ridethepig | US 10Y Yields At 1.50 Support

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A deliberate soft closing down at the 1.50 lows (instead of breaking through allows for an underestimation in the bounce); here, the systematic approach of buying the dip deserves victory. We can cast some light together on playing through the flank:

Alarm bells ringing on the 2's 5's curve...Recession is calling


In the extraordinarily traditional sense an inversion which we are looking at always leads to a recession and volatile positioning. This change of cycle that I have mentioned usually crops up in Vol first:

ridethepig | VIX Market Commentary 2019.12.20


But what is typical of the big leagues, and this of course is no exception in US10Y, is and will remain advanced playing fields for advanced swing traders only. Retail making use of this soft close and betting on the continuation will provide the fuel for a spike as they cover and become trapped in a squeeze. Even when smart money appears to have a gun pointed at the head, it always finds the time to mass his troops in defence (now you see why this weekend was vital!!!!)... If you are keen to learn, you should model yourself around these premises.

All the best and thanks for keeping your support coming with likes, comments, charts, questions and etc!!



Anmerkung
An interesting bounce here from the lows as expected Snapshot
Trade geschlossen: Ziel wurde erreicht
First targets cleared here! Eyes on the NY session today we are aligning for a very important prelude to NFP.
Trade geschlossen: Ziel wurde erreicht
All targets cleared in a very simple bounce. Well done those repositioning.
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