Bands indicator is a robust tool for traders seeking to forecast potential future price movements using statistical models. By integrating Geometric Brownian Motion simulations with expected value calculations and confidence intervals, it offers a comprehensive view of possible market scenarios. The addition of the "EV of EV" line further enhances analytical depth by providing a running average of expected values, aiding in trend identification and strategic decision-making.
Hope it helps!
US and Asia Trading Hoursadds vertical lines to your chart that show US trading hours 9-4 and NY trading hours based off of EST
Eroina Trend Reversal Indicator with ConfirmationsEroina Trend Reversal Indicator with Confirmations
Overview (English):
The Trend Reversal Indicator with Confirmations is designed to identify potential trend reversals by analyzing dynamic resistance and support levels. This script uses a robust confirmation system to reduce false signals, making it ideal for traders who seek disciplined, data-driven decisions.
Key Features:
• Dynamic Levels: Calculates resistance and support levels based on user-defined lengths.
• Breakout Confirmation: Confirms trend reversals by validating price action over a specified number of candles.
• Visual Cues: Displays “LONG” and “SHORT” signals directly on the chart, alongside resistance/support levels.
• Customizable Parameters: Adaptable to different timeframes and market conditions.
How It Works:
1. Resistance & Support Levels:
• Resistance: Calculated as the highest high over the last N bars.
• Support: Calculated as the lowest low over the last N bars.
2. Breakout Detection:
• A resistance breakout occurs when the price closes above the resistance level.
• A support breakout occurs when the price closes below the support level.
3. Confirmation Logic:
• Signals are validated only if the price remains above/below the levels for a user-defined number of candles.
4. Entry Signals:
• “LONG” signals indicate a confirmed breakout above resistance.
• “SHORT” signals indicate a confirmed breakdown below support.
Settings:
• Resistance Length: Defines the number of candles used to calculate resistance levels.
• Support Length: Defines the number of candles used to calculate support levels.
• Confirmation Candles: Specifies how many candles are required to confirm breakouts.
Usage:
This indicator is ideal for identifying trend reversals and optimizing entry points. Combine it with volume analysis or other technical indicators to enhance accuracy. For example:
• Use in conjunction with RSI to avoid overbought/oversold conditions.
• Combine with moving averages to confirm the trend direction.
Overview (Additional Language):
(Your additional language description can go here after English, e.g., Russian, Spanish, etc.)
Line Break Chart StrategyHello All!
We should not pass this year without a gift!
My last publication in 2024 is Complete Line Break Chart Strategy with many features!
What is Line Break Chart?
" Line Break is a Japanese chart style that disregards time intervals and only focuses on price movements, similar to the Kagi and Renko chart styles. Line Break charts form a series of up and down bars (referred to as lines). Up lines represent rising prices, and down lines represent falling prices. New confirmed lines only form on the chart when closing prices break the range covered by previous lines. Users can control the number of past lines used in the calculation via the "Number of Lines" input in the chart settings. The typical "Number of Lines" setting is 3, meaning the chart forms a new up line when the closing price is above the high prices of the last three lines, and it forms a new down line when the closing price is below the past three lines' low prices. If the current price is higher, it is an up line and if it is lower, it is a down line. If the current closing price is the same or the move in the opposite direction is not large enough to warrant a reversal, l then no new line is draw n" by Tradingview. You can find it here
Now let's start examining the features of the indicator:
By using Line break reversals it shows trend on the main chart. You can create alert .
Moreover, you can decide which trade should be taken by using Risk Management in the indicator. You can set the " Maximum Risk " and then if the risk is more than you set then the trade is not taken. When trend changed it checks the distance between reversal level and open price and compare it with the Maximum Risk
Breakout:
It can find breakouts and shows on the chart. You can create alert for breakouts
It can show breakouts on the main chart:
Flip-Flops:
Upon looking at set of price break charts, the trader will notice that there are instances when uptrend blocks is followed by one reversal block, and then by a reversal to a series of uptrend blocks. The opposite is also possible: a series of downtrend blocks is followed by one reversal box and then by an immediate reversal to downtrend. This price action is called a " Flip-Flop ". This structure usually produces trend continuation signal. when we see this then we better use Buy/Sell stop order. lets see this on the chart:
Temporal Sequence Table:
Sequence frequency shows the frequency distribution of the number of sequential highs and the number of sequential lows that have been generated. This is quite important to the trader who is seeking to join a trend or put on a trade when the price break reverses into a new trend direction. For example, if the pattern over the past year has been that there never were more than nine consecutive high closes, it would make sense not to enter a position late into the sequence of new high closes.
also you can see market structure. I have tried to formalize it and show it under the table. so you can understand if it's choppy market.
