BTC/Gold Power-Law Bands + Quantile OscillatorDescription
This indicator visualizes a set of statistically derived Power-Law bands for the BTC/Gold ratio.
The model is based on a log–log regression of the BTC/Gold ratio over time and a weighted quantile regression that captures the distributional structure of the ratio across several long-term quantiles.
It provides a historical context for where the ratio currently lies relative to these mathematically estimated zones.
This indicator does not perform any new model fitting; it only displays the pre-computed band structure derived from the full historical dataset.
How the model works
This indicator is based on a statistical Power-Law model of the BTC/Gold ratio.
A long-term trend was estimated using a log–log OLS regression, and the deviations from this trend were analyzed through a rolling multi-year volatility measure.
The inverse of this volatility served as the weight for several quantile regression fits, producing robust long-term bands at multiple distribution levels (0.1%, 12.5%, 50%, 80%, 95%, 99.5%).
These quantile curves represent the historical valuation zones of the BTC/Gold ratio.
All final regression coefficients are fixed and embedded into the Pine script, which reconstructs the bands directly on the chart.
The extension of the bands into the future is based solely on the mathematical form of each curve and does not use any future market data.
What the indicator displays
• Six Power-Law quantile bands (0.1%, 12.5%, 50%, 80%, 95%, 99.5%) displayed as stacked colored zones
• BTC/Gold Ratio line
• Future-offset projection curves (mathematical extrapolation of the fitted Power-Laws, not based on future prices)
• Quantile Oscillator: A normalized representation of where the current ratio lies relative to the quantile structure.
How to use it
This indicator is not a timing tool.
It provides a structural, long-term statistical context for the BTC/Gold ratio, showing:
• how extreme a current valuation is relative to long-term history
• where the ratio sits within the Power-Law quantile spectrum
• long-term distribution zones derived from the quantile regressions
• a volatility-weighted representation of historical deviations
It may be useful for long-term cycle studies or ratio-based valuation comparisons, but there is no guarantee that this historical relationship will persist.
Important notes
• This indicator does not repaint.
• All projections are non-predictive mathematical extrapolations.
• This script is designed only for the symbol: BTCUSD/TVC:GOLD (BTC/Gold Ratio)
• It does not provide trading signals, recommendations, or financial advice.
Why closed-source?
The underlying regression model, weighting logic, and quantile estimations were produced externally using Python and constitute the core intellectual component of the study. The Pine version contains only the pre-calculated parameters and the visualization logic.
Regressions
Omega Correlation [OmegaTools]Omega Correlation (Ω CRR) is a cross-asset analytics tool designed to quantify both the strength of the relationship between two instruments and the tendency of one to move ahead of the other. It is intended for traders who work with indices, futures, FX, commodities, equities and ETFs, and who require something more robust than a simple linear correlation line.
The indicator operates in two distinct modes, selected via the “Show” parameter: Correlation and Anticipation. In Correlation mode, the script focuses on how tightly the current chart and the chosen second asset move together. In Anticipation mode, it shifts to a lead–lag perspective and estimates whether the second asset tends to behave as a leader or a follower relative to the symbol on the chart.
In both modes, the core inputs are the chart symbol and a user-selected second symbol. Internally, both assets are transformed into normalized log-returns: the script computes logarithmic returns, removes short-term mean and scales by realized volatility, then clips extreme values. This normalisation allows the tool to compare behaviour across assets with different price levels and volatility profiles.
In Correlation mode, the indicator computes a composite correlation score that typically ranges between –1 and +1. Values near +1 indicate strong and persistent positive co-movement, values near zero indicate an unstable or weak link, and values near –1 indicate a stable anti-correlation regime. The composite score is constructed from three components.
The first component is a normalized return co-movement measure. After transforming both instruments into normalized returns, the script evaluates how similar those returns are bar by bar. When the two assets consistently deliver returns of similar sign and magnitude, this component is high and positive. When they frequently diverge or move in opposite directions, it becomes negative. This captures short-term co-movement in a volatility-adjusted way.
The second component focuses on high–low swing alignment. Rather than looking only at closes, it examines the direction of changes in highs and lows for each bar. If both instruments are printing higher highs and higher lows together, or lower highs and lower lows together, the swing structure is considered aligned. Persistent alignment contributes positively to the correlation score, while repeated mismatches between the swing directions reduce it. This helps differentiate between superficial price noise and structural similarity in trend behaviour.
The third component is a classical Pearson correlation on closing prices, computed over a longer lookback. This serves as a stabilising backbone that summarises general co-movement over a broader window. By combining normalized return co-movement, swing alignment and standard price correlation with calibrated weights, the Correlation mode provides a richer view than a single linear measure, capturing both short-term dynamic interaction and longer-term structural linkage.
In Anticipation mode, Omega Correlation estimates whether the second asset tends to lead or lag the current chart. The output is again a continuous score around the range. Positive values suggest that the second asset is acting more as a leader, with its past moves bearing informative value for subsequent moves of the chart symbol. Negative values indicate that the second asset behaves more like a laggard or follower. Values near zero suggest that no stable lead–lag structure can be identified.
The anticipation score is built from four elements inspired by quantitative lead–lag and price discovery analysis. The first element is a residual lead correlation, conceptually similar to Granger-style logic. The script first measures how much of the chart symbol’s normalized returns can be explained by its own lagged values. It then removes that component and studies the correlation between the residuals and lagged returns of the second asset. If the second asset’s past returns consistently explain what the chart symbol does beyond its own autoregressive behaviour, this residual correlation becomes significantly positive.
The second element is an asymmetric lead–lag structure measure. It compares the strength of relationships in both directions across multiple lags: the correlation of the current symbol with lagged versions of the second asset (candidate leader) versus the correlation of lagged values of the current symbol with the present values of the second asset. If the forward direction (second asset leading the first) is systematically stronger than the backward direction, the structure is skewed toward genuine leadership of the second asset.
The third element is a relative price discovery score, constructed by building a dynamic hedge ratio between the two prices and defining a spread. The indicator looks at how changes in each asset contribute to correcting deviations in this spread over time. When the chart symbol tends to do most of the adjustment while the second asset remains relatively stable, it suggests that the second asset is taking a greater role in determining the equilibrium price and the chart symbol is adjusting to it. The difference in adjustment intensity between the two instruments is summarised into a single score.
