- The market has been trading inside a bullish channel since the beginning of 2023 ; the long-term trend is then bullish

- Since the establishment of a new all-time high over 18,430pts, the market has registered a pull-back.
Investors, pushed by fading hopes rate cuts in the US as well as rising geopolitical tensions in the middle-east, decided to temporarily reduce their exposure to riskier assets such as stocks.

Both moving averages are now bearish following a downside cross, while the MACD indicator also confirms the correction.

- The market currently trades between 16,950pts and 17,780pts. An extended pull-back towards the 50% Fibonacci retracement over 16,250pts could still take place without threatening the long-term trend.
This scenario highly depends on the next batch of corporate results from the "magnificent seven", which starts this week with TESLA, Microsoft, Meta Platform and Alphabet.

Investors remain broadly optimistic regarding revenue forecast from these companies. If earning reports were to fall short below expectations, this could have a dramatic impact towards market sentiment.


Pierre Veyret, Technical Analyst at ActivTrades

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