XAU/USD 11 December 2024 Intraday Analysis

H4 Analysis:

-> Swing: Bearish.
-> Internal: Bullish.

Bias/analysis remains the same as analysis dated 25 November 2024.

Price Action Analysis:
As mentioned in yesterday's analysis dated 24 November 2024, whereby price was expected to print a bearish CHoCH. This is how price printed.

Currently, price is trading within an established internal range.

Intraday Expectation:
Price is anticipated to trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, which is marked in blue, or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 2,721.420.

Note:
With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment.

H4 Chart: Snapshot

M15 Analysis:

-> Swing: Bearish.
-> Internal: Bullish.

Price Action Analysis:
As mentioned in my analysis dated 25 November 2024, H4 TF is now trading in discount of internal 50%. This suggested that bearish momentum on M15 may face limitations, which it did.

Price printed as per alternative scenario, printing a bullish iBOS.

Price subsequently printed a bearish CHoCH indicating bearish pullback phase initiation.

Internal range is now established.

Intraday Expectation:
Price to trade down to either 50% internal EQ, or M15 demand level before targeting weak internal high.

Alternative Scenario:
Current internal range is fairly extensive, therefore, requiring a deeper pullback to internal 50% EQ and/or M15 demand level.

Price could potentially target weak internal high and print a bullish iBOS to narrow the depth of the internal range.

Note:
Given the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persistent geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is likely to remain elevated. Traders should remain cautious and prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment.

M15 Chart: Snapshot
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