The fourth element is a breakout follow-through causality component. The script scans for breakout events on the second asset, where its price breaks out of a recent high or low range while the chart symbol has not yet done so. It then evaluates whether the chart symbol subsequently confirms the breakout direction, remains neutral, or moves against it. Events where the second asset breaks and the first asset later follows in the same direction add positive contribution, while failed or contrarian follow-through reduce this component. The contribution is also lightly modulated by the strength of the breakout, via the underlying normalized return.
The four elements of the Anticipation mode are combined into a single leading correlation score, providing a compact and interpretable measure of whether the second asset currently behaves as an effective early signal for the symbol you trade.
To aid interpretation, Omega Correlation builds dynamic bands around the active series (correlation or anticipation). It estimates a long-term central tendency and a typical deviation around it, plotting upper and lower bands that highlight unusually high or low values relative to recent history. These bands can be used to distinguish routine fluctuations from genuinely extreme regimes.
The script also computes percentile-based levels for the correlation series and uses them to track two special price levels on the main chart: lost correlation levels and gained correlation levels. When the correlation drops below an upper percentile threshold, the current price is stored as a lost correlation level and plotted as a horizontal line. When the correlation rises above a lower percentile threshold, the current price is stored as a gained correlation level. These levels mark zones where a historically strong relationship between the two markets broke down or re-emerged, and can be used to frame divergence, convergence and spread opportunities.
An information panel summarises, in real time, whether the second asset is behaving more as a leading, lagging or independent instrument according to the anticipation score, and suggests whether the current environment is more conducive to de-alignment, re-alignment or classic spread behaviour based on the correlation regime. This makes the tool directly interpretable even for users who are not familiar with all the underlying statistical details.
Typical applications for Omega Correlation include intermarket analysis (for example, index vs index, commodity vs related equity sector, FX vs bonds), dynamic hedge sizing, regime detection for algorithmic strategies, and the identification of lead–lag structures where a macro driver or benchmark can be monitored as an early signal for the instrument actually traded. The indicator can be applied across intraday and higher timeframes, with the understanding that the strength and nature of relationships will differ across horizons.
Omega Correlation is designed as an advanced analytical framework, not as a standalone trading system. Correlation and lead–lag relationships are statistical in nature and can change abruptly, especially around macro events, regime shifts or liquidity shocks. A positive anticipation reading does not guarantee that the second asset will always move first, and a high correlation regime can break without warning. All outputs of this tool should be combined with independent analysis, sound risk management and, when appropriate, backtesting or forward testing on the user’s specific instruments and timeframes.
The intention behind Omega Correlation is to bring techniques inspired by quantitative research, such as normalized return analysis, residual correlation, asymmetric lead–lag structure, price discovery logic and breakout event studies, into an accessible TradingView indicator. It is intended for traders who want a structured, professional way to understand how markets interact and to incorporate that information into their discretionary or systematic decision-making processes.
Multivariate Kalman Filter🙏🏻 I see no1 ever posted an open source Multivariate Kalman filter on TV, so here it is, for you. Tested and mathematically correct implementation, with numerical safeties in place that do not affect the final results at all. That’s the main purpose of this drop, just to make the tool available here. Linear algebra everywhere, Neo would approve 4 sure.
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Personally I haven't found any real use case of it for myself, aside from a very specific one I will explain later, but others usually do…
Almost every1 in the quant industry who uses Kalman is in fact misusing it, because by its real definition, it should be applied to Not the exact known values (e.g as real ticks provided by transparent audited regulated exchange), but “measurements” of those ‘with errors’.
If your measurements don’t have errors or you have real precise data, by its internal formulas Kalman will output the exact inputs. So most who use it come up with some imaginary errors of sorts, like from some kind of imaginary fair price etc. The important easy to miss point, the errors of your measurements have to be symmetric around its mean ‘ at least ’, if errors are biased, Kalman won’t provide.
For most tasks there are better tools, including other state space models , but still Multivariate Kalman is a very powerful instrument, you can make it do all kinds of stuff. Also as a state space model it can also provide confidence & prediction intervals without explicit calculations of dem.
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In this script I included 2 example use cases, the first one is the classic tho perfectly working misuse, the second one is what I do with it:
One
Naive, estimates “hidden” adaptive moving regression endpoint. The result you can see on the chart above. You can imagine that your real datapoints are in fact non perfect measures of some hidden state, and by defining measurement noise and process noise, and by constructing the input matrixes in certain ways, you can express what that state should be.
Two
Upscaling tick lattice, aka modelling prices as if native tick size would’ve been lower. Kinda very specific task, mostly needed in HFT or just for analytical purposes. Some like ZN have huge tick sizes, they are traded a lot but barely do more than 20 ticks range in a session. The idea is to model raw data as AR2 process , learn the phi1 and phi2, make one point forecasts based on dem, and the process noise would be the variance of errors from these forecasts. The measurement noise here is legit, it’s quantization noise based on tick size, no need in olympic gold in mental gymnastics xd
^^ artificially upscaling ZN futures tick lattice
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I really made it available there so You guys can take it and some crazy ish with it, just let state space models abduct your conciseness and never look back
∞
Final_CDVCumulative Delta volume using Heikin-Ashi calculation. I don't own the idea behind it, but I updated the calculation to smoothen the oscillation
ArithmaReg Candles [NeuraAlgo]ArithmaReg Candles
ArimaReg Candles provide a quantitative approach toward the visualization of price by rebuilding each candle using an adaptive regression model. This indicator eliminates much of the noise and micro-spikes and consolidates irregular volatility of raw OHLC data, which typically characterizes candles, into a much cleaner and more stable representation that better reflects the true directional intent of the market.
The algorithm applies a dynamic state-space filter to track the equilibrium price, truePrice, while suppressing high-frequency fluctuations. Noise in the price is extracted by comparing the raw close to the filtered state and removed from the candle body and wick structure through controlled adjustment logic. Finally, a volatility-based spread model rebuilds the candle's range to maintain realistic price geometry.
The direction of trends is given by comparing the truePrice against a smoothing baseline, permitting ArithmaReg Candles to underline the bullish and bearish phases with more clarity and much-reduced distortion. This yields a chart where transitions within trends, pullbacks, and momentum shifts are much easier to comprehend than their representation via traditional candles.
