HSN Shakeout Play: Smart Money Reloading for ATH Breakout?

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Hansen Technologies (HSN) — Strategic Long Setup

Hansen Technologies is shaping up as a compelling long-term play. On 20/08/25, a slight earnings miss (−0.07%) triggered a sharp intraday sell-off, with price spiking down to $5.00 before closing at $5.60, forming a bullish hammer. This candle reflects late retail capitulation into aggressive smart money absorption—a classic shakeout signature.

Confirmation Trigger To validate this as a true shakeout, price must close above the 20/08/25 high of $5.87. A reclaim of this level would likely ignite a strong rally toward all-time highs, as trapped shorts and sidelined longs scramble to reposition.

Monthly Structure — Bullish Reaccumulation

Price has been reaccumulating for ~4 years above the 2016 ATH, building a solid structural base.

The descending trend line has been broken and potentially successfully retested via the 20/08/25 spike low.

Price has also tested the yearly pivot and the 50% Fib level projected from the COVID low to ATH.

This multi-timeframe alignment suggests institutional accumulation and long-term bullish intent.

Trade Scenarios
Aggressive Long Entry: Enter now while price is still consolidating near the spike low. This approach anticipates a breakout and positions early. The stop loss would be placed just below the monthly 2-bar swing low to protect against deeper downside.

Confirmation Long Entry: Wait for price to reclaim and close above $5.87, the high of the 20/08/25 candle. This adds confluence and confirms the shakeout thesis. The stop loss for this setup would sit just below the spike low at approximately $5.00, giving room for volatility while protecting capital.
Anmerkung
TP 1 was hit last month. Overall, looking good for more upside.

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