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Forecasting

Latent Energy Reactor [The_lurker]Latent Energy Reactor | مفاعل الطاقة الكامنة ═════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════ 🔬 THE PHILOSOPHY ═════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════ Markets operate in cycles of compression and expansion. Before every significant price movement, there exists a period where buyers and sellers reach a temporary equilibrium — a consolidation zone where energy accumulates like pressure building in a reactor. The Latent Energy Reactor was designed to identify these critical zones, measure the energy building within them, and predict the direction of the inevitable breakout. This indicator transforms the abstract concept of "market energy" into a quantifiable, visual system that traders can use to anticipate high-probability breakout opportunities. ═════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════ 🎯 THE THREE BOX STATES ═════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════ Understanding the three box states is crucial for proper interpretation: 📦 STATE 1: ACTIVE ZONE (GRAY BOX) ───────────────────────────────────── Visual Characteristics: • Color: Gray/Neutral with 3D depth effect • Extends to the right edge of the chart (future projection) • Contains pressure lines (dotted horizontal lines inside) • Displays gravity center line (dashed line showing volume-weighted center) • Energy progress bar beneath the box • Real-time information panel appears on screen What It Means: The gray box represents a LIVE consolidation zone currently forming. Price is contained within the boundaries, and energy is actively accumulating. This is the "waiting phase" where the reactor is charging. What to Watch: • Energy percentage climbing toward critical levels (80%+) • Gravity center position (upper half = bullish bias, lower half = bearish bias) • Top and bottom rejection counts in the information panel • Phase progression (Forming → Growth → Mature → Exhaustion) Trading Approach: Do NOT trade inside the gray box. This is the preparation phase. Monitor the energy levels and predicted direction, but wait for confirmation. 📦 STATE 2: BULLISH BREAKOUT BOX (GREEN BOX) ───────────────────────────────────────────── Visual Characteristics: • Color: Green with 3D depth effect • Box boundaries are now fixed (no longer extending right) • Displays "BUY" text centered inside the box • Stop Loss line appears below the box (orange) • Three Take Profit lines appear above (teal/cyan) • Entry line at the box's upper boundary (white dashed) What It Means: The green box indicates a CONFIRMED bullish breakout. Price has broken above the consolidation zone's upper boundary, releasing the accumulated energy upward. Automatic Calculations Displayed: • Entry Price: Upper boundary of the box • Stop Loss: Lower boundary minus ATR buffer • TP1: Entry + (Risk × 1.0) — 1:1 reward ratio • TP2: Entry + (Risk × 1.5) — 1.5:1 reward ratio • TP3: Entry + (Risk × 2.0) — 2:1 reward ratio Trading Approach: Consider long positions with the displayed SL/TP levels as guidelines. The higher the energy level and breakout quality score were before the breakout, the more reliable the signal. 📦 STATE 3: BEARISH BREAKOUT BOX (RED BOX) ────────────────────────────────────────── Visual Characteristics: • Color: Red with 3D depth effect • Box boundaries are now fixed • Displays "SELL" text centered inside the box • Stop Loss line appears above the box (orange) • Three Take Profit lines appear below (teal/cyan) • Entry line at the box's lower boundary (white dashed) What It Means: The red box indicates a CONFIRMED bearish breakout. Price has broken below the consolidation zone's lower boundary, releasing the accumulated energy downward. Automatic Calculations Displayed: • Entry Price: Lower boundary of the box • Stop Loss: Upper boundary plus ATR buffer • TP1: Entry - (Risk × 1.0) — 1:1 reward ratio • TP2: Entry - (Risk × 1.5) — 1.5:1 reward ratio • TP3: Entry - (Risk × 2.0) — 2:1 reward ratio Trading Approach: Consider short positions with the displayed SL/TP levels as guidelines. Stronger setups have higher pre-breakout energy and quality scores. ═════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════ ⚛️ THE ENERGY CALCULATION SYSTEM ═════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════ The energy percentage (0-100%) is calculated using four factors: Compression Score (up to 40 points) Measures how tight the range is relative to normal volatility (ATR). Tighter compression = higher energy storage. Time Score (up to 35 points) Longer consolidation periods accumulate more energy. Each bar adds to the score up to the maximum. Maturity Bonus (up to 15 points) Zones that reach mature phases receive bonus energy points, recognizing that extended consolidations often produce more powerful breakouts. Tightness Bonus (up to 10 points) Extra points awarded when the range height is exceptionally small relative to ATR. ═════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════ 📊 THE GRAVITY CENTER SYSTEM ═════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════ How It Works: The gravity center is the volume-weighted average price within the consolidation zone. It reveals where the majority of trading activity (and thus institutional interest) is concentrated. Interpretation: • Gravity center in UPPER half → Institutions accumulating → Bullish bias • Gravity center in LOWER half → Institutions distributing → Bearish bias • Gravity center at MIDDLE → Neutral/Uncertain Visual Display: A dashed line with a ⚖️ symbol marks the gravity center inside active zones. The line color matches the directional bias. ═════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════ 🏦 INSTITUTIONAL FOOTPRINT DETECTION ═════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════ What It Measures: The indicator scans for volume anomalies — bars where volume significantly exceeds the average while price remains contained within the zone. Why It Matters: Large volume without price movement often indicates institutional players building positions. They cannot accumulate or distribute large quantities without leaving a "footprint" in the volume data. Score Interpretation: • Below 30%: Normal retail activity • 30-50%: Some institutional interest detected • Above 50%: Significant institutional footprint (marked with 🏦 icon) ═════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════ 📈 MATURITY PHASES ═════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════ ⚒ Forming Phase The zone has just been identified. Energy is low, and the pattern needs more time to develop. Premature breakouts during this phase have higher failure rates. 