ArithmaReg Candles are designed for traders who require consistent, noise-filtered price structure-ideal for trend analysis, breakout validation, and precision entries. The indicator itself does not generate any signals; it only refines the visual environment so that your existing tools and decision models become more reliable.
How It Works
Micro-Price Extraction
A weighted micro-price is calculated to represent the bar's internal structure and reduce intrabar irregularities.
Adaptive Regression Filter
The state-based regression engine continuously updates price equilibrium, adjusting its confidence level. This gives the filter the ability to remain responsive during strong movements yet be stable during noisy periods.
Noise Removal & Candle Reconstruction
The difference between raw price and truePrice is considered noise. This noise is subtracted from OHLC values, and a volatility-scaled spread restores realistic wick and body proportions. What results is a candle that depicts true directional flow.
Trend Classification
A smoothed trend baseline is computed from the filtered price, and candle color is determined by whether the market is positioned above or below this equilibrium trend.
How to Use It
Identify True Trend Direction
Candles follow the cleaned price path so that you can differentiate valid trend shifts from temporary spikes or wick-driven traps.
Improve Existing Strategies
These candles will complement your existing indicators, be they Supertrend, moving averages, volume tools, or momentum oscillators, by giving you a more sound price basis.
Spot Clean Breakouts & Pullbacks
Reduced noise makes breakout structure, swing highs/lows, and retracements significantly clearer. This is particularly useful in fast markets like crypto and Forex.
Improve Entry & Exit Timing
By highlighting the underlying flow of price, ArithmaReg Candles help traders avoid false signals and pinpoint spots where the price momentum is actually changing.
Adaptable to All Timeframes & Assets
The filter is self-adjusting, so it performs consistently on scalping timeframes, intraday charts, swing setups, and all asset classes. Summary ArithmaReg Candles create a mathematically refined view of market structure by removing noise and reconstructing candles through adaptive regression. The result is a more refined, stable price representation that improves trend recognition and decision-making and enables professional-grade technical analysis.
Sniper BB + VWAP System (with SMT Divergence Arrows)STEP 1: Load two correlated futures charts.
Example: CL + RB/SI+GC/ NQ+ES
STEP 2: Add Bollinger Bands (20, 2.0) on both.
Optional add (20, 3.0).
STEP 3: Watch for a BB tag on one chart but not the other.
STEP 4: Wait for a reclaim candle back inside the band.
STEP 5: Enter with stop below/above the wick + 3.0 BB.
STEP 6: Scale out midline, then opposite band.
STEP 7: Hold partials when both pairs confirm trend.
*You can take the vwap bands off the chart if it is too cluttered.
MagFlow X: @Cissora <--MagFlow Trend is a premium trend model created as a quantitative counterpart to widely used commercial indicators. Its structure draws from exchange-oriented analytical concepts to establish a flexible, noise-resistant framework for directional movement. The design prioritizes clarity, reduced lag, and responsiveness across varying market conditions. Developed from original research and external visual models, MagFlow Trend is engineered to reflect a more mathematically disciplined trend engine.
Universal Scalper Indicator [Crypto/Forex/Gold]Universal Scalper Pro is an all-in-one scalping system designed for the 15-Minute Timeframe. It automates the analysis of trend, volatility, and risk management into a single, high-contrast dashboard.
Unlike standard crossover indicators, this system filters out low-volatility "noise" using a built-in ADX engine and automatically calculates dynamic Stop Loss and Take Profit levels based on market volatility (ATR).
It is engineered to work universally on:
Crypto (BTC, ETH, SOL, Altcoins)
Commodities (Gold, Silver, Oil)
Forex (Major & Minor Pairs)
Stocks (High volume tech stocks like NVDA, TSLA)
📈 How It Works (The Strategy)
1. The Trend Engine (9/21 EMA) The core logic utilizes a Fast (9) and Slow (21) Exponential Moving Average crossover.
Bullish Signal: The 9 EMA crosses above the 21 EMA.
Bearish Signal: The 9 EMA crosses below the 21 EMA. This specific combination is chosen for its responsiveness to 15-minute intraday trends.
2. The Noise Filter (ADX > 15) To prevent "whipsaws" (fake signals during sideways markets), the script includes a Volatility Filter based on the Average Directional Index (ADX).
Signals are rejected if the ADX is below 15.
This ensures you only receive alerts when there is sufficient momentum to sustain a move.
3. Dynamic Risk Management (ATR) The script uses the Average True Range (ATR) to calculate Stop Loss and Take Profit levels that adapt to the specific asset's volatility.
Stop Loss: Placed at 1.5x ATR from the entry. (Tight enough to preserve capital, wide enough to survive standard market noise).
Take Profit: Placed at 2.0x ATR from the entry. (Provides a healthy 1:1.3 Risk/Reward ratio).
🚀 Key Features
Universal Dashboard: A bottom-right panel displays the live Trend Status, Entry Price, Stop Loss, and Take Profit. It automatically formats decimals for any asset (e.g., 2 decimals for Gold, 5 for Forex, 8 for Crypto).
"Sticky" Memory: The dashboard retains the prices of the last valid signal, allowing you to manage your trade even after the signal candle closes.
Trend Cloud: A visual Green/Red zone between the EMAs helps you instantly identify the market bias.
Unified Alerts: A single alert setup ("Any alert() function call") sends the Asset Name, Entry, SL, and TP directly to your phone.
🛠️ How to Use
Timeframe: Set your chart to 15 Minutes (15m).
Wait for the Signal: Look for the "BUY" (Green) or "SELL" (Red) label on the chart.
Check the Dashboard: Ensure the "STATUS" is BULLISH (for buys) or BEARISH (for sells). If the status says "WAIT", do not trade.
Execute: Enter the trade using the exact Stop Loss and Take Profit levels shown on the dashboard.
⚠️ Risk Disclaimer
Trading financial markets involves high risk and may not be suitable for all investors. This indicator is a technical analysis tool and does not constitute financial advice. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always practice with a demo account before trading real capital.
Total Returns indicator by PtahXPtahX Total Returns – True Total-Return View for Any Symbol
Most charts only show price. This script shows what your position actually did once you include dividends and, optionally, inflation.
