XAU.USD near term Update: $1509 key resistance, $1515 at most ?
Aktualisiert
Follow up to my last post about London Open break out zones (click).
London did not disappoint yesterday, with a strong push at open.
New York followed through somewhat, after some stop hunts.
We may now be completing or completed this 5-wave Impulse.
$ 1509 is immediate resistance, could be strong.
$ 1515 is likely end of wave if it reaches there.
$ 1505 is key support for trend continuation.
All in all I am quite bullish but expecting a pullback soon.
These 5 waves could be sub-waves of new wave "1" of next 5.
The retrace may turn out to be a wave "2" with "3" to launch.
.
Previous Gold Analysis (click):
$1600 then $2100?<= Still Plausible
$1460 initial retrace
$1555 top call<= Just in Time
$1406 to $1525<= Called the Jump
$1386 bounce
$1439 top call<= To the Penny
$1332 bounce
$1320 top Call
$1270 bounce<= To the Penny
$1280 break
$1380 call <= 8 mos ago
Of course, I have had total FAILS on some ideas too, not going to pretend.
But all of my plots show PRECISE entries, TIGHT stops, and EXACT targets.
Precision is the way of the Fib. Almost every turn happens at a Fib Line.
.
London did not disappoint yesterday, with a strong push at open.
New York followed through somewhat, after some stop hunts.
We may now be completing or completed this 5-wave Impulse.
$ 1509 is immediate resistance, could be strong.
$ 1515 is likely end of wave if it reaches there.
$ 1505 is key support for trend continuation.
All in all I am quite bullish but expecting a pullback soon.
These 5 waves could be sub-waves of new wave "1" of next 5.
The retrace may turn out to be a wave "2" with "3" to launch.
.
Previous Gold Analysis (click):
$1600 then $2100?<= Still Plausible
$1460 initial retrace
$1555 top call<= Just in Time
$1406 to $1525<= Called the Jump
$1386 bounce
$1439 top call<= To the Penny
$1332 bounce
$1320 top Call
$1270 bounce<= To the Penny
$1280 break
$1380 call <= 8 mos ago
Of course, I have had total FAILS on some ideas too, not going to pretend.
But all of my plots show PRECISE entries, TIGHT stops, and EXACT targets.
Precision is the way of the Fib. Almost every turn happens at a Fib Line.
.
Anmerkung
Well that was a CLEAR end of the 5 wave impulse move .
Anmerkung
quick look zoomed in on the drop .
Anmerkung
nice near term fib of the drop break below 1501 should hit 1498,
break above 1503 should hit 1506
Anmerkung
Possible Bearish outlook Anmerkung
so we ran up to the $1515 zone , overshot it a bit, and now fighting it Looks like UK session might have to make the next move again.
.
Anmerkung
Some US-China news has brought Risk ON to the markets for now, thus the spike down. But now the $1505 previous support as been reinforced with a couple of new fibs .
Anmerkung
Just had some US-China tif-for-tat and some volatility.Awesome reactions at the Fib Zones:
Strong forces at work but could only push between existing bands thus far.
Zoomed in, we got a spike and then a drop just now, showing two clear Waves
Beautiful Stair-Step action on the second wave.
First wave was violent, went to the 2.618 straight away.
Second wave far more controlled,
like a mine sweeper going back over to make sure they are all gone.
.
Anmerkung
Still keeping the rhythm .
Anmerkung
my logic, (not always correct) from this pic zooming out a wee bit and adding the ripples from earlier large wave
down lower around $1505 at the 5.382 is of real interest to me now.
That may also paint a "double bottom" or "inverted Head-n-Shold", etc.
Anmerkung
well I took at long at the 5.382 at $1505 as hoped losed some when it hit the 4.382,
half still riding long with SL at a loss of only the profit thus far on this long.
HERO or ZERO I guess :)
.
Anmerkung
wow, got a spike and I closed the long on that good luck that 5.382 sure seems to be doing the trick,
US CPI report out later, so am out for now.
.
Verbundene Veröffentlichungen
Haftungsausschluss
Die Informationen und Veröffentlichungen sind nicht als Finanz-, Anlage-, Handels- oder andere Arten von Ratschlägen oder Empfehlungen gedacht, die von TradingView bereitgestellt oder gebilligt werden, und stellen diese nicht dar. Lesen Sie mehr in den Nutzungsbedingungen.