Nifty Short, Medium & Long Term : 14-Oct-24 to 18-Oct-24
Nifty Short, Medium & Long Term : 14-Oct-24 to 18-Oct-24
Nifty closed at 24964 ( Last Week 25011 ) and touched high & low of 25277-24708
Last week Market was marginally down and settled down due to middle east tension and profit booking. FII pulled out money and invested in China ( China market surged last week). Market touched new high 2 weeks before and touched all time high of Mid Term Resistance 26260.
Nifty Bank 51712 (last week 51462), touched the target of 54000 as proposed 2 months before (54400 all time high) and support at 49900. Buy on dips.
RSI ,Macd and stochastics levels are down. Caution to be emphasized as still further room to go down. Q2 results, Global news( US Election results and Relaxation of middle east tension) awaited which will pave way for more clearer path in market.
Nifty 24964 Short term ( Short Term : Down)
Nifty short term resistance 25376 & 25675 .
Support at 24814 ( 0.618 Fib Retracement)
Medium Term next target is 26266 & if move up decisively above next target is 27000
Medium term Support 24800, 24470 (Trend line support and Fib Resistance) and 24257 (Fib Support) and 24000.
Long Term : Nifty have a target of 28190 ( Fibonacci Resistance). Support at 22800
US started reducting fed rate as expected in Sep 2024, expected it shall continue in reduction of interest rate in next year.
Caution was emphasized on Nifty for last 3 months as nifty PE is in high level with high valuation especially in Mid cap & Small Cap. Mutual Funds SIP shall be invested as the goal is for more than 5-10 years at this critical period as the valuation is high.
Those with lesser risk can sell partial portfolio ( 20-30%) stocks which have less valuation and can wait for opportunity to buy when nifty dips upto 22800.
Deploy stop loss of upto 7%-8% which is crucial. More Risky players can have stop loss of trend line resistance of 23750 as shown in the chart.
Fundamentally good stocks can be added as it posted good results on every dip in finance stocks such as CAMS, UTI AMC , HDFC AMC, Manappuram Finance, suryoday small fin, Motilal Fin, Chola Finance, Dr Reddys, Natco Pharma, Cipla, JK Cements, Biocon, Persistent Sys, PI Ind, PNC Infra and Ashoka Buildcon, ICICI Bank, HDFC Bank Indian Bank & Punjab National Bank.
Stock Picking is needed at current scenario in Bank, auto, Pharma stocks.
Based on the Q1 results, following stocks can be added to portfolio: There is a possibility of dip to 21000-22000, hence please buy in parcels and every dip of Index and every dip of individual stocks (2-5% of portfolio on each purchase for long term) The above stocks mentioned are based on analysis of top line & Bottom line performance, hence based on the risk and portfolio mix one can add after analysis.
Nifty IT 42335 (last week 41912) indices increased last week, Q2 results will pave way for the clear direction.
Nifty closed at 24964 ( Last Week 25011 ) and touched high & low of 25277-24708
Last week Market was marginally down and settled down due to middle east tension and profit booking. FII pulled out money and invested in China ( China market surged last week). Market touched new high 2 weeks before and touched all time high of Mid Term Resistance 26260.
Nifty Bank 51712 (last week 51462), touched the target of 54000 as proposed 2 months before (54400 all time high) and support at 49900. Buy on dips.
RSI ,Macd and stochastics levels are down. Caution to be emphasized as still further room to go down. Q2 results, Global news( US Election results and Relaxation of middle east tension) awaited which will pave way for more clearer path in market.
Nifty 24964 Short term ( Short Term : Down)
Nifty short term resistance 25376 & 25675 .
Support at 24814 ( 0.618 Fib Retracement)
Medium Term next target is 26266 & if move up decisively above next target is 27000
Medium term Support 24800, 24470 (Trend line support and Fib Resistance) and 24257 (Fib Support) and 24000.
Long Term : Nifty have a target of 28190 ( Fibonacci Resistance). Support at 22800
US started reducting fed rate as expected in Sep 2024, expected it shall continue in reduction of interest rate in next year.
Caution was emphasized on Nifty for last 3 months as nifty PE is in high level with high valuation especially in Mid cap & Small Cap. Mutual Funds SIP shall be invested as the goal is for more than 5-10 years at this critical period as the valuation is high.
Those with lesser risk can sell partial portfolio ( 20-30%) stocks which have less valuation and can wait for opportunity to buy when nifty dips upto 22800.
Deploy stop loss of upto 7%-8% which is crucial. More Risky players can have stop loss of trend line resistance of 23750 as shown in the chart.
Fundamentally good stocks can be added as it posted good results on every dip in finance stocks such as CAMS, UTI AMC , HDFC AMC, Manappuram Finance, suryoday small fin, Motilal Fin, Chola Finance, Dr Reddys, Natco Pharma, Cipla, JK Cements, Biocon, Persistent Sys, PI Ind, PNC Infra and Ashoka Buildcon, ICICI Bank, HDFC Bank Indian Bank & Punjab National Bank.
Stock Picking is needed at current scenario in Bank, auto, Pharma stocks.
Based on the Q1 results, following stocks can be added to portfolio: There is a possibility of dip to 21000-22000, hence please buy in parcels and every dip of Index and every dip of individual stocks (2-5% of portfolio on each purchase for long term) The above stocks mentioned are based on analysis of top line & Bottom line performance, hence based on the risk and portfolio mix one can add after analysis.
Nifty IT 42335 (last week 41912) indices increased last week, Q2 results will pave way for the clear direction.
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