What this indicator does
1. Builds a Total Return series
You choose how dividends are treated:
* Reinvest (default): All gross dividends are automatically reinvested into more shares on the ex-dividend bar.
* Cash: Dividends are kept as cash added on top of your initial position.
* Ignore: Price only, like a regular chart.
This answers: “If I bought once at the start and held, how much would that position be worth now, given this dividend policy?”
2. Optional inflation-adjusted (real) returns
You can also plot a real total-return line, which adjusts for inflation using a CPI series.
This answers: “How did my purchasing power change after inflation?”
3. Stats window and exponential trendline
You can pick the time window:
* Since inception (full available history)
* YTD
* Last 1 Year
* Last 5 Years
* Custom start date
For that window, the script:
* Normalizes Total Return to 1.0 at the window start.
* Fits an exponential trendline (pink) to the normalized series.
* Displays a stats table in the bottom-right showing:
• Overall Return (%) over the selected range
• CAGR (compound annual growth rate, % per year)
• Trendline growth (% per year)
• R² of the trendline (fit quality)
• A separate “Since inception” block (overall return and CAGR from the first bar on the chart)
How to use it
1. Add the indicator to your chart.
2. Open the settings:
Total Return & Dividends
* Dividend mode
• Reinvest: closest to a true total-return curve (default).
• Cash: price plus cash dividends.
• Ignore: price only.
* Plot inflation-adjusted TR line
• Turn this on if you want to see a real (CPI-adjusted) total-return line.
Inflation / Real Returns
* Inflation country code and field code
• Leave defaults if you just want a standard CPI series.
* Use real TR for stats & trendline
• On: stats and trendline use the inflation-adjusted curve.
• Off: stats use the nominal (non-adjusted) total return.
Stats Range & Trendline
* Stats range: Since inception, YTD, 1 Year, 5 Years, or Custom date.
* Custom date: set year, month, and day if you choose “Custom date”.
* Plot TR exponential trendline: show or hide the pink curve.
* Show stats table / Show Overall Return / Show Trendline stats: toggle what appears in the table.
3. Zoom and change timeframe as usual. The stats range is based on calendar time (YTD, 1Y, 5Y, etc.), not bar count, so the numbers stay meaningful as you change resolutions.
How to read the outputs
* Teal line: Nominal Total Return (using your chosen dividend mode).
* Orange line (if enabled): Real (inflation-adjusted) Total Return.
* Pink line (if enabled): Exponential trendline for the selected stats window.
On the right edge, small labels show the latest value of each active line.
In the bottom-right stats table:
* Overall Return: total percentage gain or loss over the chosen stats range.
* CAGR: the smoothed annual rate that would turn 1.0 into the current value over that range.
* Exponential Trendline: the average trendline growth per year and the R².
• R² near 1 means prices follow a clean exponential path.
• Lower R² means more noise or sideways movement around the trend.
* Range: which window those stats apply to (YTD, 1Y, 5Y, etc.).
* Since inception: overall return and CAGR from the first bar on the chart up to the latest bar, independent of the current stats range.
Use this when you want to compare true performance, not just price – especially for dividend-heavy ETFs, funds, and income strategies.
Donchian Predictive Channel (Zeiierman)█ Overview
Donchian Predictive Channel (Zeiierman) extends the classic Donchian framework into a predictive structure. It does not just track where the range has been; it projects where the Donchian mid, high, and low boundaries are statistically likely to move based on recent directional bias and volatility regime.
By quantifying the linear drift of the Donchian midline and the expansion or compression rate of the Donchian range, the indicator generates a forward propagation cone that reflects the prevailing trend and volatility state. This produces a cleaner, more analytically grounded projection of future price corridors, and it remains fully aligned with the signal precision of the underlying Donchian logic.
█ How It Works
⚪ Donchian Core
The script first computes a standard Donchian Channel over a configurable Length:
Upper Band (dcHi) – highest high over the lookback.
Lower Band (dcLo) – lowest low over the lookback.
Midline (dcMd) – simple midpoint of upper and lower: (dcHi + dcLo)/ 2.
f_getDonchian(length) =>
hi = ta.highest(high, length)
lo = ta.lowest(low, length)
md = (hi + lo) * 0.5
= f_getDonchian(lenDC)
⚪ Slope Estimation & Range Dynamics
To turn the Donchian Channel into a predictive model, the script measures how both the midline and the range are changing over time:
Midline Slope (mSl) – derived from a 1-bar difference in linear regression of the midline.
Range Slope (rSl) – derived from a 1-bar difference in linear regression of the Donchian range (dcHi − dcLo).
This pair describes both directional drift (uptrend vs. downtrend) and range expansion/compression (volatility regime).
f_getSlopes(midLine, rngVal, length) =>
mSl = ta.linreg(midLine, length, 0) - ta.linreg(midLine, length, 1)
rSl = ta.linreg(rngVal, length, 0) - ta.linreg(rngVal, length, 1)
⚪ Forward Projection Engine
At the last bar, the indicator constructs a set of forward points for the mid, upper, and lower projections over Forecast Bars:
The midline is projected linearly using the midline slope per bar.
The range is adjusted using the range slope per bar, creating either a widening cone (expansion) or a tightening cone (compression).
Upper and lower projections are then anchored around the projected midline, with logic that keeps the structure consistent and prevents pathological flips when slope changes sign.
