forecasting

This is a continuation of my previous post on Holt's Linear Trend Forecasting. The forecasts generated by Holt’s linear method display a constant trend (increasing or decreasing) indefinitely into the future. Empirical evidence indicates that these methods tend to over-forecast, especially for longer forecast horizons. Motivated by this observation, Gardner &...

Tested on 5m TF with EURUSD. Settings should be modified appropriately for other TFs, lookbacks and securities. This indicator does not repaint. Donate: PayPal (paypal.me)

This is a scaled version of the Forecast Oscillator, paired with a Point of Force Indicator, my modification of an indicator, whose original name and developer happened to be missing on my notes, so my regards to the author). Point of force is a spot from where price action will dynamically evolve in the same direction or soon reverse and pursue that reversed...

This script is written totally thanks to Alex Grover (). Here it is implemented in conjunction with the seasonal forecast I showed in one of my previous posts. It takes the calculated QReg curve and extends its last section (Season) into the future (Forecasted periods). Donate: PayPal...

This is a continuation of my series on forecasting techniques. The idea behind the Simple Mean method is to somehow extend historical mean to the future. In this case a forecast equals to last value plus average change. Donate: PayPal (paypal.me)

UPDATE: the original version works only with BTC. Here's a general version with rescaling. Donate: PayPal (paypal.me)

Forecast 7 EMA's 6 periods This script is an upgrade of the existing Triple MA Forecast from Yatrader2 To allow the user to display 7 different EMAs and look 6 candles ahead Default Value 8 ema 13 ema 21 ema 55 ema 100 ema 128 ema 200 ema Note: Best to use on high timeframe, if on low timeframe change the forecast maximum to lower This was made to...

There is not much to say - just vanilla locally weighted regression in PineScript 4. see: medium.com also: cs229.stanford.edu Donate: PayPal (paypal.me)

Holt's Forecasting method Holt (1957) extended simple exponential smoothing to allow the forecasting of data with a trend. This method involves a forecast equation and two smoothing equations (one for the level and one for the trend): Forecast equation: ŷ = l + h * b Level equation: l = alpha * y + (1 - alpha) * (l + b) Trend equation: b = beta * (l - l) +...

This is a scaled version of a Forecast Oscillator, which may be used as a standalone indicator or as a filter. Scaling allows to reduce data to a standard interval, say, 0..1 or -1..1. Oftentimes, it also makes data more contrastive.

For completeness here is a naive method with seasonality. The idea behind naive method with seasonality is to take last value from same season and treat it as a forecast. Its counterpart, naive method without seasonality, involves taking last mean value, i.e forecast = sma(x, p). Donate: PayPal (paypal.me)

Forecast 7 SMA's 6 periods This script is an upgrade of the existing Triple MA Forecast from Yatrader2 To allow the user to display 7 different SMAs and look 6 candles ahead Default Value 8 SMA 13 SMA 20 SMA 50 SMA 100 SMA 128 SMA 200 SMA Note: Best to use on high timeframe, if on low timeframe change the forecast maximum to lower This was made to...

This is combo strategies for get a cumulative signal. First strategy This System was created from the Book "How I Tripled My Money In The Futures Market" by Ulf Jensen, Page 183. This is reverse type of strategies. The strategy buys at market, if close price is higher than the previous close during 2 days and the meaning of 9-days Stochastic Slow...

This is combo strategies for get a cumulative signal. First strategy This System was created from the Book "How I Tripled My Money In The Futures Market" by Ulf Jensen, Page 183. This is reverse type of strategies. The strategy buys at market, if close price is higher than the previous close during 2 days and the meaning of 9-days Stochastic Slow...

Introduction Forecasting is a blurry science that deal with lot of uncertainty. Most of the time forecasting is made with the assumption that past values can be used to forecast a time series, the accuracy of the forecast depend on the type of time series, the pre-processing applied to it, the forecast model and the parameters of the model. In tradingview we...

Introduction I already made an indicator (simple line) that tried to make lines on price such that the results would not repaint and give a good fit to the price, today i publish a channels indicator based on the simple line indicator. The indicator aim to show possible support and resistance levels when the central line posses a low sum of squares with the...

description: • Zig Zag indicator plots points on the chart whenever prices reverse by a percentage greater than a pre-chosen variable. • Forecasts area based on zigzag statistics. • Displays labels with detected patterns. • Displays slope information rate of price, time diferentials and angle(experimental)

Triple EMA Forecast - up to five candle forecast