Based on the provided analysis, here is my assessment of the expected price movement for the USD/CHF currency pair:
**Short-term (next 24-48 hours):**
* The indicative opening price of 0.8650 suggests stability, but the thin liquidity on Monday mornings and geopolitical tensions could lead to increased volatility. * The technical analysis video emphasizes caution and monitoring key levels, which implies that the price movement might be uncertain or range-bound in the short term. * The forecast for the week suggests a continuation of the downward trend, but this might not necessarily manifest in the next 24-48 hours.
Expected price movement in the short term: **STAY THE SAME** (range-bound or minimal movement)
**Long-term (next week or beyond):**
* The forecast for the week suggests a continuation of the downward trend, which implies that the price is expected to go down. * The technical analysis video and the forecast section both indicate a potential downward movement, which supports this assessment. * The broader market conditions, such as central banks' actions and geopolitical tensions, could also contribute to a downward trend.
Expected price movement in the long term: **GO DOWN** ( continuation of the downward trend)
Please note that these assessments are based on the provided analysis and should not be considered as investment advice. Market conditions can change rapidly, and other factors not mentioned in the analysis could influence the price movement.
Result: [Method0] ST=Same LT=Down
Analysis Method(1)
Based on the provided analysis, here are my conclusions for the USD/CHF pair:
**Short-term Analysis (next few days):** The price is expected to **go up**. The pair is in an uptrend, and technical analysis suggests that it will continue higher, targeting levels such as 0.8680 and potentially 0.8750. The intraday bias is also on the upside, with a target of 0.8698. However, there is a risk of a pullback to fill a chart gap, potentially correcting down to 0.8574.
**Long-term Analysis (weeks/months):** The price is expected to **stay the same** or potentially **go down**. Despite the strong recovery over recent weeks, the longer-term trend for USD/CHF is still considered bearish as long as the 0.9243 resistance holds. A firm break of 0.8332 could resume the larger downtrend from 1.0146 (2022 high).
Please note that these conclusions are based on the provided analysis and are subject to change as new data becomes available.
Result: [Method1] ST=Up LT=Down
Analysis Method(2)
Based on the provided analysis, here is my assessment of the expected price movement for the USD/CHF pair:
**Short-term analysis (next few days):** The technical analysis suggests a potential bullish correction, testing the resistance level near 0.8745. However, this is expected to be followed by a downward rebound, continuing the fall. The moving averages indicate a bearish trend, and the RSI supports the decline scenario. Therefore, in the short term, I expect the price to **go down** after a brief attempt to correct upwards.
**Long-term analysis (weeks/months):** The fundamental overview mentions the influence of safe-haven demand on the Swiss Franc, which could continue to impact the USD/CHF pair. Additionally, the potential for gradual interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve could also affect the pair. However, the technical analysis suggests a bearish trend, with a potential breakout of the lower border of the "Triangle" pattern. Considering these factors, I expect the price to **go down** in the long term, potentially targeting levels below 0.7985.
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