📈 Growth Phase The zone is developing nicely. Energy is building, and the consolidation pattern is becoming more defined. Watch for increasing rejection counts at boundaries. ✅ Mature Phase Optimal trading phase. The zone has accumulated significant energy, institutional footprints are often visible, and breakout quality scores are typically highest. ⚠ Exhaustion Phase The zone has persisted beyond typical duration. While energy remains high, the pattern may be losing its predictive power. ═════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════ 🎨 VISUAL ELEMENTS GUIDE ═════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════ 3D Box Effect The 3D rendering creates visual depth with a top face and side face, making boxes stand out clearly. Adjustable via "3D Depth" and "3D Height %" settings. Pressure Lines Dotted horizontal lines inside active zones visualize internal pressure distribution. Lines closer to the gravity center are more opaque. Energy Progress Bar A horizontal bar beneath each zone shows energy level visually. Color progresses: green (low) → yellow (moderate) → orange (high) → red (critical). Imminent Breakout Warning When energy reaches critical threshold (default 80%), a warning label "⚠ IMMINENT!" appears above the active zone. Information Panel Real-time table displaying: Energy Level, Phase, Prediction, Breakout Quality, Institutional Footprint, Top/Bottom Rejections. ═════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════ 📊 READING THE SIGNALS ═════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════ Energy Levels: • Below 40%: Low energy — breakout unlikely soon • 40-60%: Moderate energy — zone developing • 60-80%: High energy — prepare for potential breakout • Above 80%: Critical energy — breakout imminent Breakout Quality Score: • Below 50%: Weak setup — higher false breakout risk • 50-70%: Moderate setup — proceed with caution • Above 70%: Strong setup — high probability trade Direction Confidence: • Below 55%: Neutral — wait for clearer signals • 55-70%: Moderate confidence • Above 70%: High confidence prediction ═════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════ ⚙️ RECOMMENDED SETTINGS ═════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════ For Scalping (1-15 min): Min Bars in Range: 10-15 | ATR Period: 10 | Range ATR Multiplier: 2.0 For Day Trading (15min-1H): Min Bars in Range: 15-20 | ATR Period: 14 | Range ATR Multiplier: 2.5 For Swing Trading (4H-Daily): Min Bars in Range: 20-30 | ATR Period: 20 | Range ATR Multiplier: 3.0 ═════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════ 🔔 ALERTS ═════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════ • New Zone Alert: Triggers when a new consolidation zone is identified • Imminent Breakout Alert: Triggers when energy reaches critical levels • Bullish Breakout Alert: Triggers on confirmed bullish breakout • Bearish Breakout Alert: Triggers on confirmed bearish breakout ═════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════ ⚠️ DISCLAIMER ═════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════ This indicator is designed as a technical analysis tool to identify consolidation patterns and anticipate potential breakout directions. No indicator can predict the future with certainty. The displayed SL/TP levels are suggestions based on mathematical calculations, not guarantees. This indicator is for educational and analytical purposes only. It does not constitute financial, investment, or trading advice. Use it in conjunction with your own strategy and risk management. Neither TradingView nor the developer is liable for any financial decisions or losses. ═════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════ ═════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════ مفاعل الطاقة الكامنة | Latent Energy Reactor 🔬 الفلسفة ═════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════ تعمل الأسواق في دورات من الضغط والتمدد. قبل كل حركة سعرية كبيرة، توجد فترة يصل فيها المشترون والبائعون إلى توازن مؤقت — منطقة تجميع حيث تتراكم الطاقة مثل الضغط المتراكم في مفاعل. صُمم مفاعل الطاقة الكامنة لتحديد هذه المناطق الحرجة، وقياس الطاقة المتراكمة داخلها، والتنبؤ باتجاه الاختراق الحتمي. يحوّل هذا المؤشر المفهوم المجرد لـ "طاقة السوق" إلى نظام قابل للقياس والعرض البصري يمكن للمتداولين استخدامه لتوقع فرص الاختراق عالية الاحتمالية. ═════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════ 🎯 حالات الصندوق الثلاث ═════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════ فهم حالات الصندوق الثلاث ضروري للتفسير الصحيح: 📦 الحالة الأولى: المنطقة النشطة (الصندوق الرمادي) ───────────────────────────────────────────────────── الخصائص البصرية: • اللون: رمادي/محايد مع تأثير عمق ثلاثي الأبعاد • يمتد إلى الحافة اليمنى للرسم البياني (إسقاط مستقبلي) • يحتوي على خطوط الضغط (خطوط أفقية منقطة بالداخل) • يعرض خط مركز الثقل (خط متقطع يُظهر المركز المرجح بالحجم) • شريط تقدم الطاقة أسفل الصندوق • تظهر لوحة المعلومات الفورية على الشاشة ماذا يعني: الصندوق الرمادي يمثل منطقة تجميع حَيّة تتشكل حالياً. السعر محتوى داخل الحدود، والطاقة تتراكم بنشاط. هذه هي "مرحلة الانتظار" حيث المفاعل يشحن. ما يجب مراقبته: • نسبة الطاقة تصعد نحو المستويات الحرجة (80%+) • موقع مركز الثقل (النصف العلوي = ميل صعودي، النصف السفلي = ميل هبوطي) • عدد الرفض العلوي والسفلي في لوحة المعلومات • تقدم المرحلة (تشكّل ← نمو ← نضج ← إرهاق) نهج التداول: لا تتداول داخل الصندوق الرمادي. هذه مرحلة الإعداد. راقب مستويات الطاقة والاتجاه المتوقع، لكن انتظر التأكيد. 📦 الحالة الثانية: صندوق الاختراق الصعودي (الصندوق الأخضر) ───────────────────────────────────────────────────────────── الخصائص البصرية: • اللون: أخضر مع تأثير عمق ثلاثي الأبعاد • حدود الصندوق ثابتة الآن (لم تعد تمتد لليمين) • يعرض نص "شراء" أو "BUY" في منتصف الصندوق • يظهر خط وقف الخسارة أسفل الصندوق (برتقالي) • تظهر ثلاثة خطوط أهداف فوق الصندوق (فيروزي) • خط الدخول عند الحد العلوي للصندوق (أبيض متقطع) ماذا يعني: الصندوق الأخضر يشير إلى اختراق صعودي مُؤَكَّد. كسر السعر فوق الحد العلوي لمنطقة التجميع، محرراً الطاقة المتراكمة للأعلى. الحسابات التلقائية المعروضة: • سعر الدخول: الحد العلوي للصندوق • وقف الخسارة: الحد السفلي ناقص حاجز ATR • الهدف 1: الدخول + (المخاطرة × 1.0) — نسبة مكافأة 1:1 • الهدف 2: الدخول + (المخاطرة × 1.5) — نسبة مكافأة 1.5:1 • الهدف 3: الدخول + (المخاطرة × 2.0) — نسبة مكافأة 2:1 نهج التداول: فكر في صفقات شراء مع مستويات وقف الخسارة والأهداف المعروضة كإرشادات. كلما ارتفع مستوى الطاقة ودرجة جودة الاختراق قبل الكسر، كانت الإشارة أكثر موثوقية. 