Monero possible scenario.

I see two possible scenarios on XMRBTC but looking at the structure the most likely scenario would be an upwards pulse. Although BTCUSD is to be taken into account. As we have seen in past, a drop in CEXIO:BTCUSD is able to bring the entire Crypto market down with it. Personally I feel Segwit is a major uncertainty this alone can push down the market due and the outcome will definitely give us the next trend which we will ride for probably a very long time. For now just be careful.