Good morning, friends! 🌞 Here are the market directions and levels for October 22nd.
Market Overview:
The global market is showing a moderately bearish sentiment due to yesterday’s decline, and our local market is following a similar trend. We anticipate a neutral to slightly gap-up opening today, with SGX Nifty indicating a positive start of +35 points as of 8 AM.
In the previous session, both Nifty and Bank Nifty opened with a gap-up, but it didn’t sustain. If you look at the structure, both indices are different from one another. Nifty is indicating a range-bound market, while Bank Nifty is showing a moderately bullish structure.
> How can we interpret this? I took two things into consideration for today’s direction: first, yesterday, the global market declined by nearly 1%, and second, looking at the Nifty and Bank Nifty charts broadly, the pullback occurred after a sharp decline. Both of these signs indicate a bearish bias. That’s how I started today's scenario with a bearish outlook. Let's dive into the charts.
Nifty Current View:
The current view suggests that even if the market opens with a gap-up, structurally it won't sustain. So, if this starts to decline, we can expect a correction to a minimum of24,614, which is a minor support. If the decline has a solid structure, then the trend will likely continue. However, the notable thing is that it is in a range-bound market, so there is a small probability of a minor bounce back as well. Please watch carefully.
Alternate View:
The alternate view also presents a kind of range-bound market. If the market sustains the gap-up, then we can expect24,914 for the pullback target. Structurally, it could reject there; if this happens, we can expect a minor correction, but it shouldn't break yesterday's low. This is the basic premise. After this consolidation, if it breaks24,914, then the pullback will likely continue further.
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