📦 الحالة الثالثة: صندوق الاختراق الهبوطي (الصندوق الأحمر) ───────────────────────────────────────────────────────────── الخصائص البصرية: • اللون: أحمر مع تأثير عمق ثلاثي الأبعاد • حدود الصندوق ثابتة الآن • يعرض نص "بيع" أو "SELL" في منتصف الصندوق • يظهر خط وقف الخسارة فوق الصندوق (برتقالي) • تظهر ثلاثة خطوط أهداف أسفل الصندوق (فيروزي) • خط الدخول عند الحد السفلي للصندوق (أبيض متقطع) ماذا يعني: الصندوق الأحمر يشير إلى اختراق هبوطي مُؤَكَّد. كسر السعر تحت الحد السفلي لمنطقة التجميع، محرراً الطاقة المتراكمة للأسفل. الحسابات التلقائية المعروضة: • سعر الدخول: الحد السفلي للصندوق • وقف الخسارة: الحد العلوي زائد حاجز ATR • الهدف 1: الدخول - (المخاطرة × 1.0) — نسبة مكافأة 1:1 • الهدف 2: الدخول - (المخاطرة × 1.5) — نسبة مكافأة 1.5:1 • الهدف 3: الدخول - (المخاطرة × 2.0) — نسبة مكافأة 2:1 نهج التداول: فكر في صفقات بيع مع مستويات وقف الخسارة والأهداف المعروضة كإرشادات. الإعدادات الأقوى لديها طاقة ودرجات جودة أعلى قبل الاختراق. ═════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════ ⚛️ نظام حساب الطاقة ═════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════ تُحسب نسبة الطاقة (0-100%) باستخدام أربعة عوامل: درجة الضغط (حتى 40 نقطة) تقيس مدى ضيق النطاق نسبة للتقلب الطبيعي (ATR). ضغط أشد = تخزين طاقة أعلى. درجة الوقت (حتى 35 نقطة) فترات التجميع الأطول تراكم طاقة أكثر. كل شمعة تضيف للدرجة حتى الحد الأقصى. مكافأة النضج (حتى 15 نقطة) المناطق التي تصل لمراحل النضج تحصل على نقاط طاقة إضافية، اعترافاً بأن التجميعات الممتدة غالباً تنتج اختراقات أقوى. مكافأة الضيق (حتى 10 نقاط) نقاط إضافية تُمنح عندما يكون ارتفاع النطاق صغيراً استثنائياً نسبة لـ ATR. ═════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════ 📊 نظام مركز الثقل ═════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════ كيف يعمل: مركز الثقل هو متوسط السعر المرجح بالحجم داخل منطقة التجميع. يكشف أين يتركز معظم النشاط التداولي (وبالتالي الاهتمام المؤسسي). التفسير: • مركز الثقل في النصف العلوي ← المؤسسات تجمّع ← ميل صعودي • مركز الثقل في النصف السفلي ← المؤسسات توزّع ← ميل هبوطي • مركز الثقل في المنتصف ← محايد/غير مؤكد العرض البصري: خط متقطع مع رمز ⚖️ يحدد مركز الثقل داخل المناطق النشطة. لون الخط يطابق الميل الاتجاهي. ═════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════ 🏦 كشف البصمة المؤسسية ═════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════ ما يقيسه: يفحص المؤشر الشذوذات الحجمية — شموع حجمها يتجاوز المتوسط بشكل كبير بينما يبقى السعر محتوى داخل المنطقة. لماذا هذا مهم: الحجم الكبير بدون حركة سعرية غالباً يشير إلى لاعبين مؤسسيين يبنون مراكز. لا يمكنهم تجميع أو توزيع كميات كبيرة بدون ترك "بصمة" في بيانات الحجم. تفسير الدرجة: • أقل من 30%: نشاط تجزئة عادي • 30-50%: بعض الاهتمام المؤسسي مكتشف • فوق 50%: بصمة مؤسسية كبيرة (تُحدد بأيقونة 🏦) ═════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════ 📈 مراحل النضج ═════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════ ⚒ مرحلة التشكّل المنطقة تم تحديدها للتو. الطاقة منخفضة، والنمط يحتاج وقتاً أكثر للتطور. الاختراقات المبكرة خلال هذه المرحلة لديها معدلات فشل أعلى. 📈 مرحلة النمو المنطقة تتطور بشكل جيد. الطاقة تتراكم، ونمط التجميع يصبح أكثر تحديداً. راقب زيادة عدد الرفض عند الحدود. ✅ مرحلة النضج مرحلة التداول المثلى. المنطقة راكمت طاقة كبيرة، البصمات المؤسسية غالباً مرئية، ودرجات جودة الاختراق عادة في أعلى مستوياتها. ⚠ مرحلة الإرهاق المنطقة استمرت أطول من المدة النموذجية. بينما تبقى الطاقة مرتفعة، قد يفقد النمط قوته التنبؤية. ═════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════ 🎨 دليل العناصر البصرية ═════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════ تأثير الصندوق ثلاثي الأبعاد العرض ثلاثي الأبعاد يخلق عمقاً بصرياً مع وجه علوي ووجه جانبي، مما يجعل الصناديق بارزة بوضوح. قابل للتعديل عبر إعدادات "عمق 3D" و"ارتفاع 3D %". خطوط الضغط خطوط أفقية منقطة داخل المناطق النشطة تصور توزيع الضغط الداخلي. الخطوط الأقرب لمركز الثقل أكثر وضوحاً. شريط تقدم الطاقة شريط أفقي أسفل كل منطقة يُظهر مستوى الطاقة بصرياً. اللون يتدرج: أخضر (منخفض) ← أصفر (متوسط) ← برتقالي (مرتفع) ← أحمر (حرج). تحذير الاختراق الوشيك عندما تصل الطاقة للعتبة الحرجة (افتراضياً 80%)، يظهر تحذير "⚠ كسر وشيك!" فوق المنطقة النشطة. لوحة المعلومات جدول فوري يعرض: مستوى الطاقة، المرحلة، التوقع، جودة الاختراق، البصمة المؤسسية، الرفض العلوي/السفلي. ═════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════ 📊 قراءة الإشارات ═════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════ مستويات الطاقة: • أقل من 40%: طاقة منخفضة — الاختراق غير مرجح قريباً • 40-60%: طاقة متوسطة — المنطقة في طور التطور • 60-80%: طاقة مرتفعة — استعد لاختراق محتمل • فوق 80%: طاقة حرجة — الاختراق وشيك درجة جودة الاختراق: • أقل من 50%: إعداد ضعيف — خطر اختراق كاذب أعلى • 50-70%: إعداد متوسط — تقدم بحذر • فوق 70%: إعداد قوي — صفقة عالية الاحتمالية ثقة الاتجاه: • أقل من 55%: محايد — انتظر إشارات أوضح • 55-70%: ثقة متوسطة • فوق 70%: توقع عالي الثقة ═════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════ ⚙️ الإعدادات الموصى بها ═════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════ للمضاربة السريعة (1-15 دقيقة): الحد الأدنى للشموع: 10-15 | فترة ATR: 10 | مضاعف ATR: 2.0 للتداول اليومي (15 دقيقة - ساعة): الحد الأدنى للشموع: 15-20 | فترة ATR: 14 | مضاعف ATR: 2.5 للتداول المتأرجح (4 ساعات - يومي): الحد الأدنى للشموع: 20-30 | فترة ATR: 20 | مضاعف ATR: 3.0 ═════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════ 🔔 التنبيهات ═════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════ • تنبيه منطقة جديدة: يُفعّل عند تشكّل منطقة تجميع جديدة • تنبيه اختراق وشيك: يُفعّل عند وصول الطاقة لمستويات حرجة • تنبيه اختراق صعودي: يُفعّل عند تأكيد كسر صعودي • تنبيه اختراق هبوطي: يُفعّل عند تأكيد كسر هبوطي ═════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════ ⚠️ إخلاء المسؤولية ═════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════ هذا المؤشر مصمم كأداة تحليل فني لتحديد أنماط التجميع وتوقع اتجاهات الاختراق المحتملة. لا يمكن لأي مؤشر التنبؤ بالمستقبل بيقين. مستويات وقف الخسارة والأهداف المعروضة هي اقتراحات مبنية على حسابات رياضية، وليست ضمانات. هذا المؤشر لأغراض تعليمية وتحليلية فقط. لا يُمثل نصيحة مالية أو استثمارية أو تداولية. استخدمه بالتزامن مع استراتيجيتك الخاصة وإدارة المخاطر. لا يتحمل TradingView ولا المطور مسؤولية أي قرارات مالية أو خسائر.
