Gold - Cash

Gold Price Forecast: Watching for a Breakout from the Triangle P

298
Date: July 23, 2025
Instrument: Gold (XAU/USD)
Chart Type: Daily (1D)
Source: TradingView

The price of gold is currently consolidating within a symmetrical triangle pattern, suggesting a potential breakout in the coming weeks. As of July 23, gold is trading around $3,390, down by 1.21% on the day. The chart highlights key support and resistance levels, trendlines, and a possible breakout path, providing valuable insight into future price action.

Technical Overview
Pattern Forming: A symmetrical triangle formed since early April, with higher lows and lower highs converging toward an apex.

Support Levels: $3,371.36, $3,370.79, and the lower ascending trendline.

Resistance Levels: $3,395.78, $3,401.08, and the horizontal zone near $3,430.88.

Indicators:

Moving Averages (likely EMA or SMA): Price is interacting with short- and mid-term MAs.

RSI (Relative Strength Index): Currently around 56, indicating bullish momentum without being overbought.

Forecast and Price Path
The chart includes a forecasted price path (in blue) that outlines a possible movement:

A short-term dip to retest the triangle’s lower support area near $3,370.

A bounce followed by sideways consolidation within the triangle.

A bullish breakout projected around early August.

A sharp upward trajectory targeting levels above $3,500, suggesting a strong bullish continuation if the breakout occurs as expected.

Conclusion
This symmetrical triangle is a classic continuation pattern, and given the overall bullish trend from earlier this year, the market may lean toward a breakout to the upside. However, confirmation is crucial: a strong daily close above $3,430 would validate the bullish breakout, while a drop below $3,370 could invalidate this scenario and hint at further consolidation or a downside move.

Traders should watch for volume spikes and RSI behavior near the triangle's apex for clearer breakout signals. Until then, gold remains in a tightening range—preparing for its next major move.

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