Tesla's stock has demonstrated an extremely positive share price performance throughout the last two and a half months. The stock bottomed at around the $550 mark back in May, as the strong support there managed to stop the volatile stock price decline.
The company was under severe pressure at the time following their sub-par Q1 earnings announcements, where it became clear that if it was not for the BTC sale that Tesla completed and the huge profit that it made from it, the company would have reported a Net Loss for Q1. In addition to that, many people started to realize that Tesla was receiving large government decarbonization credits and subsidies, which were the primary reason for the company's profitability. Furthermore, with the rising competition from the likes of Ford, General Motors in the electric vehicle market, investors have started to worry whether or not Tesla would be able to turn a profit in the event of a drastic decrease in the number of government decarbonization subsidies that it receives. The more companies there are that participate in the electrification of the Auto industry in the US the more candidates there will be for these government subsidies, thus Tesla will no longer be "the only show in town". However, we believe that in the short term most of the negativity has already been priced in, and the stock is about to reverse very soon.
So basically, these have been the major company related reasons as to why the stock has been trading in the $550-700 range for few months now. This is way off its all-time highs of $900 that it reached earlier in the year. We've seen a strong pickup in the bullish momentum for the stock and everything points for a breakout above the $700 resistance mark, within the next few trading sessions. Once that resistance is broken, then the stock will be easily headed towards the $800-900 range heading into September.
As you can see on the chart, all of the moving averages that we follow, as well as all of the key indicators that we use to define relative market strength and momentum are pointing higher. Thus, we would be opening a LONG TSLA position on a clear break above the $700 level and would be interested in potentially collecting a portion of our profit at around $890 for a 27% ROI.
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