Pine Script® Indikator
von The_lurker
2
Smart Money Concepts - Absorption Smart Money Concepts - Absorption (SMC-ABS) Absorption event detector using split-volume VWMA ribbons, entropy filtering, and elasticity validation Overview This indicator highlights potential absorption/defense events: moments where price touches a volume-weighted band and then rejects, while additional filters confirm that market conditions are not random/noisy. What it plots • Energy ribbons (bands): two split-volume VWMA ribbon sets - Buy-weighted (cyan) and Sell-weighted (magma). • ABS markers: printed when touch + rejection + validation conditions are met (see Logic section). • Dashboard (HUD): real-time metrics such as price/volume z-scores, delta, entropy state, and resonance momentum states. Core logic 1) Volume engine The script builds Buy Volume and Sell Volume series using one of two modes: • Geometry (candle-range split): estimates buy/sell participation from the close position within the candle range. • Intrabar (precise): uses lower-timeframe up/down volume to derive buy/sell flows when data is available. 2) Split-VWMA resonance score For multiple periods (5, 10, 20, 30, 40, 50), the script computes: • A standard SMA of price. • A Buy-weighted VWMA of price (weighted by Buy Volume). • A Sell-weighted VWMA of price (weighted by Sell Volume). Resonance is derived from the normalized divergence between the SMA and the split VWMAs, aggregated across the available periods. 3) Validation filters Signals can be filtered by the following components (each toggleable): • Volume-weighted entropy: a fractal-efficiency style disorder metric (TR-sum vs range) adjusted by relative volume; high entropy blocks signals. • Momentum alignment (resonance velocity) : direction filter requiring positive velocity for buy events and negative velocity for sell events. • Elasticity (recoil vs penetration): rejection quality check based on the bounce-back strength relative to the penetration depth into the fast band. Absorption event conditions (ABS markers) ABS markers are generated using the fastest ribbon band (length 5) for the touch/rejection logic: • Buy absorption: low touches/penetrates the Buy band and the candle closes back above it, with filters passing. • Sell absorption: high touches/penetrates the Sell band and the candle closes back below it, with filters passing. Note: acceleration/deceleration is displayed in the HUD as a state; the primary directional filter is the resonance velocity. Settings • Volume Model: choose Geometry or Intrabar. • Intrabar LTF: lower timeframe used by the Intrabar model (only applies when Intrabar is selected). • Global Lookback: lookback window used for z-score statistics and related calculations. • Quantum Filters: toggles and thresholds for entropy, momentum alignment, and elasticity validation. • Dashboard Settings :/ Energy Ribbons / Absorption Events: controls for visuals and filtering behavior. Usage notes and limitations • Signals are most reliable after candle close. On the forming candle, conditions can change until the bar closes. • Results depend on the availability and quality of volume data for the selected symbol and exchange. • The Geometry mode is an estimate based on candle structure; it is not tick-accurate order flow. • Terms such as “quantum” and “physics” are metaphorical labels for statistical filters and validation heuristics. Disclaimer This tool is provided for analytical and educational use only. It does not constitute investment advice. Trading involves risk. Important note about Intrabar data and TradingView plan limits This indicator is volume-dependent. When using the Intrabar model, the best results typically come from very low intrabar timeframes such as 1 tick or 1 second (if your symbol and data feed support it). Please check your TradingView subscription plan and data entitlements - access to 1-second/1-tick lower timeframes is commonly restricted to higher-tier plans (often referred to as Premium/Ultra tiers). If intrabar data is not available, the script falls back to relative buy/sell volume estimation (Geometry mode), and results may be less precise.
Pine Script® Indikator
von ata_sabanci
Enhanced Swing Trading Confluence [Hidden Div Bonus + Dashboard]powerful swing trading indicator combining multiple confluence factors for high-probability setups. This indicator identifies premium long and short opportunities by requiring alignment across: • Trend direction (price above/below 200 EMA + optional 50/100/200 EMA stacking) • RSI oversold/overbought conditions (with optional strict crossover requirement) • MACD line/signal crossover • Price touching Bollinger Band extremes • Optional Bollinger Band squeeze (low volatility contraction) • Optional volume spike confirmation Features: • Clean entry arrows for ready signals • Real-time confluence dashboard showing which conditions are met • Accurate regular RSI divergence detection (reversal signals) • Hidden RSI divergence detection (trend continuation signals) • Optional use of recent hidden divergence as a bonus confirmation filter • Customizable inputs and alerts Ideal for swing traders seeking multi-factor confirmation before entries. Works across all markets and timeframes. Alerts fire only when full confluence is achieved for disciplined, high-quality trade setups.
Pine Script® Indikator
von D4V3YZ
First Candle Range (FCR) Gold Strategy - EtubersThe 18:00 (6:00 PM) candle is widely used by traders in the Forex and Futures markets because it marks the New York market rollover and the start of the Asian session. How the Strategy Works: - The Range: The High and Low prices of the 1-hour candle (18:00–19:00) create a "Supply and Demand" zone. - The Breakout: A candle closing above the high signals a bullish breakout; a candle closing below the low signals a bearish breakout. - Institutional Memory: By extending this zone forward for 4 days, traders can identify where "old" 18:00 levels act as support or resistance in the future. - Execution: Traders often wait for a breakout followed by a "retest" of the box boundary to enter a high-probability trade.