"Number of Lines" has very important role. While using low time frames such seconds/minutes time frame you may want to choose higher number of lines such 5,6. ( this may minimize the risk of a whipsaw )
Gaps feature:
You can set Gaps on/off. if Gaps on then you can see how long it takes for each box
Reversal and Continuation Probability:
The script calculated Reversal level and Continuation probability of the trend by using Sequence frequency.
It also shows unconfirmed box and current closing price level:
Last but not least it has Overlay option for all items, and can show all items in the main chart!
P.S. I added alerts :)
Wish you all a happy new year!
Enjoy!
Longest Candles HighlighterDescription:
The Longest Candles Highlighter is a simple yet effective tool that identifies and highlights candles with significant price ranges. By visually marking candles that meet specific size criteria, this indicator helps traders quickly spot high-volatility moments or significant market moves on the chart.
Features:
1. Customizable Candle Range:
- Define the minimum and maximum candle size in pips using input fields.
- Tailor the indicator to highlight candles that are most relevant to your trading strategy.
2. Flexible for Different Markets:
- Automatically adjusts pip calculation based on the instrument type (Forex or non-Forex).
- Accounts for differences in pip values, such as the 0.01 pip for JPY pairs in Forex.
3. Visual Highlighting:
- Highlights qualifying candles with a customizable background color for easy identification.
- The default color is red, but you can choose any color to match your chart theme.
4. Precision and Efficiency:
- Quickly scans and identifies candles that meet your criteria, saving you time in analyzing charts.
- Works seamlessly across all timeframes and asset classes.
How It Works:
- The indicator calculates the range of each candle in pips by subtracting the low from the high and dividing by the appropriate pip value.
- It checks whether the candle's size falls within the user-defined minimum and maximum pip range.
- If the conditions are met, the background of the candle is highlighted with the specified color, drawing your attention to significant price movements.
Use Case:
- This indicator is ideal for identifying key market moments, such as breakouts, volatility spikes, or significant price movements.
- Traders can use it to quickly locate large candles on any chart, aiding in technical analysis and strategy development.
This tool simplifies the process of spotting important candles, empowering traders to make faster and more informed trading decisions.
JCM_MadridThis indicator provides dynamic bar coloring and buy/sell signals based on EMA relationships and price momentum. It allows traders to visually identify trend changes and potential trade opportunities directly on the chart.
Indicator Basics:
Name: The script is titled "JCM_Madrid".
Overlay: It overlays its calculations and outputs directly on the price chart.
User Inputs:
-Range: Defines the length of the EMA (Exponential Moving Average).
-Ref-1 and Ref-2: Set reference lengths for secondary EMAs used in the calculations.
-Source: The price data source for EMA calculations (e.g., close, open, high, low).
-Enable Buy/Sell: Boolean toggles to activate or deactivate buy and sell signals.
Calculations:
EMA Value: Computes the main EMA based on the source and Range.
CloseMA: The difference between the close price and the EMA.
SqzMA: The difference between a secondary EMA (Ref-1) and the main EMA.
RefMA: The difference between another secondary EMA (Ref-2) and the main EMA.
Bar Coloring:
Bars are colored based on the relationship between SqzMA and CloseMA:
Purple: When SqzMA > CloseMA.
Blue: When SqzMA < CloseMA.
Buy/Sell Signals:
A Buy Signal is generated when:
CloseMA crosses from below to above 0.
The close price is higher than the previous close.
Buy signals are enabled.
A Sell Signal is generated when:
CloseMA crosses from above to below 0.
The close price is lower than the previous close.
Sell signals are enabled.
Signals are displayed as labels on the chart:
"Buy": Green label below the candle.
"Sell": Yellow label below the candle
Compare TOTAL, TOTAL2, TOTAL3, and OTHERSCompare TOTAL, TOTAL2, TOTAL3, and OTHERS
This indicator compares the performance of major cryptocurrency market cap indices: TOTAL, TOTAL2, TOTAL3, and OTHERS. It normalizes each index's performance relative to its starting value and visualizes their relative changes over time.
