So far SPX has moved up in accordance with the last video update. From this 4 hour chart it seems that the Impulsive move that started near 2689 is about complete, a break below the W.4 low marked level at 2892 will act as confirmation or sell trigger level from where we can see downside till the Target level of 2828, if selling continues then further downside till the white support zone of 2800 to 2775 can be seen.
Anmerkung
5 minute chart : Expected Bearish progression : Anmerkung
SPX : 15 min. : Strong fall suggesting W.iii underway, SL reduced to W.ii/b high : Anmerkung
SPX : 15 min. : Anmerkung
SPX : 15 min. : Possible Ending Diagonal for W.(5) : Anmerkung
Hypo 2 : Suggesting that a Complex Correction is continuing with the current price in W.x/b either complete or continuing as a Triangle : Anmerkung
Hypo 1 : SPX : Anmerkung
Hypo 2 : 15min. update : Anmerkung
Hypo 1 : 15 min. update : Both Hypo 2 and 1 were pointing down and the market has been following the same, the agreed minimum downside target is 2885.5 as per both Hypos : Anmerkung
SPX : 15 min. : Looks like the Hypo 1 is being followed, currently in W.(3) : Anmerkung
SPX : 15 min. : Hypo 1 : Expected progression : Anmerkung
SPX : Hypo 2 : Tmin. achieved W.4 complete, hence sideways to bearish movement, going below last low is required to confirm Hypo 1 : Anmerkung
SPX : 15 min. : Hypo 2 : Anmerkung
SPX : Hypo 1 : The structure from 2915 looks corrective suggesting that Hypo 2 might be the one being followed or that the move down is some sort of Leading Diagonal, shorts should maintain positions with strict SL as per their money management, technical SL above 2910 : Anmerkung
SPX : 15 min. : Hypo 1 : More downside remains for the completion of W.iii/c : Hypo 2 : 1H : Triple Zig Zag for W.4 down :
If we see sideways move here then that would signify Hypo 2, whereas straight down from current level means Hypo 1 is the scenario, overall more downside is expected.
Anmerkung
SPX : Hypo 2 : Updated : Hypo 1 : Updated :
Anmerkung
SPX : Hypo 2 : 15 min. : The Triple Zig Zag correction looks almost complete : Hypo 1 : 15 min. : Moving in W.(3) of W.iii down, Target 1 already achieved, SL should be moved lower :
Anmerkung
SPX : Hypo 1 : 15 min. : Expect a sharp spike down from here if this is the Hypo playing out, if not then bias remains towards Hypo 2 : Anmerkung
SPX : Hypo 1 : 15 min. : Expect a sharp spike down from here if this is the Hypo playing out, if not then bias remains towards Hypo 2 : Anmerkung
SPX : 15 Min. : Hypo 1 : No change : Hypo 2 : About to achieve T1 :
Anmerkung
SPX : Hypo 3 : Triple Zig Zag Continuation : Anmerkung
SPX : Hypo 2 : Price Action is too corrective and seems like the Triple Zig Zag is complete already, shorts should book atleast partial profits here if not all and wait for further clarity : Anmerkung
SPX : 1H : Hypo 3 : Unclear if W.x is complete or continuing, wait and watch for now : Anmerkung
Hypo 4 : Leading Diagonal case looks to be the one being followed : Currently seems to be in W.C of W.(Y) of this corrective up move : Anmerkung
SPX : 15 min. : Looks like we have an Expanding Leading Diagonal for W.(1) : Anmerkung
SPX : 15 min. : So far as Expected : Anmerkung
SPX : 15 min. : The structure has too many overlaps and looks more like a corrective sideways continuation then a downward move, in case Hypo 4 is being followed we need to see a strong move down closing lower then 2877 : Anmerkung
SPX : 1H : Short setup Invalidated : Looks like a corrective W.4 or W .2 continuation which will lead to higher prices once the correction is complete, since the formation is complex it is best to wait and watch for now until things become a bit clearer : Anmerkung
SPX : 15 min. Expected progression : Anmerkung
SPX : 15 min. : The last leg down seems to be in only three waves and hence arises the possibility that this whole thing might be corrective. Considering this new probability visible as Hypo 1 keep strict stops at 2931.9 :
Anmerkung
SPX : Updated Count : 4H : Last count reached Stop level, however the situation looks much clearer now. H1 : If this market goes above 2942 then that would mean that W.v of W.iii) is continuing as an Ending Diagonal.
H2 : On the other hand if we see a break below the Cyan channel straight from here then that would mean that we are in a W.iv) Flat type of correction.
In case of H1, we will look for the Ending Diagonal to complete and then go short, in case of H2 the best strategy would be to wait for the completion of W.iv) and then go long for W.v) :
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Author : Think with the Markets
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Unmatched 80% plus forecast accuracy for 6 years : 50eyes.com/forecast-accuracy/
Video Course : 50eyes.com/elliott-wave-course
Author : Think with the Markets
Video Course : 50eyes.com/elliott-wave-course
Author : Think with the Markets
Verbundene Veröffentlichungen
Haftungsausschluss
Die Informationen und Veröffentlichungen sind nicht als Finanz-, Anlage-, Handels- oder andere Arten von Ratschlägen oder Empfehlungen gedacht, die von TradingView bereitgestellt oder gebilligt werden, und stellen diese nicht dar. Lesen Sie mehr in den Nutzungsbedingungen.