#Nifty directions and levels for the first week of October.
Good evening, friends! 🌞 Here are the market directions and levels for the first week of October.
Global Outlook:
In the previous week, the global market closed near where it started, indicating that the market moved in a consolidation phase. What about this week? There are many major events, such as US Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell's speech, the monthly JOLTs job openings and quits, unemployment rate, non-farm payrolls, vehicle sales, and factory orders data. Therefore, this week might be a little volatile.
Our Market:
The weekly candle for Nifty closed with a green candle, while Bank Nifty closed with a shooting star, suggesting moderate momentum. This implies that even if the market takes a bullish or bearish bias, it won’t experience significant momentum. Let’s analyze this in the charts.
Nifty Current View:
If the market starts with a red candle, we can expect a 23% to 38% correction in the minor swing. Structurally, it shouldn't break the 38% Fibonacci level. In case it breaks this level, we could expect the next target to be a 50% correction on the downside.
> in this variation, if it finds support around the 38% level, it could return to where it started this week. This is our first scenario.
Alternate View:
The alternate view suggests that if the market rejects around the immediate support level and consolidates, then the rally could continue once it breaks the previous high. If this happens, we can expect the next targets to be a minimum of 26,460 to 26,568. This is our alternate scenario.
Global Outlook:
In the previous week, the global market closed near where it started, indicating that the market moved in a consolidation phase. What about this week? There are many major events, such as US Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell's speech, the monthly JOLTs job openings and quits, unemployment rate, non-farm payrolls, vehicle sales, and factory orders data. Therefore, this week might be a little volatile.
Our Market:
The weekly candle for Nifty closed with a green candle, while Bank Nifty closed with a shooting star, suggesting moderate momentum. This implies that even if the market takes a bullish or bearish bias, it won’t experience significant momentum. Let’s analyze this in the charts.
Nifty Current View:
If the market starts with a red candle, we can expect a 23% to 38% correction in the minor swing. Structurally, it shouldn't break the 38% Fibonacci level. In case it breaks this level, we could expect the next target to be a 50% correction on the downside.
> in this variation, if it finds support around the 38% level, it could return to where it started this week. This is our first scenario.
Alternate View:
The alternate view suggests that if the market rejects around the immediate support level and consolidates, then the rally could continue once it breaks the previous high. If this happens, we can expect the next targets to be a minimum of 26,460 to 26,568. This is our alternate scenario.
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