Features
- Normalized Performance: Tracks the percentage change of each index from its initial value.
- Customizable Timeframe: Allows users to select a base timeframe for the data (e.g., daily, weekly).
- Dynamic Labels: Displays the latest performance of each index as a label on the chart, aligned to the right of the corresponding line for easy comparison.
- Color-Coded Lines: Each index is assigned a distinct color for clear differentiation:
-- TOTAL (Blue): Represents the total cryptocurrency market cap.
-- TOTAL2 (Green): Excludes Bitcoin.
-- TOTAL3 (Orange): Excludes Bitcoin and Ethereum.
-- OTHERS (Red): Represents all cryptocurrencies excluding the top 10 by market cap.
- Baseline Reference: Includes a horizontal line at 0% for reference.
Use Cases:
- Market Trends: Identify which segments of the cryptocurrency market are outperforming or underperforming over time.
- Portfolio Insights: Assess the impact of Bitcoin and Ethereum dominance on the broader market.
- Market Analysis: Compare smaller-cap coins (OTHERS) with broader indices (TOTAL, TOTAL2, and TOTAL3).
This script is ideal for traders and analysts who want a quick, visual way to track how different segments of the cryptocurrency market perform relative to each other over time.
Note: The performance is normalized to highlight percentage changes, not absolute values.
Pi Cycle MACD Inverse OscillatorPi Cycle MACD Inverse Oscillator with Gradient and Days Since Last Top
This indicator is ideal for Bitcoin traders seeking a robust tool to visualize long-term and short-term trends with enhanced clarity and actionable insights.
This script combines the concept of the Pi Cycle indicator with a unique MACD-based inverse oscillator to analyze Bitcoin market trends. It introduces several features to help traders understand market conditions better:
Inverse Oscillator:
- Oscillator ranges between 1 and -1.
- A value of 1 indicates the two moving averages (350 MA and 111 MA) are equal.
- A value of -1 indicates the maximum observed distance between the moving averages during the selected lookback period.
- The oscillator dynamically adjusts to price changes using a configurable scaling factor.
Gradient Visualization:
The oscillator line transitions smoothly from green (closer to -1) to yellow (at 0) and red (closer to 1).
The color gradient provides a quick visual cue for market momentum.
Days Since Last Pi Cycle Top:
Calculates and displays the number of days since the last "Pi Cycle Top" (defined as a crossover between the two moving averages).
The label updates dynamically and appears only on the most recent bar.
Conditional Fill:
Highlights the area between 0 and 1 with a green gradient when the price is above the long moving average.
Enhances visual understanding of the oscillator's position relative to key thresholds.
Inputs:
- Long Moving Average (350 default): Determines the primary trend.
- Short Moving Average (111 default): Measures shorter-term momentum.
- Oscillator Lookback Period (100 default): Defines the range for normalizing the oscillator.
- Price Scaling Factor (0.01 default): Adjusts the normalization to account for large price fluctuations.
How to Use:
- Use the oscillator to identify potential reversal points and trend momentum.
- Look for transitions in the gradient color and the position relative to 0.
- Monitor the "Days Since Last Top" label for insights into the market's cycle timing.
- Utilize the conditional fill to quickly assess when the market is in a favorable position above the long moving average.
ForecastPro by BinhMyco1. Overview:
This Pine Script implements a custom forecasting tool on TradingView, labeled "BinhMyco." It provides a method to predict future price movements based on historical data and a comparison with similar historical patterns. The script supports two types of forecasts: **Prediction** and **Replication**, where the forecasted price can be either based on price peaks/troughs or an average direction. The script also calculates a confidence probability, showing how closely the forecasted data aligns with historical trends.
2. Inputs:
- Source (`src`): The input data source for forecasting, which defaults to `open`.
- Length (`len`): The length of the training data used for analysis (fixed at 200).
- Reference Length (`leng`): A fixed reference length for comparing similar historical patterns (set to 70).
- Forecast Length (`length`): The length of the forecast period (fixed at 60).
- Multiplier (`mult`): A constant multiplier for the forecast confidence cone (set to 4.0).
- Forecast Type (`typ`): Type of forecast, either **Prediction** or **Replication**.