Pine Script® Indikator
von etubers
QuantLabs The MTF Nasdaq 30 Scanner [Capital Flow and Pressure]Trading the QQQ (Nasdaq) without knowing what the Generals (Apple, Nvidia, Microsoft) are doing is like driving at night with your headlights off. You might see the road right in front of you, but you'll miss the turn coming up. The QuantLabs MTF Nasdaq 30 Scanner is not just a trend indicator, it is a professional-grade Market Dashboard that visualizes the heartbeat of the entire Nasdaq 100. Why You Need This Standard indicators lag. They tell you what happened after the move. This Heatmap tracks the Real-Time Capital Flow of the Top 30 companies that actually move the index ($Trillions in Market Cap). Key Features 1. The "Spectacular" Precision Heatmap Organized by Market Cap Size (AAPL/NVDA first). Instantly spot divergent behavior. Is the market rallying, or is it just Nvidia holding everything up? The Heatmap reveals the truth instantly. Colors: Neon Cyan (Bullish) vs Hot Pink (Bearish). 2. Triple Spectrum Technology (3-in-1 Timeframes) Why look at one timeframe when you can see three? Every cell in the dashboard displays the trend distance for: 8h (Fast): For scalping entries. 16h (Mid): For swing trends. 24h (Slow): For the major "Big Picture" bias. Values denote % distance from the Flux Ribbon. 3. The "Net Pressure" Gauge (The Speedometer) A predictive summary footer that calculates the Weighted Pressure of the entire market. HEAVY (> 0.5%): Strong Trend / Breakout Mode. MODERATE (0.2% - 0.5%): Healthy, sustained move. FLAT: Chop / Noise. Stay out. It also shows exactly how much Capital ($Trillions) is sitting Bullish vs Bearish. How to Trade with It Check the "Net Pressure": If it says MODERATE BULLISH, you are looking for Longs only. Scan the Top Row: Are the "Big 5" (AAPL, NVDA, MSFT...) aligned with the pressure? Wait for Alignment: If the 8h, 16h, and 24h metrics all turn Cyan, that is a "Quantum Lock"—a high probability breakout signal. Simple. Powerful. Neon. Add it to your chart and stop guessing the direction. Credits: Built with 💜 by David James @ QuantLabs
Pine Script® Indikator
von CustomQuantLabs
1
Seasonality Table: % Move by Day x Month (Open vs Prev Close)Short description A compact seasonality heatmap that shows the average daily open vs previous session close move for each calendar day (1–31) across months (Jan–Dec). What it does This indicator builds a Day × Month table where each cell displays the historical average of: (Open/Close-1) -1 x 100 In other words: how the market typically “opened” relative to the prior day’s close, grouped by day of month and month. How to read it Rows = Day of month (1–31) Columns = Months (Jan–Dec) Cell value = average percentage move (signed format like +0.23% or -0.33%) Heatmap = stronger color intensity indicates larger absolute average moves Today highlight = the current calendar day cell is visually highlighted for fast context Key settings Reference timeframe (Daily): uses daily session data as the source of truth Decimals / Signed formatting: control numeric display Theme controls: fully customizable colors for positive/negative/neutral cells, headers, labels, and text Font sizes: independently adjust header/labels/values Heatmap scaling: set “max abs (%)” to match the volatility of the instrument Notes / limitations The indicator depends on the historical data available on TradingView for the selected symbol and timeframe. This is a statistical visualization tool. It does not predict future returns and does not generate trade signals. Disclaimer This script is for educational and informational purposes only and is not financial advice. Trading involves risk. Always do your own research and use proper risk management.
Pine Script® Indikator
von Yesid_Correa_Cano
Markov: Transition Matrix [Daily Timeframe]Description This indicator computes a 3-state Markov chain from price action and visualizes the transition probabilities between daily states: • Up: daily % change > threshold • Down: daily % change < -threshold • Sideways: |daily % change| ≤ threshold From those states, it builds transition matrices: • Today → Tomorrow (1 day ahead) • Today → In 2 days • Today → In 3 days Each matrix cell shows: P(next state | current state) Rows are the current state (today), columns are the future state (tomorrow / +2 / +3). Each row sums to 100% (when there is sufficient sample size). ________________________________________ How to read it (trader workflow) 1. Identify the current regime (the most recent confirmed daily state). 2. Look at the row matching that regime: • The ★ marks the highest probability outcome for that row (most likely next state). • Heatmap intensity increases as probability increases. • Each row shows its own sample size (n=...) so you can judge statistical support. 3. Use Quick-read: • “Now” = current regime • “Best” = top conditional outcome + probability • “2nd” = second-best outcome + probability 4. Use Universe (N): • Shows the marginal distribution: how often days are Up/Down/Sideways across the whole dataset. ________________________________________ Settings Core logic • Sideways threshold: controls how strict “Sideways” is. Example: 0.001 = ±0.10% daily move is considered Sideways. Display • Toggle 1D / 2D / 3D matrices. • Highlight best probability per row (★). • Show n per row (row transition count). • Focus: current state row only to reduce noise and speed decision-making. • Quick-read row for the current regime. Theme (fully customizable) All colors can be customized: • Up / Down / Sideways base colors • Header background + header text • Values text • Quick-read neutral background This makes it suitable for both light and dark chart themes. ________________________________________ Notes / Limitations • The indicator is designed for daily sessions. It uses daily close-to-close returns to classify states and update the Markov chain once per day. • On very volatile assets, a very small threshold can make Sideways rare. If you want a more frequent Sideways regime, increase the threshold. • This is a statistical visualization tool, not a trading system. ________________________________________ Disclaimer (TradingView-friendly) This script is provided for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Trading involves risk. Past probabilities do not guarantee future results. Use at your own discretion and always apply proper risk management.
Pine Script® Indikator
von Yesid_Correa_Cano
Moon Phases & Declinations - Chronos Capital [BETA]High-Precision Lunar Cycles: Moon Phases & Declinations (Swiss Ephemeris) Overview This indicator provides institutional-grade astronomical data directly on your chart. Unlike standard scripts that use basic sine-wave approximations, this tool implements the **Swiss Ephemeris algorithm**, the gold standard for high-precision celestial calculations. By tracking the Moon’s phases and its **Maximum/Minimum Declinations**, traders can identify potential "turning points" or "energy shifts" in market volatility often associated with lunar cycles. --- Key Features Ultra-High Precision: Calculations are accurate to within *seconds* of time, ensuring that the visual plot aligns perfectly with astronomical reality. Moon Phase Tracking: Distinct markers for New Moon, Full Moon, and Quarters. Lunar Declination Peaks: Automatically identifies when the moon reaches its *Maximum North* and *Maximum South* points (Lunar Extremes). Customizable Visuals: Toggle between background highlights, vertical lines, or plot signals to suit your trading style. --- Technical Accuracy This script is built using a ported version of the Swiss Ephemeris Positional Accuracy: Within 0.1 arcseconds. Time Accuracy: Within **~1-2 seconds** of official JPL data. Algorithm: Integration of the *ELP2000-85* lunar theory for maximum reliability over decades of historical data. --- ### **How to Use** 1. **Reversal Zones:** Watch for the Moon’s *Max/Min Declination* points, which often coincide with local tops or bottoms in trending markets. 2. **Volatility Shifts:** Use the *New Moon* and *Full Moon* markers to anticipate periods of increased or decreased market liquidity and volume. 3. **Confluence:** Best used in combination with your existing price action or momentum indicators to add a "time-based" filter to your entries. *Disclaimer: This tool is for educational and analytical purposes only. Lunar cycles are a study of time-based correlation, not a guaranteed financial signal.*
Pine Script® Indikator
von ChronosCapital
Yield Curve Inversion Indicator Will track the TVC:US10Y and TVC:US03MY spread, often followed for the "yield curve inversion" trade/indicator. When an inversion occurs, which lasts a minimum of the defined days (default 10) the indicator will paint forward a warning period (default is 365 days). The yield curve being inverted is not the signal, the REVERSION back to a positive curve is the associated signal, namely the following 12 months after a reversion. This is often used as an early warning of trouble in markets. Hope this helpful for those who follow macro/internal warning signals.
