Bearish AUD/NZD seasonality

I have a bearish outlook on the AUD/NZD. This a market cycle from Oct 25 - Nov 11, 2021 it has an 88% win in the last 8 years.
I am waiting for a break below my supertrend to take the other half of my trade.

Trade ist aktiv:

I entered the 1st half of my position and as of now, am a bit negative. Tomorrow is the AUD CPI news so we'll se if I get the other half of the position on.