- Direction Type (`dirtyp`): Defines how the forecast is calculated — either based on price **peaks/troughs** or an **average direction**.
- Forecast Divergence Cone (`divcone`): A boolean option to enable the display of a confidence cone around the forecast.
3. Color Constants:
- Green (`#00ffbb`): Color used for upward price movements.
- Red (`#ff0000`): Color used for downward price movements.
- Reference Data Color (`refcol`): Blue color for the reference data.
- Similar Data Color (`simcol`): Orange color for the most similar data.
- Forecast Data Color (`forcol`): Yellow color for forecasted data.
4. Error Checking:
- The script checks if the reference length is greater than half the training data length, and if the forecast length exceeds the reference length, raising errors if either condition is true.
5. Arrays for Calculation:
- Correlation Array (`c`): Holds the correlation values between the data source (`src`) and historical data points.
- Index Array (`index`): Stores the indices of the historical data for comparison.
6. Forecasting Logic:
- Correlation Calculation: The script calculates the correlation between the historical data (`src`) and the reference data over the given reference length. It then identifies the point in history most similar to the current data.
- Forecast Price Calculation: Based on the type of forecast (Prediction or Replication), the script calculates future prices either by predicting based on similar bars or by replicating past data. The forecasted prices are stored in the `forecastPrices` array.
- Forecast Line Drawing: The script draws lines to represent the forecasted price movements. These lines are color-coded based on whether the forecasted price is higher or lower than the current price.
7. Divergence Cone (Optional):
- If the **divcone** option is enabled, the script calculates and draws a confidence cone around the forecasted prices. The upper and lower bounds of the cone are calculated using a standard deviation factor, providing a visual representation of forecast uncertainty.
8. Probability Table:
- A table is displayed on the chart, showing the probability of the forecast being accurate. This probability is calculated using the correlation between the current data and the most similar historical pattern. If the probability is positive, the table background turns green; if negative, it turns red. The probability is presented as a percentage.
9. Key Functions:
- `highest_range` and `lowest_range`: Functions to find the highest and lowest price within a range of bars.
- `ftype`: Determines the forecast type (Prediction or Replication) and adjusts the forecasting logic accordingly.
- `ftypediff`: Computes the difference between the forecasted and actual prices based on the selected forecast type.
- `ftypelim`, `ftypeleft`, `ftyperight`: Additional functions to adjust the calculation of the forecast based on the forecast type.
10. Conclusion:
The "ForecastPro" script is a unique tool for forecasting future price movements on TradingView. It compares historical price data with similar historical trends to generate predictions. The script also offers a customizable confidence cone and displays the probability of the forecast's accuracy. This tool provides traders with valuable insights into future price action, potentially enhancing decision-making in trading strategies.
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This script provides advanced functionality for traders who wish to explore price forecasting, and can be customized to fit various trading styles.
Market Movement After OpenDescription:
This script provides a detailed visualization of market movements during key trading hours: the German market opening (08:00–09:00 UTC+1) and the US market opening (15:30–16:30 UTC+1). It is designed to help traders analyze price behavior in these critical trading periods by capturing and presenting movement patterns and trends directly on the chart and in an interactive table.
Key Features:
Market Movement Analysis:
Tracks the price movement during the German market's first hour (08:00–09:00 UTC+1) and the US market's opening session (15:30–16:30 UTC+1).
Analyzes whether the price moved up or down during these intervals.
Visual Representation:
Dynamically colored price lines indicate upward (green) or downward (red) movement during the respective periods.
Labels ("DE" for Germany and "US" for the United States) mark key moments in the chart.
Historical Data Table:
Displays the past 10 trading days' movement trends in an interactive table, including:
Date: Trading date.
German Market Movement: Up (▲), Down (▼), or Neutral (-) for 08:00–09:00 UTC+1.
US Market Movement: Up (▲), Down (▼), or Neutral (-) for 15:30–16:30 UTC+1.
The table uses color coding for easy interpretation: green for upward movements, red for downward, and gray for neutral.
Real-Time Updates:
Automatically updates during live trading sessions to reflect the most recent movements.
Highlights incomplete periods (e.g., ongoing sessions) to indicate their status.
Customizable:
Suitable for intraday analysis or broader studies of market trends.
Designed to overlay directly on any price chart.
