ETH Daily TA Cautiously Bullish

10. Aug. 2022

ETHUSD Daily cautiously bullish. Recommended ratio: 75% ETH, 25% Cash. *All US CPI numbers beat estimates this morning and Overall CPI stayed flat at 8.5%, causing Cryptos, Equities, Commodities and the 30yr Treasury Bond to go up. Meanwhile the VIX, DXY and all other Treasuries are falling. Markets are continuing to push the narrative of 'Peak Inflation' and 'Incoming Fed Pivot' as we near US midterm elections, this is driving investors to become more Risk-On. Overall CPI staying flat can be largely attributed to the White House finally deciding to tap in to the Strategic Oil Reserve (in addition to OPEC+ increasing output) last month, bringing gas prices down 19% from their ATH in July. Core CPI (which excludes energy and food) was still up 0.3% (compared to 0.5% estimated). The fourth GDPNow US Q3 GDP estimate released this morning is +2.5%, up from the previous estimate (08/04/22) of +1.4%; this likely added bullishness to today's session. Coinbase missed on earnings and revenue in Q2 and posted a 11B loss due to the ongoing 'Crypto Winter'. Chicago Fed President Charles Evans said that he supports a 4% FFR in 2023 and EOY FFR of 3.25%-3.5% for 2022, and that today's CPI reading was encouraging but that the next Employment Situation and PCE numbers will help determine whether or not inflation is really slowing. The Merge is currently scheduled for launch on Ethereum's Mainnet on 09/13/22. Key dates this week: Disney Q3 earnings today at 430pm EST; PPI at 830am EST 08/11.* Price is currently breaking out above $1711 minor resistance and will look to retest $1941 resistance in the coming sessions if it can flip $1711 minor resistance to support. Volume is Moderate (high) and favoring buyers which indicates that this breakout has some momentum. Parabolic SAR flips bearish at $1477, this margin is mildly bearish. RSI is currently testing the uptrend line from 06/18/22 as resistance at ~66, if it can reclaim support here this would be bullish. Stochastic is currently crossing over bullish at 61 after bouncing abruptly at 53, the next resistance is at 81. MACD is currently crossing over bullish at 96 after trading sideways for 6 consecutive sessions, if it holds then the next resistance is the upper trendline of the descending channel from August 2021 at ~137 (just below 155 resistance). ADX is currently trending up slightly at 29 as Price is pushing higher, this is bullish. If Price is able to establish support at $1711 minor resistance then the next likely target is a retest of $1941 resistance. However, if Price breaks back below $1711 minor resistance, it will likely retest ~$1600 before potentially retesting $1427 support. Mental Stop Loss: (one close below) $1692.