BTCUSD 7Mar20: Bullish/Bearish Scenarios

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Bullish: Coming down to 8732 USD and bouncing off, establishing a higher local low?
Bearish: Dropping back down to the 50% Fib level @ 8507 USD, and probably will then retest 8732 USD before failing and falling deeper down.

Present course of action?: Wait & watch for next move.
Price likely to drop lower first for both cases. Set stop-loss for bearish case (@ ca. 8675 USD) with the aid of the RCVI Stop-Limit Selector Script.
Snapshot


  • Fresh PRISM Signals' Buy signal triggered (suggesting an underlying positive acceleration of the momentum increase).
    However, need to wait for Cyber Ensemble for technical confirmation -- which actually recently signaled a sell instead.

  • Clear bullish signs of accumulation present.

  • However, the actual PRISM acceleration/jerk oscillators look weak.

  • Significant low reversal earlier triggered on FUSIONGAPS V5



Continued from:
PRISM Signals signaling BUY on the 1D Chart.
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CYBER ENSEMBLE 3hrly Chart
Snapshot

15min performance. Not as good as 3hrly since price movement can be more "random", doesn't necessarily adhere to TA well, and difficult to predict. Typically need a different trading strategy to trade at such short timeframes IMO.
Snapshot

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At such low time frames, looking at the underlying/hidden momentum/acceleration/hidden momentum shift, etc. (i.e. PRISM Signals and PRISM Oscillators) tends to be more effective rather than relying on traditional TA/patterns that works better at longer timeframes where randomness/noise are averaged out:
Snapshot
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Price have now dipped.
Waiting for CYBER ENSEMBLE to signal "Buy" again (previously signaled sell), for re-entry.

Snapshot
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Another view point (Trendline/Fib support/resistance):

Snapshot
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Predicted the dip earlier... Will the current support hold for the bullish scenario?
Snapshot
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Buy signal on PRISM Signals now also triggered on the 3 Hourly
Snapshot
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Price just dropped further -- however, noting that current movements is over the weekend, where liquidity is comparatively lower, and erratic price movements divergent from what is expected base on TA, becomes more likely.
However, w/o dropping down to 8500 USD (below the bottom support), I'd still maintain a slight bullish bias for now into the weekday.
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Snapshot
Trade geschlossen: Ziel wurde erreicht
Bullish target reached.
Sooner than expected.
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^^ Typo: Bearish target reached.
Also, Cyber Ensemble still have not signaled a fresh "Buy" signal yet.
Till then, price will likely continue to drop to ca. 8k USD.
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Now, waiting for price to come down to 7500 USD, then consider what to do next from there. :)
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Presently just staying out of the market for now.
accelerationcyberensembleichicloudTechnical IndicatorsjerkMomentum OscillatorsmomentumstrategyprismprismsignalspsarSupport and ResistanceTrend Lines

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