Use Case:
This script is particularly useful for traders who focus on market openings, which are often characterized by high volatility and significant price movements. By providing a clear visual representation of historical and live data, it aids in understanding and capitalizing on market trends during these critical periods.
Notes:
The script works best when the chart is set to the appropriate timezone (UTC+1 for the German market or your local equivalent).
For precise trading decisions, consider combining this script with other technical indicators or trading strategies.
Feel free to share feedback or suggest additional features to enhance the script!
M2 Global Liquidity Index - Time-Shift - KHM2 Global Liquidity Index - Enhanced Time-Shift Indicator
Based on original work by @Mik3Christ3ns3n
Enhanced with advanced time-shift functionality and overlay capabilities.
Description:
This indicator tracks and visualizes the global M2 money supply from five major economies, allowing precise time-shift analysis for correlation studies. All values are converted to USD in real-time and aggregated to provide a comprehensive view of global liquidity conditions.
Key Features:
- Advanced time-shift capability (-1000 to +1000 days) with shape preservation
- Real-time currency conversion to USD
- Overlay functionality with main chart
- Right-scale display for better comparison
- Full historical data preservation during time shifts
Components Tracked:
- US M2 Money Supply (USM2)
- China M2 Money Supply (CNM2)
- Eurozone M2 Money Supply (EUM2)
- Japan M2 Money Supply (JPM2)
- UK M2 Money Supply (GBM2)
Primary Use Cases:
1. Correlation Analysis:
- Compare global liquidity trends with asset prices
- Identify leading/lagging relationships through time-shift
- Study monetary policy impacts across different time periods
2. Market Analysis:
- Track global liquidity conditions
- Monitor central bank policy effects
- Identify potential macro trend changes
Settings:
- Time Offset: Shift the M2 data backwards or forwards (-1000 to +1000 days)
- Positive values: Move M2 data into the future
- Negative values: Move M2 data into the past
- Zero: Current alignment
Technical Notes:
- Data updates follow central banks' M2 publication schedules
- All currency conversions performed in real-time
- Historical shape preservation during time-shifts
- Enhanced data consistency through lookahead mechanism
Credits:
Original concept and base code by @Mik3Christ3ns3n
Enhanced version includes advanced time-shift capabilities and shape preservation
License:
Pine Script™ code is subject to the terms of the Mozilla Public License 2.0
#M2 #GlobalLiquidity #MoneySupply #Macro #CentralBanks #MonetaryPolicy #TimeShift #Correlation #TradingIndicator #MacroAnalysis #LiquidityAnalysis #MarketIndicator
Pivot Highs/Lows with Bar CountsWhat does the indicator do?
This indicator adds labels to a chart at swing (a.k.a., "pivot") highs and lows. Each label may contain a date, the closing price at the swing, the number of bars since the last swing in the same direction, and the number of bars from the last swing in the opposite direction. A table is also added to the chart that shows the average, min, and max number of bars between swings.
OK, but how do I use it?
Many markets -- especially sideways-moving ones -- commonly cycle between swing highs and lows at regular time intervals. By measuring the number of bars between highs and lows -- both same-sided swings (i.e., H-H and L-L) and opposite-sided swings (i.e., H-L and L-H) -- you can then project the averages of those bar counts from the last high or low swing to make predictions about where the next swing high or low should occur. Note that this indicator does not make the projection for you. You have to determine which swing you want to project from and then use the bar counts from the indicator to draw a line, place a label, etc.
Example: Chart of BTC/USD
The indicator shows pivot highs and lows with bar counts, and it displays a table of stats on those pivots.
If you focus on the center section of the chart, you can see that prices were moving in a sideways channel with very regular highs and lows. This indicator counts the bars between these pivots, and you could have used those counts to predict when the next high or low may have occurred.
The bar counts do not work as well on the more recent section of the chart because there are no regularly time swings.
Market Open Levels v3This indicator "Market Open Levels v3" allows a chart user to automatically display up to 20 previous price levels at the open price of up to 8 different markets simultaneously on one indicator.
The user can specify custom labels for each market's price level, as well as adjust the GMT Offset to allow for market open times in a different timezone than the chart's displayed time.
Displays price level at specified market open times. For instance, if a user specifies a market opens at 08:00, then a price level (horizontal line) will be drawn at the most recent 08:00 candle's open price (if GMT Offset is set to 0).
