Sizing Up the Nasdaq

The Nasdaq-100 is hitting its highest prices in over a month. Now could be a good time to review some patterns on the tech-heavy index.

Aside from simple levels, NDQ is above its 50-day simple moving average (SMA) for the first time since April 7. That could suggest a change in this year’s bearish trend.

Second, you have the series of higher lows since mid-June. Was that a bullish ascending triangle?

Also consider how the top of the triangle closely matches the March 2021 low, which held NDQ in check in late June and early July. Tuesday’s close could be a breakout through resistance.

Next are two custom scripts previously shared by TradeStation.

Distance from MA shows price’s distance from the 10-day SMA. Notice how it hit an overbought condition on June 2, followed by an oversold condition just seven days later. This is unusual because typically an overbought bounce follows an oversold condition. The combination -- followed by relative calm -- could represent the kind of final extreme swing occurring at the final stage of some trends.

The other script is 2 MA Ratio using its default setting of 8- and 21-day exponential moving averages (EMAs.) It plots the fast MA as a percentage of the slow MA. In this case it clearly shows the 8-day EMA rising above the 21-day EMA. (Moving these to an oscillator reduces clutter on the main price chart.) That crossover may also suggest that the trend has gotten more bullish.

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