I posted about this in the Minds feed on TradingView last week
Trade active: Entered Monday August 11th 2025.
Last Time I played this pattern on NIO was back in September of last year and you can see to the left on my chart that it produced a 30% upside breakout from the move. If I remember correctly the volume and the move was probably news driven.
Now you can see this time there is something that makes this trade more powerful and interest me more.
We are above the Daily 200 Ema consolidating after making a new overall low on price this year. This typically a market maker algorithm that is used to shake out a ton of impatient paper hand investors.
The next day after I bought this I was down 10% on my shares and at the bottom of the flag. Shows you just can’t time the market every time obviously, but to me this was a great time to add options. I did some $5 calls expiring I think next Month. They are now up about 50%.
Price on August 14th swept the flag and tapped the 200Ema and price of course was sent to the top of the flag where we sit now. That luckily brought me back to break even on my shares and up 50% on my Call Options.
At this point Im patiently waiting to see if this trade idea works. I mean it’s NIO, the Chinese car company, that none of us have ever seen in person and with Trump in office people are scared of investing and or trading Chinese stocks. I see this as opportunity. All trades are dangerous but if you really look at NIO it’s a really easy stock to trade and it does respect a lot of Technical Analysis.
Trade Idea:
Entries: Enter now! Feel the FOMO! (Just kidding)
-Enter only if you wish to gamble this amazing set up
-If your a break out trader then wait for the Flag to get closed over & retested.
-Being a little early on consolidation like this is fine if your patient on waiting for the break up or the invalidation from the break down.
-The way the Daily candle closed yesterday August 18th kind of indicates you might be able to grab it in the middle or towards the bottom of the flag pattern.
Stop Loss:
-Im playing Soft stops on this. This just means I am waiting to close my position only if price closes under $4.21 on the Daily time frame. At that point I know my idea has been invalidated and I can walk away with a loss and be onto the next one
-Stop Loss for someone looking to use hard stops you can play this right under $4.20
-If your dont want to play stop loss then I dont think owning NIO down here at these numbers are a bad investment at all. This company makes some cool stuff and they are backed by the Chinese Government. Also look at what happens when this stock hits sub $3 range it gets accumulated and sent right back to $5 every time.
Profits:
- I like targeting atleast 1:2 risk to reward on anything in a down trend like this.
- However we did sweep out a new low on price this year. We have more buyers this time so this move can be much bigger than the 30% move from last year. We are also above the 200ema this time on the consolidation so you could be less inclined to take earlier profits.
-$5.50 is swing high one and or the first place you can look to shave some off, this is a place we could reject.
-$6.07 is the next swing high and another place you can pay yourself a little bit. This puts you at 1:2 RR ratio
-At this point its definitely smart to move your stop loss to breakeven so you dont have to manage this much more
-Final TP range would be a large stretch between $7-$9 which if Im still holding shares and options then this is where Ill look to to empty the rest out. That will be nearly a 80% move up if we can make it that far (Would need some sort of news and intense buying pressure to send us there) Very unlikely of hitting so don't wait around on that. If it doesn't get there quickly then we will definitely have out pull back when the rally drys up.
Anyways there’s probably a crap ton of reading errors in here, I just woke up at 4am from my cat begging for more food and said I should type this up and expose this idea since I am in love with it.
Ask me questions if you got them & I’ll try to help.
Final Note:
Follow your plan trim your profits and don't let other people online change your price targets. People get in plays like this then go to YouTube to see some idiot that says “NIO TO $25 BY 2026!!!” Then you don't sell and get stuck with it at $3 in 2026 and tie your money up for no reason when you could of just taken your money and moved to the next one. I did this same crap in 2020 when I first got into trading and got sucked into the “meme stock” pumps that were happening after the stimulus checks hit everyone’s accounts. Now I just use past data on charts to help guide my decisions on take profit and trust me its much better than going for the YouTube guys lottery dream conspiracy’s. Who the hell knows? Maybe it can go to higher numbers, but unless you had a plan of action to hold to those numbers then it’s not your destiny to hold for returns like that on a stock like this.
You’ll be more mad to give the profit back you made then you will be feeling FOMO of price moving higher after you sold. Just go with the flow, there’s 9000 ticker symbols in the stock market and plenty of other opportunities. There’s also Forex, Futures and Crypto that all trade as well. The opportunity is everywhere, just play it smart!
Trade active: Entered Monday August 11th 2025.
Last Time I played this pattern on NIO was back in September of last year and you can see to the left on my chart that it produced a 30% upside breakout from the move. If I remember correctly the volume and the move was probably news driven.
Now you can see this time there is something that makes this trade more powerful and interest me more.
We are above the Daily 200 Ema consolidating after making a new overall low on price this year. This typically a market maker algorithm that is used to shake out a ton of impatient paper hand investors.