See tooltips for more information on specific inputs.
Three Step Future-Trend [BigBeluga]Three Step Future-Trend by BigBeluga is a forward-looking trend analysis tool designed to project potential future price direction based on historical periods. This indicator aggregates data from three consecutive periods, using price averages and delta volume analysis to forecast trend movement and visualize it on the chart with a projected trend line and volume metrics.
🔵 Key Features:
Three Period Analysis: Calculates price averages and delta volumes from three specified periods, creating a consolidated view of historical price movement.
Future Trend Line Projection: Plots a forward trend line based on the calculated averag of three periods, helping traders visualize potential future price movement.
Avg Delta Volume and Future Price Label: Shows a delta average Volume a long with a Future Price label at the end of the projected trend line, indicating the possible future delta volume and future Price.
Volume Data Table: Displays a detailed table showing delta and total volume for each of the three periods, allowing quick volume comparison to support the projected trend.
This indicator provides a dynamic way to anticipate market direction by blending price and volume data, giving traders insights into both volume and trend strength in upcoming periods.
DCA Order Info PlannerDescription :
This script is a Dollar-Cost Averaging (DCA) order planner designed for SPOT, LONG, and SHORT markets. It automatically calculates the optimal price levels for your orders based on configurable parameters, while also considering leverage and liquidation price.
🔹 Key Features:
1. Automatic Order Planning:
- The script calculates price levels for your orders based on an adjustable scaling coefficient (default: 1.5).
- You can set the percentage interval between each order (default: 2%).
- Displays the number of units to buy/sell at each level.
2.Leverage Management:
- Integrates a configurable leverage and computes the liquidation price for LONG and SHORT positions.
3.Clear Visual Display:
- Markers on the chart indicating order levels with customizable labels.
- A summary table shows price levels and corresponding quantities.
- Visualizes Stop Loss and Take Profit levels if defined.
4.Automatic Alerts:
- Sends alerts when the price reaches an order level.
🔹 Customizable Parameters:
- Starting Price: Initial price for calculating orders.
- Budget: Total budget for DCA orders.
- Leverage: Multiplier for LONG/SHORT positions.
- Scaling Coefficient: Adjusts the spacing between order levels.
- Maximum DCA Levels: Limits the number of generated orders.
🔹 How to Use:
1. Configure the parameters according to your strategy.
2. The script displays order levels and quantities on the chart.
3. Use the summary table to manually input orders on your favorite trading platform.
This script is particularly useful in volatile market conditions to average your entry or exit price and manage risk effectively.
Supertrend with Correct Y-axis Scaling OLEG_SLSThe functionality of the script:
1. Supertrend Calculation:
-The trend (Supertrend line) is updated dynamically:
-If the price is above the previous trend, the line follows the upper limit.
-If the price is lower, the line follows the lower boundary.
2. Calculation of the Supertrend for the higher timeframe:
-The function is used to calculate the Supertrend for the hourly, regardless of the current timeframe on the chart.
3. Buy and Sell Signals:
-Buy signal: When the price crosses the Supertrend line up and is above the Supertrend line.
-A sales signal: When the price crosses the Supertrend line down and is below the Supertrend line.
4. Display on the chart
-The Supertrend line is displayed:
-Green if the price is above the Supertrend line.
-Red if the price is below the Supertrend line.
-The Supertrend line for the hourly timeframe is displayed in blue.
5. Alerts
Two types of alerts are created:
-Buy Alert: When there is a buy signal.
-Sell Alert: When there is a sell signal.
Features and recommendations:
-Supertrend works best in trending markets. In a sideways movement, it can give false signals.
-Check the signals on multiple timeframes for confirmation.
-Add additional indicators (for example, RSI or MACD) to filter the signals.
-Test the strategy on historical data before using it in real trading.
_________________________________________________________________________________
Функционал скрипта:
1. Расчет Supertrend:
-Тренд (линия Supertrend) обновляется динамически:
-Если цена выше предыдущего тренда, линия следует за верхней границей.
-Если цена ниже, линия следует за нижней границей.
2. Расчет Supertrend для старшего таймфрейма:
-Используется функция чтобы рассчитать Supertrend для часового,независимо от текущего таймфрейма на графике.