Pine Script® Indikator
von Long_Game_Trading
Manipulation Candle SystemThis indicator is based on One Candle Scalping Strategy by ProRealAlgos ## **Manipulation Candle System – Simple Explanation** This indicator helps traders identify **potential market manipulation** during the **US stock market session (New York)** and highlights **key reversal signals**. --- ### **1. Daily ATR (Average True Range)** * Measures the **average price movement** of the day. * Helps determine if a move is **normal** or **abnormally large**. * The indicator calculates **daily ATR** automatically. * If 15 minute opening candle is more than 25% of Daily ATR, we can call it manipulation is happen . --- ### **2. 15-Minute Opening Candle Box** * Highlights the **first 15-minute candle** of the US session. * The box **extends for 2 hours** after the market opens. * **Color indicates market condition**: * **Red box** → the opening candle range is bigger than 25% of the daily ATR → potential **manipulation**. * **Blue box** → the opening candle range is normal → **neutral session**. * Helps traders visually spot when the market might be trying to **trap traders**. --- ### **3. 5-Minute Reversal Detection** * Looks for **reversal candle patterns** on the 5-minute chart: * Bullish engulfing or strong bullish pin → **buy reversal**. * Bearish engulfing or strong bearish pin → **sell reversal**. * Only checks during the **US session**, after 15 minute opening candle. * Helps traders **time entries** in the direction of potential market reversals. --- ### **4. Buy / Sell Signals** * Shows **triangle markers** on the chart: * **Green triangle below candle** → buy signal. * **Red triangle above candle** → sell signal. * The signal text also indicates: * `"BUY (Trap Reversal)"` → if the reversal occurs during manipulation. * `"BUY (Normal Reversal)"` → if the reversal occurs during a neutral session. * `"SELL (Trap Reversal)"` → if a sell reversal occurs during manipulation. * `"SELL (Normal Reversal)"` → otherwise. --- ### **5. Info Table** * Appears at the **top-right** of the chart. * Shows: 1. Daily ATR value. 2. 15-minute opening candle range. 3. Session condition → `"MANIPULATION"` or `"NEUTRAL"`. 4. Current reversal signal text. --- ### **How a New Trader Can Use It** 1. Look at the **color of the opening box**: * Red → be cautious, price may trap traders. * Blue → normal market behavior. 2. Watch for **reversal signals** on the 5-minute chart. 3. Use the **info table** to confirm ATR, session bias, and signals. 4. Combine this with **risk management** before entering trades.
Pine Script® Indikator
von tnumar
GARCH Adaptive Volatility & Momentum Predictor 💡 I. Indicator Concept: GARCH Adaptive Volatility & Momentum Predictor ----------------------------------------------------------------------------- The GARCH Adaptive Momentum Speed indicator provides a powerful, forward-looking view on market risk and momentum. Unlike standard moving averages or static volatility indicators (like ATR), GARCH forecasts the Conditional Volatility (σ_t) for the next bar, based on the principle of volatility clustering. The indicator consists of two essential components: 1. GARCH Volatility (Level): The primary forecast of the expected magnitude of price movement (risk). 2. Vol. Speed (Momentum): The first derivative of the GARCH forecast, showing whether market risk is accelerating or decelerating. This component is the main visual signal, displayed as a dynamic histogram. ⚙️ II. Key Features and Adaptive Logic ----------------------------------------------------------------------------- * Dynamic Coefficient Adaptation: The indicator automatically adjusts the GARCH coefficients (α and β) based on the chart's timeframe (TF): - Intraday TFs (M1-H4): Uses higher α and lower β for quicker reaction to recent shocks. - Daily/Weekly TFs (D, W): Uses lower α and higher β for a smoother, more persistent long-term forecast. * Momentum Visualization: The Vol. Speed component is plotted as a dynamic histogram (fill) that automatically changes color based on the direction of acceleration (Green for up, Red for down). 📊 III. Interpretation Guide ----------------------------------------------------------------------------- - GARCH Volatility (Blue Line): The predicted level of market risk. Use this to gauge overall position sizing and stop loss width. - Vol. Speed (Green Histogram): Momentum is ACCELERATING (Risk is increasing rapidly). A strong signal that momentum is building, often preceding a breakout. - Vol. Speed (Red Histogram): Momentum is DECELERATING (Risk is contracting). Indicates momentum is fading, often associated with market consolidation. 🎯 IV. Trading Application ----------------------------------------------------------------------------- - Breakout Timing: Look for a strong, high GREEN histogram bar. This suggests the volatility pressure is increasing rapidly, and a breakout may be imminent. - Consolidation: Small, shrinking RED histogram bars signal that market energy is draining, ideal for tight consolidation patterns.
