We are once again at key levels on the SPY and the overall markets in general.
During premarket I expressed to my family, friends and followers to be very careful here at these levels. An impressive selloff followed.
A quick breakdown of what I believe happened technically can easily be identified by the following:
Daily - Several failed attempts to break up and out above 200ema and 618 fib. Overbought stoch and macd ready to roll over with the 20 and 50ema below.
4hr - A small but true bear pennant formation with the 100 and 200ema right below us as well as a premarket setup rollover of the stoch and macd.
1hr - closed below 200ema with stoch and macd oversold.
Weekly - the weekly is currently being pinched within the 20 and 100ema, with negative pressure and reaction from the 50ema above.
Current uptrend is holding with key 4hr moving avgs (100/200) directly below us at the lower band. We also have the .5 fib at 279 that has seen a lot of action during this run up.
With 15MAY20 expiration this Friday and the Feds in control, I would not be surprised to see 300 by Friday. But...then again do not count out the bears for a drop out of this uptrend and back into the downtrend channel to retest the .5fib @279
Personally, I believe we hold this upward trend and continue the upward movement to the 300 level. But... I will move with the market because I know the market doesn't move with me.
If it appears this uptrend channel holds I will be looking at 26MAY20 290c.
If we head down I will look at the 26MAY20 280p.
The Content is for informational purposes only.
Good luck, happy trading and stay chill,
2degreez