3. Сигналы покупки и продажи:
-Сигнал покупки: Когда цена пересекает линию Supertrend вверх и находится выше линии Supertrend.
-Сигнал продажи: Когда цена пересекает линию Supertrend вниз и находится ниже линии Supertrend.
4. Отображение на графике
-Линия Supertrend отображается:
-Зеленым, если цена выше линии Supertrend.
-Красным, если цена ниже линии Supertrend.
-Линия Supertrend для часового таймфрейма отображается синим цветом.
5. Оповещения
Создаются два типа оповещений:
-Buy Alert: Когда возникает сигнал на покупку.
-Sell Alert: Когда возникает сигнал на продажу.
Особенности и рекомендации:
-Supertrend лучше всего работает в трендовых рынках. В боковом движении может давать ложные сигналы.
-Проверяйте сигналы на нескольких таймфреймах для подтверждения.
-Добавьте дополнительные индикаторы (например, RSI или MACD) для фильтрации сигналов.
-Тестируйте стратегию на исторических данных перед использованием в реальной торговле.
The Dragons Maw [inspired by Kioseff Trading]The Dragon's Maw is a playful visualization tool that uses Monte Carlo simulation to create a dragon-like pattern on your chart. Although primarily intended for entertainment, it is also suitable for testing or falsifying the utility of this method's predictions.
What It Does:
- Generates multiple price path simulations that form the shape of a "fire-breathing" effect
- Shows upper and lower boundaries of all simulations as the dragon's "maw"
- Displays the dragon's "eye" and "ear" as a visual indicator of the historical data used
How It Works:
1. The indicator calculates returns from historical price data
2. Using Monte Carlo simulation with either normal distribution or bootstrap sampling, it generates multiple potential price paths
3. These paths are rendered with high transparency to create a fire/smoke effect showing the higher probability regions as denser color
4. It can be observed that the direction of the "fire" is influenced by recent price movement especially when set in relation to the "eye" position which indicates the limit of historical data used for the simulation
Educational Value:
Use the 'Move to the Left' parameter to position the dragon's head at different points in historical data. This feature serves as an excellent demonstration of the limitations of statistical price projections – you'll quickly see how the simulated paths diverge from what actually happened, highlighting why such projections should not be relied upon for trading decisions.
You might find, that it's not at all capable of 'predicting' sudden price movements but rather 'predicts' a continuation of the recent trend.
Features:
- Adjustable number of simulations (affects detail of the "fire" effect)
- Moveable dragon head (can be positioned at different points in price history)
- Customizable colors for the maw boundaries and fire effect
- Optional scale display for price levels
Note: This indicator is inspired by KioseffTrading's original work, with added features for visualization and positioning. While it uses statistical methods, it should be viewed as an artistic interpretation of price movement rather than a predictive tool.
Settings Guide:
- Upper/Lower Limit: Colors for the dragon's maw boundaries
- Fire Color: Color and transparency of the simulation paths
- Look Back: How far back to calculate the dragon's eye position
- Much Fire: Controls the density of simulation paths
- Length: Determines how far forward the simulation extends
The chart shows a clean view of the indicator's output, with the dragon's eye (o), ear, maw boundaries, and fire effect clearly visible on the right side of the chart by default.
Murad Picks Target MCThe Murad Picks Target Market Cap Indicator is a custom TradingView tool designed for crypto traders and enthusiasts tracking tokens in the Murad Picks list. This indicator dynamically calculates and visualizes the price targets based on Murad Mahmudov's projected market capitalizations, allowing you to gauge each token's growth potential directly on your charts.
Indicator support tokens:
- SPX6900
- GIGA
- MOG
- POPCAT
- APU
- BITCOIN
- RETARDIO
- LOCKIN
Key Features :
Dynamic Target Price Lines:
- Displays horizontal lines representing the price when the token reaches its projected market cap.
- Automatically adjusts for the active chart symbol (e.g., SPX, MOG, APU, etc.).
X Multiplier Calculation:
- Shows how many times the current price must multiply to achieve the target price.
- Perfect for understanding relative growth potential.
Customizable Inputs:
- Easily update target market caps and circulating supply for each token.
- Adjust visuals such as line colors and styles.
Seamless Integration:
- Automatically adapts to the token you’re viewing (e.g., SPX, MOG, APU).
- Clean and visually intuitive, with labels marking targets.