The next day after I bought this I was down 10% on my shares and at the bottom of the flag. Shows you just can’t time the market every time obviously, but to me this was a great time to add options. I did some $5 calls expiring I think next Month. They are now up about 50%.
Price on August 14th swept the flag and tapped the 200Ema and price of course was sent to the top of the flag where we sit now. That luckily brought me back to break even on my shares and up 50% on my Call Options.
At this point Im patiently waiting to see if this trade idea works. I mean it’s NIO, the Chinese car company, that none of us have ever seen in person and with Trump in office people are scared of investing and or trading Chinese stocks. I see this as opportunity. All trades are dangerous but if you really look at NIO it’s a really easy stock to trade and it does respect a lot of Technical Analysis.
Trade Idea:
Entries: Enter now! Feel the FOMO! (Just kidding)
-Enter only if you wish to gamble this amazing set up
-If your a break out trader then wait for the Flag to get closed over & retested.
-Being a little early on consolidation like this is fine if your patient on waiting for the break up or the invalidation from the break down.
-The way the Daily candle closed yesterday August 18th kind of indicates you might be able to grab it in the middle or towards the bottom of the flag pattern.
Stop Loss:
-Im playing Soft stops on this. This just means I am waiting to close my position only if price closes under $4.21 on the Daily time frame. At that point I know my idea has been invalidated and I can walk away with a loss and be onto the next one
-Stop Loss for someone looking to use hard stops you can play this right under $4.20
-If your dont want to play stop loss then I dont think owning NIO down here at these numbers are a bad investment at all. This company makes some cool stuff and they are backed by the Chinese Government. Also look at what happens when this stock hits sub $3 range it gets accumulated and sent right back to $5 every time.
Profits:
- I like targeting atleast 1:2 risk to reward on anything in a down trend like this.
- However we did sweep out a new low on price this year. We have more buyers this time so this move can be much bigger than the 30% move from last year. We are also above the 200ema this time on the consolidation so you could be less inclined to take earlier profits.
-$5.50 is swing high one and or the first place you can look to shave some off, this is a place we could reject.
-$6.07 is the next swing high and another place you can pay yourself a little bit. This puts you at 1:2 RR ratio
-At this point its definitely smart to move your stop loss to breakeven so you dont have to manage this much more
-Final TP range would be a large stretch between $7-$9 which if Im still holding shares and options then this is where Ill look to to empty the rest out. That will be nearly a 80% move up if we can make it that far (Would need some sort of news and intense buying pressure to send us there) Very unlikely of hitting so don't wait around on that. If it doesn't get there quickly then we will definitely have out pull back when the rally drys up.
Anyways there’s probably a crap ton of reading errors in here, I just woke up at 4am from my cat begging for more food and said I should type this up and expose this idea since I am in love with it.
Ask me questions if you got them & I’ll try to help.
Final Note:
Follow your plan trim your profits and don't let other people online change your price targets. People get in plays like this then go to YouTube to see some idiot that says “NIO TO $25 BY 2026!!!” Then you don't sell and get stuck with it at $3 in 2026 and tie your money up for no reason when you could of just taken your money and moved to the next one. I did this same crap in 2020 when I first got into trading and got sucked into the “meme stock” pumps that were happening after the stimulus checks hit everyone’s accounts. Now I just use past data on charts to help guide my decisions on take profit and trust me its much better than going for the YouTube guys lottery dream conspiracy’s. Who the hell knows? Maybe it can go to higher numbers, but unless you had a plan of action to hold to those numbers then it’s not your destiny to hold for returns like that on a stock like this.
You’ll be more mad to give the profit back you made then you will be feeling FOMO of price moving higher after you sold. Just go with the flow, there’s 9000 ticker symbols in the stock market and plenty of other opportunities. There’s also Forex, Futures and Crypto that all trade as well. The opportunity is everywhere, just play it smart!
Trade ist aktiv
Approaching the first place to trim some of the position. I think we will see $5.50 todayTrade geschlossen: Ziel wurde erreicht
With the entire market I am not happy right now and it looks like we could have a pull back on the over all market.I am securing my NIO Gains.
We ripped 30% and hit the second target from the bull flag break out which happend last year before we made new lows. I need to trust the techinacal analysis and take my gains. It seems as if earnings didnt do anything. Ill keep a few shares and put the stop loss at break even but I am going to collect my money.
Options hit 700% on this at one point. Super happy about that. Total collected on options were about 200%
Good trade on to the next one!
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Haftungsausschluss
Die Informationen und Veröffentlichungen sind nicht als Finanz-, Anlage-, Handels- oder andere Arten von Ratschlägen oder Empfehlungen gedacht, die von TradingView bereitgestellt oder gebilligt werden, und stellen diese nicht dar. Lesen Sie mehr in den Nutzungsbedingungen.