BTC Lower target expected ?

1 Testing the first 0.236 level
if we fail we're going down to 10,4
if we win we have to pass many tests first one between 13 to 13,2 up to 0,382 (14)
Everyone expects a fail support at 10,4 , so we'll go down to 9 with a new resistence at the second 0,236 ( 11,6 )
Or, but this is impossible, down to 7,8; it was a good support in November so why not.
Is this a Good/Bad/Idiotic analysis ?

Kommentar:

Damn i said impossible but now it' s a reality. Pretty cool !
Now small correction is needed around these days but first we have to go down to 6930 that should be the last bottom with a small retracement of 50% to 8535 and after that we'll see.