Although markets were divided on whether the Fed will cut interest rates by 25 bps or 50 bps at their September meeting, still, the Fed brought some sort of surprise by cutting interest rates more aggressively, by 50 bps. Considering Fed's dual mandate, to keep inflation at targeted levels and a stable jobs market, the analysts are now noting that, with the latest rate cuts, the Fed switched attention to the US jobs market. The US yield reacted to the Fed's decision in a mixed manner. Still, the 10Y US yields turned to the upside, despite Fed Chair Powell's comment that more rate cuts are coming till the end of this year.
The 10Y US yields reached the lowest weekly level at 3,6%, and soon reverted to the upside, ending the week at the level of 3,74%. While digesting Feds comments, the market is currently seeking an equilibrium level for the US yields. Based on current sentiment, there is some probability that yields might shortly revert back toward the level of 3,8%. However, on a longer time scale, the trend for 10Y US yields is on the downside.
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