f_generatePoints(hi0, md0, lo0, steps, midSlp, rngSlp) =>
upPts = array.new()
mdPts = array.new()
dnPts = array.new()
fillPts = array.new()
hi_vals = array.new_float()
md_vals = array.new_float()
lo_vals = array.new_float()
curHiLocal = hi0
curLoLocal = lo0
curMidLocal = md0
segBars = math.floor(steps / 3)
segBars := segBars < 1 ? 1 : segBars
for b = 0 to steps
mdProj = md0 + midSlp * b
prevRange = curHiLocal - curLoLocal
rngProj = prevRange + rngSlp * b
hiTemp = 0.0
loTemp = 0.0
if midSlp >= 0
hiTemp := math.max(curHiLocal, mdProj + rngProj * 0.5)
loTemp := math.max(curLoLocal, mdProj - rngProj * 0.5)
else
hiTemp := math.min(curHiLocal, mdProj + rngProj * 0.5)
loTemp := math.min(curLoLocal, mdProj - rngProj * 0.5)
hiProj = hiTemp < mdProj ? curHiLocal : hiTemp
loProj = loTemp > mdProj ? curLoLocal : loTemp
if b % segBars == 0
curHiLocal := hiProj
curLoLocal := loProj
curMidLocal := mdProj
array.push(hi_vals, curHiLocal)
array.push(md_vals, curMidLocal)
array.push(lo_vals, curLoLocal)
array.push(upPts, chart.point.from_index(bar_index + b, curHiLocal))
array.push(mdPts, chart.point.from_index(bar_index + b, curMidLocal))
array.push(dnPts, chart.point.from_index(bar_index + b, curLoLocal))
ptSet.new(upPts, mdPts, dnPts)
⚪ Rejection Signals
The script also tracks failed Donchian breakouts and marks them as potential reversal/reversion cues:
Signal Down: Triggered when price makes an attempt above the upper Donchian band but then pulls back inside and closes above the midline, provided enough bars have passed since the last signal.
Signal Up: Triggered when price makes an attempt below the lower Donchian band but then snaps back inside and closes below the midline, also requiring sufficient spacing from the previous signal.
// Base signal conditions (unfiltered)
bearCond = high < dcHi and high >= dcHi and close > dcMd and bar_index - lastMarker >= lenDC
bullCond = low > dcLo and low <= dcLo and close < dcMd and bar_index - lastMarker >= lenDC
// Apply MA filter if enabled
if signalfilter
bearCond := bearCond and close < ma // Bearish only below MA
bullCond := bullCond and close > ma // Bullish only above MA
signalUp := false
signalDn := false
if bearCond
lastMarker := bar_index
signalDn := true
if bullCond
lastMarker := bar_index
signalUp := true
█ How to Use
The Donchian Predictive Channel is designed to outline possible future price trajectories. Treat it as a directional guide, not a fixed prediction tool.
⚪ Map Future Support & Resistance
Use the projected upper and lower paths as dynamic future reference levels:
Projected upper band ≈ is likely a resistance corridor if the current trend and volatility persist.
Projected lower band ≈ likely support corridor or expected downside range.
⚪ Trend Path & Volatility Cone
Because the projection is driven by midline and range slopes, the channel behaves like a trend + volatility cone:
Steep positive midline slope + expanding range → accelerating, high-volatility trend.
Flat midline + compressing range → coiling/contracting regime ahead of potential expansion.
This helps you distinguish between a gentle drift and an aggressive move that likely needs more risk buffer.
⚪ Reversion & Rejection Signals
The Donchian-based signals are especially useful for mean-reversion and fade-style trades.
A Signal Down near the upper band can mark a failed breakout and a potential rotation back toward the midline or the lower projected band.
A Signal Up near the lower band can flag a failed breakdown and a potential snap-back up the channel.
When Filter Signals is enabled, these signals are only generated when they align with the chart’s directional bias as defined by the moving average. Bullish signals are allowed only when the price is above the MA, and bearish signals only when the price is below it.
This reduces noise and helps ensure that reversions occur in harmony with the prevailing trend environment.
█ Settings
Length – Donchian lookback length. Higher values produce a smoother channel with fewer but more stable signals. Lower values make the channel more reactive and increase sensitivity at the cost of more noise.
Forecast Bars – Number of bars used for projecting the Donchian channel forward.
Higher values create a broader, longer-term projection. Lower values focus on short-horizon price path scenarios.
Filter Signals – Enables directional filtering of Donchian signals using the selected moving average. When ON, bullish signals only trigger when the price is above the MA, and bearish signals only trigger when the price is below it. This helps reduce noise and aligns reversions with the broader trend context.
Moving Average Type – The type of moving average used for signal filtering and optional plotting.
Choose between SMA, EMA, WMA, or HMA depending on desired responsiveness. Faster averages (EMA, HMA) react quickly, while slower ones (SMA, WMA) smooth out short-term noise.
Moving Average Length – Lookback length of the moving average. Higher values create a slower, more stable trend filter. Lower values track price more tightly and can flip the directional bias more frequently.
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Disclaimer
The content provided in my scripts, indicators, ideas, algorithms, and systems is for educational and informational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice, investment recommendations, or a solicitation to buy or sell any financial instruments. I will not accept liability for any loss or damage, including without limitation any loss of profit, which may arise directly or indirectly from the use of or reliance on such information.
All investments involve risk, and the past performance of a security, industry, sector, market, financial product, trading strategy, backtest, or individual's trading does not guarantee future results or returns. Investors are fully responsible for any investment decisions they make. Such decisions should be based solely on an evaluation of their financial circumstances, investment objectives, risk tolerance, and liquidity needs.
MOMO Exhaustion Short Signal Strategy v6 alexh1166Prints Short Signals for Exhausted Momentum stocks primed for reversals
Raymond Swing Day [Qanexra] - The Multi-Timeframe Level PlannerThe Raymond Swing Day indicator is the essential final piece of the Qanexra trading suite. While RaymondTrending confirms momentum and RaymondRatio filters noise, this tool provides the critical price levels necessary to execute trades with precision.
It automatically calculates and plots Fibonacci Pivot Points across various timeframes, transforming static price action into a dynamic roadmap for the trading day or week.
Why Use Pivot Points? Pivot Points are foundational tools, acting as gravitational price levels where supply and demand are expected to meet or reverse. They are crucial for setting:
Entry Zones
Stop-Loss (Invalidation)
Take-Profit Targets
Core Features & Calculation:
Advanced Fibonacci Pivots: Calculates the central , three Resistance , and three Support levels using the widely respected Fibonacci formula.
Flexible Timeframe Engine: Choose a major anchor timeframe (Daily, Weekly, Monthly, etc.) or set it to Auto for adaptive level calculation.
Multi-Layer Overlay: Simultaneously view price levels from up to three different timeframes (e.g., Daily, overlaid with 120m/H2, and 30m/M30 levels) to identify areas of confluence—the strongest decision zones.
Clear Trading Interpretation: Each level comes with a label indicating its suggested use:
Look for Entry: The central decision point.
Bullish/Bearish Try to Extend: The initial boundary for a directional move.
