Take Profit 1 - 0.8713 Take Profit 2 - 0.8663 Take Profit 3 - 0.8613 Stop loss - 0.8893
The USDCHF pair has been in a bearish trend for the past few weeks, and it is currently trading near the bottom of its range. The current spot rate is 0.8793, and a sell entry point of 0.8793 is just above the recent low of 0.8773.
There are a few reasons why USDCHF could continue to fall in the near term. First, the US dollar is generally seen as a safe haven currency, and it has been strengthening against the Swiss franc as concerns about the global economy have grown. Second, the US economy is expected to grow more slowly than the Swiss economy in the near term. This is due to a number of factors, including the strength of the Swiss manufacturing sector and the country's exports of precision instruments and other manufactured goods. Finally, the Swiss National Bank is expected to keep interest rates low, which could put downward pressure on the CHF against the USD.
Technical analysis:
From a technical perspective, the USDCHF pair is trading below its 200-day moving average, which is a bearish signal. The pair is also forming a bearish descending triangle pattern, which is a continuation pattern that typically leads to a breakout to the downside.
Fundamental analysis:
The US economy is expected to grow more slowly than the Swiss economy in the near term. This is due to a number of factors, including the strength of the Swiss manufacturing sector and the country's exports of precision instruments and other manufactured goods. However, the Swiss National Bank is expected to keep interest rates low, which could put downward pressure on the CHF against the USD.
Risks:
There are a few risks to consider before entering a trade on USDCHF. First, the global economy is facing some headwinds, such as the war in Ukraine. These headwinds could weigh on risk appetite and lead to a rise in the USDCHF pair. Second, the Swiss National Bank is expected to intervene in the forex market to prevent the CHF from falling too far. Finally, the Swiss economy is facing some headwinds, such as the war in Ukraine and the ongoing trade tensions with the US. These headwinds could weigh on the CHF and lead to a rise in the USDCHF pair.
Overall:
I think USDCHF is a good pair to trade for those who are looking for a short-term bearish trend. However, it is important to remember that the forex market is volatile, and there is always the risk of a reversal. You should always do your own research before entering any trades.
Here are some additional factors that you may want to consider before entering a trade on USDCHF:
The economic outlook for the US and Switzerland. The level of volatility in the forex market. The price of commodities, such as oil and other manufactured goods.
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