Pine Script® Indikator
von s_d_t
CT Market Fragility & Systemic Risk Monitor v1.0CT ⊕ Market Fragility & Systemic Risk Monitor v1.0 Systemic Stress & Market Regime Monitor OVERVIEW Wall Street-grade structural monitoring now open-source. CT ⊕ Market Fragility & Systemic Risk Monitor v1.0 is a real-time systemic risk tool designed to detect fragility before it hits price. Built by former institutional traders, it delivers structural insight typically reserved for desks inside hedge funds and global macro desks. This isn’t about finding entries or exits, it’s about understanding the environment you're trading in, and recognizing when it's shifting. WHAT IT DOES • Monitors six key market domains: Equities, Rates/Credit, FX (USD stress), Commodities, Crypto, and Macro • Detects volatility stress, cross-domain coupling, and regime synchronization • Classifies market structure into Normal → Fragile → Critical • Shows a live dashboard with scores, coupling levels, and structural state • Plots event markers (T1, T2, T3) for structural transitions • Implements hysteresis logic to model post-stress 'memory • Supports both single-domain ("Local Mode") and system-wide monitoring HOW IT WORKS This engine does not rely on traditional TA. No moving averages. No MACD. No patterns. No guesswork. Instead, it measures how markets are behaving beneath price detecting when stress is: • Building internally • Spreading across domains • Synchronizing into systemic fragility T1 (🟠) — Early instability: acceleration in market coupling T2 (🔵) — Fragile regime: multiple domains simultaneously stressed T3 (🔴) — Critical regime: synchronized, system-wide stress These are not buy/sell signals. They are structural regime alerts, the same kind used by institutions to cut risk before stress cascades. WHY IT MATTERS Most retail tools are reactive. They interpret surface-level patterns after the move. This tool is different. It’s proactive – measuring pressure before it breaks structure. Institutions have used structural fragility models like this for years. This script helps close that gap, giving everyday traders the same early warnings that pros use to reduce exposure and sidestep systemic blowups. It’s not about finding the edge. It’s about not getting crushed when the system breaks. Whether you trade crypto, stocks, FX, or macro, this engine helps answer: • Is the system stable right now? • Are stress levels rising across markets? • Is it time to tighten risk? Institutions don’t wait for breakouts. They monitor structure. Now, you can too. KEY FEATURES • Works on any asset class and any timeframe • Fully customizable domain selection • Three-tier structural alert system (T1–T3) • Real-time dashboard: stress scores, states, and coupling levels • Hysteresis modeling: post-stress “memory” detection • Supports single-domain (local) or multi-domain (systemic) monitoring • PineScript alerts built-in RECOMMENDED USE Active traders - all asset classes Use the dashboard and T1–T3 alerts to stay aware of structural risk in real time. Track multi-timeframe alignment to detect where risk originates and how it spreads across markets. Crypto trader s Monitor upstream domains (Equities, FX, Rates, Macro) to detect pressure before it reaches crypto. Identify reflexive stress before Bitcoin reacts — and stay ahead of contagion events. Macro & systematic traders Use T1–T3 transitions as volatility filters, exposure governors, or dynamic risk overlays. Build regime-aware models that adapt to shifting systemic conditions. Examples & Visuals Question: Would it have helped to know that at 9:30 on October 9th and again at 10:00 on October 10th that critical states were detected in the structural behavior of Bitcoin? Take a look: 30 min chart BTC shows two distinct T3 (critical) regime detections October 9th and 10:30 October 10th 5m BTC chart reveals high frequency instability for the same period, identifying instability, fragility, criticality The 30minute BTC chart at 16:30 Friday October 10th,, a few hours after first detecting critical systemic risk RISK DISCLAIMER This is a structural analysis tool, not a predictive signal. It does not provide financial advice, trade entries, or forecasts. Use at your own risk. Full disclaimer embedded in the script. Complexity Trading - From Wall St to Main St No patterns. No repainting. No mysticism. Just logic, math, science and market structure - now made accessible to everyone. Developer of LPPL Critical Pulse (LPPLCP), the Temporal Phase Model (TPM) and other other advanced structural and attractor based systems inspired by Sornette’s LPPL framework and other differentiated thinkers. Note on Methodology This tool is not predictive, and not designed for academic publication. It is a real-time structural monitoring system inspired by academically established concepts, including LPPL attractor dynamics, cross-asset coupling, reflexivity, and phase regime transitions, implemented within the real-time constraints of PineScript, and intended for visual, exploratory, and diagnostic use.
Pine Script® Indikator
von ComplexityTrading
13
BTC - ALSI: Altcoin Season Index (Dynamic Eras)Title: BTC - ALSI: Altcoin Season Index (Dynamic Eras) Overview & Philosophy The Altcoin Season Index (ALSI) is a quantitative tool designed to answer the most critical question in crypto capital rotation: "Is it time to hold Bitcoin, or is it time to take risks on Altcoins?" Most "Altseason" indicators suffer from Survivor Bias or Obsolescence. They either track a static list of coins that includes "dead" assets from previous cycles (ghosts of 2017), or they break completely when major tokens collapse (like LUNA or FTT). This indicator solves this by using a Time-Varying Basket. The indicator automatically adjusts its reference list of Top 20 coins based on historical eras. This ensures the index tracks the winners of the moment—capturing the DeFi summer of 2020, the NFT craze of 2021, and the AI/Meme narratives of 2024/2025. Methodology The indicator calculates the percentage of the Top 20 Altcoins that are outperforming Bitcoin over a rolling window (Default: 90 Days). The "Win" Count: For every major Altcoin performing better than BTC, the index adds a point. Dynamic Eras: The basket of coins changes depending on the date: 2020 Era (DeFi Summer): Tracks the "Blue Chips" of the DeFi revolution like UNI, LINK, DOT, and early movers like VET and FIL. 2021 Era (Layer 1 Wars): Tracks the explosion of alternative smart contract platforms, adding winners like SOL, AVAX, MATIC, and ALGO. 2022 Era (The Survivors): Filters for resilience during the Bear Market, solidifying the status of established assets like SHIB and ATOM. 2023 Era (Infrastructure & Scale): Captures the rise of "Next-Gen" tech leading into the pre-halving year, introducing TON, APT (Aptos), and ARB (Arbitrum). 2024/25 Era (AI & Speed): Tracks the current Super-Cycle leaders, focusing on the AI narrative (TAO, RNDR), High-Performance L1s (SUI), and modern Memes (PEPE). Chart Analysis & Strategy ( The "Alpha" ) As seen in the chart above, there is a strong correlation between ALSI Peaks and local tops in TOTAL3 (The Crypto Market Cap excluding BTC & ETH). The Entry (Rotation): When the indicator rises above the neutral 50 line, it signals that capital is beginning to rotate out of Bitcoin and into Altcoins. This has historically been a strong confirmation signal to increase exposure to high-beta assets. The Exit (Saturation): When the indicator hits 100 (or sustains in the Red Zone > 75), it means every single Altcoin is beating Bitcoin. Historically, this extreme exuberance often marks a local top in the TOTAL3 chart. This is the zone where smart money typically sells into strength, rather than opening new positions. How to Read the Visuals 🚀 Altcoin Season (Red Zone > 75): Strong Altcoin dominance. The market is "Risk On." 