Bullish/Bearish Take Profit: Common targets for intraday or swing moves.
Aggressive Bullish/Bearish: Extreme levels for high-volatility moves or max extension targets.
Integration with the Qanexra Suite: Combine Raymond Swing Day levels with:
RaymondTrending confirmation of momentum.
RaymondRatio filter for noise avoidance.
When your volatility indicators confirm a breakout, the Raymond Swing Day levels tell you exactly where to enter and where to target your exit.
Relative Performance Areas [LuxAlgo]The Relative Performance Areas tool enables traders to analyze the relative performance of any asset against a user-selected benchmark directly on the chart, session by session.
The tool features three display modes for rescaled benchmark prices, as well as a statistics panel providing relevant information about overperforming and underperforming streaks.
🔶 USAGE
Usage is straightforward. Each session is highlighted with an area displaying the asset price range. By default, a green background is displayed when the asset outperforms the benchmark for the session. A red background is displayed if the asset underperforms the benchmark.
The benchmark is displayed as a green or red line. An extended price area is displayed when the benchmark exceeds the asset price and is set to SPX by default, but traders can choose any ticker from the settings panel.
Using benchmarks to compare performance is a common practice in trading and investing. Using indexes such as the S&P 500 (SPX) or the NASDAQ 100 (NDX) to measure our portfolio's performance provides a clear indication of whether our returns are above or below the broad market.
As the previous chart shows, if we have a long position in the NASDAQ 100 and buy an ETF like QQQ, we can clearly see how this position performs against BTSUSD and GOLD in each session.
Over the last 15 sessions, the NASDAQ 100 outperformed the BTSUSD in eight sessions and the GOLD in six sessions. Conversely, it underperformed the BTCUSD in seven sessions and the GOLD in nine sessions.
🔹 Display Mode
The display mode options in the Settings panel determine how benchmark performance is calculated. There are three display modes for the benchmark:
Net Returns: Uses the raw net returns of the benchmark from the start of the session.
Rescaled Returns: Uses the benchmark net returns multiplied by the ratio of the benchmark net returns standard deviation to the asset net returns standard deviation.
Standardized Returns: Uses the z-score of the benchmark returns multiplied by the standard deviation of the asset returns.
Comparing net returns between an asset and a benchmark provides traders with a broad view of relative performance and is straightforward.
When traders want a better comparison, they can use rescaled returns. This option scales the benchmark performance using the asset's volatility, providing a fairer comparison.
Standardized returns are the most sophisticated approach. They calculate the z-score of the benchmark returns to determine how many standard deviations they are from the mean. Then, they scale that number using the asset volatility, which is measured by the asset returns standard deviation.
As the chart above shows, different display modes produce different results. All of these methods are useful for making comparisons and accounting for different factors.
🔹 Dashboard
The statistics dashboard is a great addition that allows traders to gain a deep understanding of the relationship between assets and benchmarks.
First, we have raw data on overperforming and underperforming sessions. This shows how many sessions the asset performance at the end of the session was above or below the benchmark.
Next, we have the streaks statistics. We define a streak as two or more consecutive sessions where the asset overperformed or underperformed the benchmark.
Here, we have the number of winning and losing streaks (winning means overperforming and losing means underperforming), the median duration of each streak in sessions, the mode (the number of sessions that occurs most frequently), and the percentages of streaks with durations equal to or greater than three, four, five, and six sessions.
As the image shows, these statistics are useful for traders to better understand the relative behavior of different assets.
🔶 SETTINGS
Benchmark: Benchmark for comparison
Display Mode: Choose how to display the benchmark; Net Returns: Uses the raw net returns of the benchmark. Rescaled Returns: Uses the benchmark net returns multiplied by the ratio of the benchmark and asset standard deviations. Standardized Returns: Uses the benchmark z-score multiplied by the asset standard deviation.
🔹 Dashboard
Dashboard: Enable or disable the dashboard.
Position: Select the location of the dashboard.
Size: Select the dashboard size.
🔹 Style
Overperforming: Enable or disable displaying overperforming sessions and choose a color.
Underperforming: Enable or disable displaying underperforming sessions and choose a color.
Benchmark: Enable or disable displaying the benchmark and choose colors.
Bitcoin vs M2 Global Liquidity (Lead 3M) - Table Ticker═══════════════════════════════════════════════════════════════
Bitcoin vs M2 Global Liquidity - Regression Indicator
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TECHNICAL SPECS
• Pine Script v6
• Overlay: false (separate pane)
• Data sources: 5 M2 series + 4 FX pairs (request.security)
• Calculation: Rolling OLS linear regression with configurable lead
• Output: Regression line + ±1σ/±2σ confidence bands + R² ticker
CORE FUNCTIONALITY
Aggregates M2 money supply from 5 central banks (CN, US, EU, JP, GB),
converts to USD, applies time-lead, runs rolling linear regression
vs Bitcoin price, plots predicted value with confidence intervals.
CONFIGURABLE PARAMETERS
Input Controls:
• Lead Period: 0-365 days (default: 90)
• Lookback Window: 50-2000 bars (default: 750)
• Bands: Toggle ±1σ and ±2σ visibility
• Colors: BTC, M2, regression line, confidence zones
• Ticker: Position, size, colors, transparency
Advanced Settings:
• Table display: R², lead, M2 total, country breakdown (%)
• Ticker customization: 9 position options, 6 text sizes
• Border: Width 0-10px, color, outline-only mode
DATA AGGREGATION
Sources (via request.security):
• ECONOMICS:CNM2, USM2, EUM2, JPM2, GBM2
• FX_IDC:CNYUSD, JPYUSD (others: FX:EURUSD, GBPUSD)
• Conversion: All M2 → USD → Sum / 1e12 (trillions)
REGRESSION ENGINE
• Arrays: m2Array, btcArray (dynamic sizing, auto-trim)
• Window: Rolling (lookbackPeriod bars)
• Lead: Time-shift via array indexing (i + leadPeriodDays)
• Calc: Manual OLS (covariance/variance), no built-in ta functions
• Outputs: slope, intercept, r2, stdResiduals
CONFIDENCE BANDS
±1σ and ±2σ calculated from standard deviation of residuals.
Fill zones between upper/lower bounds with configurable transparency.
