3/21/2019
Observation: I think it's important to look at the greater life span of XRP. The white dashed lines connect the ALL TIME HIGHS(GREEN) to the lowest price (RED) after consolidation... and then to the next ATH. In this chart, we can see that the RED numbers are increasing as time goes on.... aka "higher lows" as well as the ATH's.
Analysis: I'm a bit concerned that the bull run on 9/19/18 (Pink arrow) sets the trajectory of the white dashed line to the future ATH a bit too aggressive and therefore very unlikely. Furthermore, this would indicate that the fall from 3.50 isn't done consolidating. I think this is a good thing. If this is the case, we are anticipating a drop to less than .24 but greater than .12. This would give us a new target low (shown in in yellow) from 3.50 for another go towards an ATH that is greater than 3.50 with a trajectory that could be more realistic.
Conclusion: I'm looking for a bear run to somewhere between .12 and .24. This would show a deviation from the white trend line... and possibly shift to following the yellow trend line to give us a new ATH greater than 3.50.
Post Note: If we see a serious bull run that starts within the next week, we could see an ATH that follows the white vector. If XRP keeps moving sideways, look for a drop to somewhere between .12-.24 hopefully closer to .24.
What do you think?