The chart provided shows a 4-hour Bitcoin (BTC) price analysis with USDT as the quoted currency for Binance. Let's break down the technical analysis:
Trend and Pattern Analysis 1. Descending Wedge Breakout: - The price was previously in a descending wedge pattern, marked by converging trendlines. - The breakout from this wedge occurred around July 11th, indicated by a sharp upward movement. This breakout is typically bullish, suggesting a reversal of the downtrend.
2. Resistance and Support Levels: - Current Resistance: Around 66,446.00 USDT, which the price is testing currently. - Support Zones: Significant support can be seen around the 62,500.00 USDT level. - Future Resistance Targets: - 69,577.08 USDT: The price is expected to face resistance here after the current level. - 73,184.17 USDT: This is the next significant resistance level following 69,577.08 USDT.
RSI (Relative Strength Index) Analysis - The RSI is currently around 64.08, slightly below the overbought threshold of 70. - Divergence Noted: A bearish divergence is marked on the chart, where the price made a higher high, but the RSI made a lower high. This could suggest weakening momentum and a potential for a short-term pullback.
Price Projections - The projected price path indicates a potential minor pullback from the current resistance level. - Following this pullback, a rise towards the 69,577.08 USDT level is expected. - If the price manages to break this resistance, the next target is the 73,184.17 USDT level.
Summary - Bullish Outlook: The breakout from the descending wedge and the overall uptrend suggest a bullish sentiment. - Short-term Caution: The bearish divergence on the RSI indicates the potential for a short-term pullback before continuing higher. - Key Levels to Watch: - Immediate support at 66,446.00 USDT. - Resistance at 69,577.08 USDT and 73,184.17 USDT.
Trading Strategy - Long Position: Considering entering on a pullback to a support level with targets at 69,577.08 USDT and 73,184.17 USDT. - Risk Management: Place stop-loss orders below key support levels, particularly below 62,500.00 USDT, to manage risk in case of a false breakout or deeper correction.
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