ALERTS
5 pre-configured alertcondition():
• Divergence > 15%
• Price crosses ±1σ bands (up/down)
• Price crosses ±2σ bands (up/down)
TICKER TABLE
Dynamic table.new() with 9 rows:
• R² value (4 decimals)
• Lead period (days + months)
• M2 Global total (trillions USD)
• Country breakdown: CN, US, EU, JP, GB (absolute + %)
• Optional: Hide/show M2 details
VISUAL CUSTOMIZATION
All plot() elements support:
• Color picker inputs (group="Couleurs")
• Line width: 1-3px
• Transparency: 0-100% for zones
• Offset: M2 plot has +leadPeriodDays offset option
PERFORMANCE
• Max arrays size: lookbackPeriod + leadPeriodDays + 200
• Calculations: Only when array.size >= lookbackPeriod + leadPeriodDays
• Table update: barstate.islast (once per bar)
• Request.security: gaps_off mode
CODE STRUCTURE
1. Inputs (lines 7-54)
2. Data fetch (lines 56-76)
3. M2 aggregation (line 78)
4. Array management (lines 84-95)
5. Regression calc (lines 97-172)
6. Prediction + bands (lines 174-183)
7. Plots (lines 185-199)
8. Ticker table (lines 201-236)
9. Alerts (lines 238-246)
DEPENDENCIES
None. Pure Pine Script v6. No external libraries.
LIMITATIONS
• Daily timeframe recommended (1D)
• Requires 750+ bars history for optimal calculation
• M2 data availability: TradingView ECONOMICS feed
• Max lines: 500 (declared in indicator())
CUSTOMIZATION EXAMPLES
• Shorter lookback (200d): More reactive, lower R²
• Longer lookback (1500d): More stable, regime mixing
• No bands: Set showBands=false for clean view
• Different lead: Test 60d, 120d for sensitivity analysis
TECHNICAL NOTES
• Manual OLS implementation (no ta.linreg)
• Array-based lead application (not plot offset)
• M2 values stored in trillions (/ 1e12) for readability
• Residuals array cleared/rebuilt each calculation
OPEN SOURCE
Code fully visible. Modify, fork, analyze freely.
No hidden calculations. No proprietary data.
VERSION
1.0 | November 2025 | Pine Script v6
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Smart Trend Signal with Bands [wjdtks255]Indicator Description for TradingView
Title: Adaptive Trend Kernel
Description:
The "Adaptive Trend Kernel " is a versatile trend-following and volatility indicator designed to help traders identify dynamic market trends, potential reversals, and price extremes within a channel. Built upon a customized linear regression model, this indicator provides clear visual cues to enhance your trading decisions.
Key Features:
Regression Line: A central dynamic line representing the core trend direction, calculated based on a user-defined "Regression Length."
Regression Bands: Standard deviation-based bands plotted around the Regression Line, which act like a dynamic channel. These bands expand and contract with market volatility, indicating potential overbought/oversold conditions relative to the trend.
Trend Reversal Signals: Distinct "Up" (green triangle up) and "Down" (red triangle down) signals are generated when the price (close) crosses over or under the Regression Line. These signals suggest potential shifts in the short-term trend direction.
Visual Customization: Highly flexible input options for adjusting line colors, band colors, line width, and panel opacity. Users can toggle the visibility of bands and trend labels to suit their chart preferences.
Panel Label: A subtle "Regression" label is dynamically positioned, offering clear context without cluttering the main chart.
How it Works: The indicator calculates a linear regression line as the adaptive center of the price movement. Standard deviation is then used to create upper and lower bands, encapsulating typical price fluctuations. Signals are fired when price breaks out of the regression line, suggesting a momentum shift in line with the established trend or a potential reversal.
Trading Methods & Strategies
Here are some trading strategies you can apply using the "Adaptive Trend Kernel " indicator:
Trend-Following with Confirmation:
Long Entry: Look for an "Up" signal (green triangle up) when the price is above the Regression Line, especially after a brief retracement towards the line. This confirms that the uptrend is likely resuming.
Short Entry: Look for a "Down" signal (red triangle down) when the price is below the Regression Line, especially after a brief rally towards the line. This confirms that the downtrend is likely resuming.
Exit Strategy: Consider exiting if an opposite signal appears, or if the price closes outside the opposite band, indicating potential overextension or reversal.
Reversal / Counter-Trend Play:
Long Entry (Aggressive): When the price approaches or briefly dips below the Lower Regression Band and then generates an "Up" signal (green triangle up). This could indicate a potential bounce from an oversold condition relative to the trend.
Short Entry (Aggressive): When the price approaches or briefly moves above the Upper Regression Band and then generates a "Down" signal (red triangle down). This could indicate a potential pullback from an overbought condition relative to the trend.
Confirmation: This strategy works best when combined with other reversal confirmation patterns (e.g., bullish/bearish engulfing candlesticks) or divergences in other momentum indicators (like RSI).
Volatility Breakout:
Entry (Long): After a period of low volatility where the Regression Bands are narrow, observe if the price decisively breaks above the Upper Regression Band and an "Up" signal appears. This suggests a strong bullish momentum breakout.
Entry (Short): After a period of low volatility where the Regression Bands are narrow, observe if the price decisively breaks below the Lower Regression Band and a "Down" signal appears. This suggests a strong bearish momentum breakdown.
Management: Volatility breakouts can be swift; use appropriate risk management and profit-taking strategies.
Important Considerations:
Risk Management: Always apply proper stop-loss and take-profit levels. No indicator is infallible.
Timeframe Sensitivity: Adjust the "Regression Length" and "Band Multiplier" according to the asset and timeframe you are trading. Shorter lengths might suit scalping, while longer lengths are better for swing trading.
Confirmation with Other Tools: For higher conviction trades, use this indicator in conjunction with other technical analysis tools such like volume, MACD, or RSI on an oscillator pane.
Backtesting: Always backtest any strategy on historical data to understand its performance characteristics before live trading.
Bitcoin AHR999 Indicator
AHR999 Indicator
The AHR999 Indicator is created by a Weibo user named ahr999. It assists Bitcoin investors in making investment decisions based on a timing strategy. This indicator implies the short-term returns of Bitcoin accumulation and the deviation of Bitcoin price from its expected valuation.
