AMAZON | AMZN , Jeff is back?

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While Jeff Bezos, fiancée Lauren Sánchez have star studded engagement party on his 500M yacht Amazon has just reported its Q2 2023 earnings result, EPS of 65 cents is not comparable on YoY basis nor to consensus due to the company booking some gains related to its Rivian Automotive, Inc (RIVN) investment. Revenue of $134.3 billion beat consensus by about 2% while showing a YoY jump by nearly 11%. As an immediate reaction, the stock is up nearly 8% after-hours, although this can turn on a dime.I wrote in my preview that Amazon still remains a revenue story and to pay attention to Q2's actual revenue and Q3's revenue guidance. Amazon hit it out of the park on both counts, with Q2 revenue showing an 11% jump and Q3 guidance of $138 billion to $143 billion, easily upping the consensus of $138.29 billion.

As a direct effect of the company reining in on its expenses, Amazon's Free Cash Flow ("FCF") in Q2 2023 improved to almost $8 billon compared to -$23.5 billion in Q2 2022. Headcount is now down 4% YoY.Advertising, which I've highlighted as the next growth driver in many of my past articles, was up 22% YoY. But, more importantly, resumed its upward trajectory on a quarterly basis. Advertising services revenue showed continuous QoQ improvement until the first blip in Q1 2023. Whether Q2's upsurge is a new trend remains to be seen, but it is encouraging that Q2 did not follow Q1 down. I am also glad that my prediction that advertising will cross $10 billion in sales came true.It appears like retail has finally stopped bleeding profusely to avoid wasting all the gains from AWS and Advertising. In my view, retail is just their medium to sell their ecosystem, and this is acceptable to me.

Heading into earnings, Amazon stock was almost into the oversold territory with a Relative Strength Index ("RSI") of 37. Revenue beat and guidance should help the stock garner more analyst support in the upcoming days, and I fully expect the stock's almost-oversold conditions to be in the stock's favor as it has plenty of room upwards technically. The after-hours move has also helped the stock clear all of the commonly used moving averages.AWS's revenue and operating income appeared to be on a perennial, mid-double-digit growth trajectory until recently. However, Q2 saw AWS' sales increase by "just" 12% while operating income fell by more than 5%. It is in this context that advertising services becomes even more important. While $22 billion is strong, it fell well short of the $25 billion I predicted, as the company aims to cross $100 billion in 2023 AWS revenue.

The stock was already up 50% YTD heading into earnings and the run appears set to continue. I am not complaining as a long, but it shouldn't surprise anyone to see the stock pullback from the highs given the market's shaky behavior the last few days.

Overall, Q2 results are much better than Q1, and that shows in the stock's performance, at least as shown in the after-hours price movement. However, Amazon has never been a single quarter or single year story for me. Amazon's ecosystem is enough reason for me to continue believing in the company long-term. The ability to leverage multiple products and services across the entire organization is not something any company can build overnight. In fact, even Amazon has taken nearly 30 years to be the company that it is today

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Jeff Bezos Sells $4 Billion of Amazon Stock in Four Trading Days
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we hit all targets.
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Amazon hits $2 trillion in valuation on AI fervor, rate cut bets
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jeff bezos just sold $863 million dollars worth of amazon shares today
jeff has now sold over $8.3 billion dollars worth of amazon shares so far this year
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303 out of the 919 hedge funds tracked held stakes in Amazon now, The largest hedge fund investor was Ken Fisher’s Fisher Asset Management, with a stake valued at $7.7 billion.
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Revenue growth is mostly steady; the favorable growth outlook in AWS is balanced a bit by lower growth acceleration in ecommerce due to a weaker consumer environment.

Amazon posted a rare EBIT margin guidance disappointment for Q3 FY24. However, an easing of global container freight rates and internal initiatives to lower cost of sales are margin levers.

After a strong period of earnings-driven growth, I believe structural margin growth can lead to multiple expansion in the stock.

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Amazon experienced an 11% increase in revenue, reaching $158.9 billion—surpassing estimates by $1.6 billion—and achieved a record $17.4 billion in operating profit. Its cloud computing arm, AWS, reported a 19% rise in revenue, aligning with forecasts, and exceeded expectations for operating income, showcasing an 8-point margin improvement to 38%. Both the online retail segment and advertising sales outperformed predictions, reflecting strong growth throughout all divisions.

Cost-cutting measures and more efficient logistics have enabled Amazon to channel substantial investments into tech infrastructure, particularly in AI services. Management provided a positive outlook for Q4, anticipating $18 billion in operating income, beating estimates by $0.5 billion, which helped reassure investors amid continued AI spending.
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