GBPUSD-Intraday :Possible Scenarios

Sometimes technical and fundamental analysis fail us. The least we can do is to trade what we can see.
Lets have a discussion about these two possible scenarios

Trade wurde manuell geschlossen:

Buystop Pending order was triggered,
Initial TP was never reached.
Managed to secure +25pips
Closed the trade manually when the 1hr Candle started to retrace