🛡️ Bitcoin Season (Blue Zone < 25): Bitcoin dominance. Alts are bleeding against BTC. Historically, this is a defensive zone to hold BTC or Stablecoins. Data Dashboard: A status table in the bottom-right corner displays the live Index Value, current Regime, and a System Check to ensure all 20 data feeds are active. Settings Lookback Period: Default 90 Days. Lowering this (e.g., to 30) makes the index faster but noisier. Thresholds: Adjustable zones for Altcoin Season (Default: 75) and Bitcoin Season (Default: 25). Credits & Attribution This open-source indicator is built on the shoulders of giants. I acknowledge the original creators of the concept and the pioneers of its implementation on TradingView: Original Concept: BlockchainCenter.net. - They established the industry standard definition: 75% of the Top 50 coins outperforming Bitcoin over 90 days = Altseason.. TradingView Implementation: Adam_Nguyen - He implemented the "Dynamic Era" logic (updating the coin list annually) on TradingView. Our code structure for the time-based switching is inspired by his methodology. See also his implementation in the chart. ( Altcoin Season Index - Adam) . Comparison: Why use ALSI | RM? While inspired by the above, ALSI introduces three key improvements: Open Source: Unlike other popular TradingView versions (which are closed-source), this script is fully transparent. You can see exactly which coins are triggering the signal. Sanitized History (Anti-Fragile): Historical Top 20 snapshots are not blindly used. "Dead" coins (like LUNA and FTT) from previous eras are manually filtered out. A raw index would crash during the Terra/FTX collapses, giving a false "Bitcoin Season" signal purely due to bad actors. The curated list preserves the integrity of the market structure signal. Narrative Relevance: The 2024/25 basket was updated to include TAO (Bittensor) and RNDR, ensuring the index captures the dominant AI narrative, rather than tracking fading assets from the previous cycle. You can compare the ALSI indicator with other available tradingview indicators in the chart: Different indicators for the same idea are shown in the 3 Pane window below the BTC and Total3 chart, whereas ALSI is the top pane indicator. Important Note on Coin Selection Baskets are highly curated: Dead/irrelevant coins (FTT, LUNA, BSV) are excluded for clean signals. This prevents historical breaks and ensures Era T5 captures current narratives (AI, Memes) via TAO/RNDR. See above. Users are free to adjust the source code to test their own baskets. Disclaimer This script is for research and educational purposes only. Past correlations between ALSI and TOTAL3 do not guarantee future results. Market regimes can change, and "Altseasons" can be cut short by macro events. Tags bitcoin, btc, altseason, dominance, total3, rotation, cycle, index, alsi, Rob Maths
Pine Script® Indikator
von Rob_Maths
Bollinger Bands Forecast with Signals (Zeiierman)█ Overview Bollinger Bands Forecast with Signals (Zeiierman) extends classic Bollinger Bands into a forward-looking framework. Instead of only showing where volatility has been, it projects where the basis (midline) and band width are likely to drift next, based on recent trend and volatility behavior. The projection is built from the measured slopes of the Bollinger basis, the standard deviation (or ATR, depending on the mode), and a volatility “breathing” component. On top of that, the script includes an optional projected price path that can be blended with a deterministic random walk, plus rejection signals to highlight failed band breaks. █ How It Works ⚪ Bollinger Core The script first computes standard Bollinger Bands using the selected Source, Length, and Multiplier: Basis = SMA(Source, Length) Band width = Multiplier × StDev(Source, Length) Upper/Lower = Basis ± Width This remains the “live” (non-forecast) structure on the chart. ⚪ Trend & Volatility Slope Estimation To project forward, the indicator measures directional drift and volatility drift using linear regression differences: Basis slope from the Bollinger basis StDev slope from the Bollinger deviation ATR slope for ATR-based projection mode These slopes drive the forecast bands forward, reflecting the market’s recent directional and volatility regime. ⚪ Projection Engine (Forecast Bands) At the last bar, the indicator draws projected basis, upper, and lower lines out to Forecast Bars. The projected basis can be: Trend (straight linear projection) Curved (ease-in/out transition toward projected endpoints) Smoothed (extra smoothing on projected basis/width) ⚪ Price Path Projection + Optional Random Walk In addition to projecting the bands, the script can draw a price forecast path made of a small number of zigzag swings. Each swing targets a point offset from the projected basis by a multiple of the projected half-width (“width units”). Decay gradually reduces swing size as the forecast deepens. The Optional Random Walk Blend adds a deterministic drift component to the zigzag path. It’s not true randomness; it’s a stable pseudo-random sequence, so the drawing doesn’t jump around on refresh, while still adding “natural” variation. ⚪ Rejection Signals Signals are based on failed attempts to break a band: Bear Signal (Down): price tries to push above the upper band, then falls back inside, while still closing above the basis. Bull Signal (Up): price tries to push below the lower band, then returns back inside, while still closing below the basis. █ How to Use ⚪ Forward Support/Resistance Corridors Treat the projected upper/lower bands as a future volatility envelope, not a guarantee: The upper projection ≈ is likely a resistance level if the regime persists The lower projection ≈ is likely a support level if the regime persists Best used for trade planning, targets, and “where price could travel” under similar conditions. ⚪ Regime Read: Trend + Volatility The projection shape is informative: Rising basis + expanding width → trend with increasing volatility (needs wider stops / more caution) Flat basis + compressing width → contraction regime (often precedes expansion) ⚪ Signals for Mean-Reversion / Failed Breakouts The rejection markers are useful for fade-style setups: A Down signal near/after upper-band failure can imply rotation back toward the basis. An Up signal near/after lower-band failure can imply snap-back toward the basis. With MA filtering enabled, signals are constrained to align with the broader bias, helping reduce chop-driven noise. █ Related Publications Donchian Predictive Channel (Zeiierman) █ Settings ⚪ Bollinger Band Controls the live Bollinger Bands on the chart. Source – Price used for calculations. Length – Lookback period; higher = smoother, lower = more reactive. Multiplier – Bandwidth; higher = wider bands, lower = tighter bands. ⚪ Forecast Controls the forward projection of the Bollinger Bands. Forecast Bars – How far into the future the bands are projected. Trend Length – Lookback used to estimate trend and volatility slopes. Forecast Band Mode – Defines projection behavior (linear, curved, breathing, ATR-based, or smoothed). ⚪ Price Forecast Controls the projected price path inside the bands. ZigZag Swings – Number of projected oscillations. Amplitude – Distance from basis, measured in bandwidth units. Decay – Shrinks swings further into the forecast. ⚪ Random-Walk Adds controlled randomness to the price path. Enable – Toggle random-walk influence. Blend – Strength of randomness vs. zigzag. Step Size – Size of random steps (band-width units). Decay – Reduces randomness as the forecast deepens. Seed – Changes the (stable) random sequence. ⚪ Signals Controls rejection/mean-reversion signals. Show Signals – Enable/disable signal markers. MA Filter (Type/Length) – Filters signals by trend direction. ----------------- Disclaimer The content provided in my scripts, indicators, ideas, algorithms, and systems is for educational and informational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice, investment recommendations, or a solicitation to buy or sell any financial instruments. I will not accept liability for any loss or damage, including without limitation any loss of profit, which may arise directly or indirectly from the use of or reliance on such information. All investments involve risk, and the past performance of a security, industry, sector, market, financial product, trading strategy, backtest, or individual's trading does not guarantee future results or returns. Investors are fully responsible for any investment decisions they make. Such decisions should be based solely on an evaluation of their financial circumstances, investment objectives, risk tolerance, and liquidity needs.
Pine Script® Indikator
von Zeiierman
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