So OK. I was wrong the first time about the break out on this market and it cost me 100 pips. I learned the "wait and see" lesson (again). And a lot of the other traders did predict this spike back up into trend before the bear run.
However, what to watch for?
So this newly formed head and shoulders gives us its neck line on old support/resistance which is nice, it allows for an aggressive bearish trade off this marker, and also gives us an upper section of the forming bearish trend. I will be taking this trade which I expect to line up today, but I will be entering on Bearish candle patterns only and a clear rejection of the resistance. Ill be setting my stops above the recent shoulder but will be managing this in real time and getting out at the first sign of trouble.
A longer term and more conservative approach would be to wait for confirmation of the blue trend line and sell off this on each pass. I'll probably be doing that too, but that's one for next month.
However, what to watch for?
So this newly formed head and shoulders gives us its neck line on old support/resistance which is nice, it allows for an aggressive bearish trade off this marker, and also gives us an upper section of the forming bearish trend. I will be taking this trade which I expect to line up today, but I will be entering on Bearish candle patterns only and a clear rejection of the resistance. Ill be setting my stops above the recent shoulder but will be managing this in real time and getting out at the first sign of trouble.
A longer term and more conservative approach would be to wait for confirmation of the blue trend line and sell off this on each pass. I'll probably be doing that too, but that's one for next month.