When the AHR999 index is < 0.45 , it indicates a buying opportunity at a low price.
When the AHR999 index is between 0.45 and 1.2 , it is suitable for regular investment.
When the AHR999 index is > 1.2 , it suggests that the coin price is relatively high and not suitable for trading.
In the long term, Bitcoin price exhibits a positive correlation with block height. By utilizing the advantage of regular investment, users can control their short-term investment costs, keeping them mostly below the Bitcoin price.
Jace's Raff ChannelJust a basic, no-frills, Raff Regression channel. You can adjust the regression length and provide a starting point offset.
STEVEN Breakout VWAP (M1/M5/M15)This strategy combines breakout detection, VWAP confirmation, and ATR-based risk management to identify high-probability trading setups.
It automatically generates Long and Short entries when price action breaks key levels and aligns with VWAP direction, providing clear visual signals and automated backtesting capability.
🔍 How It Works
Breakout Detection:
The script identifies when price breaks above recent highs or below recent lows (based on the last 10 candles).
VWAP Confirmation:
A Long signal is generated when price breaks above resistance and stays above VWAP.
A Short signal is generated when price breaks below support and stays below VWAP.
ATR-based Stop Loss & Take Profit:
Stop Loss = 1× ATR (adjustable).
Take Profit = 1.5× risk (Risk/Reward 1:1.5).
Both are calculated dynamically at signal time.
Backtesting Ready:
Fully compatible with TradingView’s Strategy Tester, allowing users to analyze performance, win rate, and profit factors automatically.
🧩 Visual Features
Green triangles below the bars → Long signal.
Red triangles above the bars → Short signal.
Orange VWAP line → confirms trend direction.
⚙️ Inputs
ATR Length and Multiplier
VWAP Display toggle
Stop Loss and Risk/Reward settings
Signal marker size
Lorentzian Length Adaptive Moving Average [LLAMA] Adaptation of "Machine Learning: Lorentzian Classification" by
Gradient color by base on work by
LLAMA: A regime-aware adaptive moving average that bends with the market.
Start with a problem traders know:
Traditional moving averages are either too slow (EMA200) or too fast (EMA9)
Adaptive MAs exist, but they often hug price too tightly or smooth too much, failing to balance bias and tactics
LLAMA uses a Lorentzian distance function to adapt its length dynamically. Instead of a fixed smoothing window, it stretches or contracts depending on market conditions. This distortion reduces lag while still providing a clear bias line.
The indicator looks back at recent bars and measures how similar they are using a Lorentzian distance (a log‑scaled absolute difference). It keeps track of the “nearest neighbors” — bars that most resemble the current regime. Each neighbor carries a label (long, short, neutral) based on simple price comparisons. By averaging these labels, LLAMA predicts whether the market is leaning bullish or bearish. That prediction is then mapped into a dynamic length between and .
Bullish bias -> length stretches toward max (smoother, more stable).
Bearish bias -> length contracts toward min (snappier, more reactive).
During breakouts, LLAMA tightens and comes into contact with bars, giving actionable signals. During chop, it stretches to avoid false triggers. It covers both ends of the spectrum (bias and tactics) in one line, something static MA's can't do.
Think of LLAMA as a lens that bends with the market:
Wide lens (max length) for big picture bias.
Narrow lens (min length) for tactical precision.
The "Lorentzian Loop" is the math that decides when to widen or narrow.
Gold𝑺𝒀𝑵𝑪🟡 Gold𝑺𝒀𝑵𝑪 - BTC follows GOLD
Gold𝑺𝒀𝑵𝑪 is a quantitative projection tool that visualizes how Bitcoin (BTC/USD) would perform if it mirrored the recent price behavior of Gold (XAU/USD).
It extends Gold’s last n days of normalized performance forward on the BTC chart and builds a volatility-adjusted projection corridor.
⚙️ Core Mechanics
Projection Engine:
Calculates Gold’s relative performance over the selected lookback window and applies it to BTC’s last closing price.
Volatility Scaling:
Computes the rolling standard deviation of Gold’s logarithmic returns to estimate the potential deviation range.
Dynamic Gradient Bands:
Three upper and lower standard deviation layers (1σ, 2σ, 3σ) are drawn using fading gradient fills to visualize increasing uncertainty.
Scenario Labels:
Displays key levels for:
𝑩𝑼𝑳𝑳𝑪𝑨𝑺𝑬 — +2σ projection
𝑬𝑿𝑷𝑬𝑪𝑻𝑬𝑫 — mean projection
𝑩𝑬𝑨𝑹𝑪𝑨𝑺𝑬 — −2σ projection
📈 Usage
Designed for 1D charts (daily timeframe).
Provides a comparative “sync” between Gold and Bitcoin to study cross-asset momentum, volatility symmetry, and directional bias.
Useful in macro correlation analysis or when modeling BTC’s potential movement under Gold-like conditions.
🧠 Interpretation
Gold𝑺𝒀𝑵𝑪 doesn’t predict - it synchronizes.
It offers a contextual view of BTC’s potential path if it followed Gold’s rhythm, enhanced by statistically derived volatility zones.
Created by: @SP_Quant
Credits: BitAura
Session H/L + Mid + Quarters — Live EvolvingSession High and Low with quarter lines for stop progressions with lines projected back X days
R Dominante by Mata (CRT Madre + CRT Interior)Dominant Range (Green + Red + Outstanding Lines)
This script automatically identifies the dominant parent candle (CRT – Candle Range Theory) and draws its range with a green box. It also allows you to create independent red parent candles that function autonomously.
Main Features:
Main Green Box: Represents the dominant parent candle, following the actual CRT:
It is activated and remains active while the price reaches the extremes.
It is only invalidated if there is a close outside the range.
It is automatically deactivated when it reaches both extremes (high and low).
Independent Red Box: Detects ranges independent of the green box and is deactivated when both extremes are reached.
Fully Automatic: No manual range adjustments required.
Configuration: Adjust the transparency of the boxes and the maximum number of bars to review.
Recommended Use:
Ideal for traders who apply Candle Range Theory (CRT).
Allows for clear identification of dominant and secondary ranges.
Useful for determining touch points of extremes and planning strategic entries and exits.
CME GapThe win rate is 99%, but the stoploss is uncertain
you will loss all your money in one failure
