Markov Chain Regime & Next‑Bar Probability Forecast✨ What it is
A regime-aware, math-driven panel that forecasts the odds for the very next candle. It shows:
• P(next r > 0)
• P(next r > +θ)
• P(next r < −θ)
• A 4-bucket split of next-bar outcomes (>+θ | 0..+θ | −θ..0 | <−θ)
• Next-regime probabilities: Calm | Neutral | Volatile
🧠 Why the math is strong
• Markov regimes: Markets cluster in volatility “moods.” We learn a 3-state regime S∈{Calm, Neutral, Volatile} with a transition matrix A, where A = P(Sₜ₊₁=j | Sₜ=i).
• Condition on the future state: We estimate event odds given the next regime j—
q_pos(j)=P(rₜ₊₁>0 | Sₜ₊₁=j), q_gt(j)=P(rₜ₊₁>+θ | Sₜ₊₁=j), q_lt(j)=P(rₜ₊₁<−θ | Sₜ₊₁=j)—
and mix them with transitions from the current (or frozen) state sNow:
P(event) = Σⱼ A · q(event | j).
This mixture-of-regimes view (HMM-style one-step prediction) ties next-bar outcomes to where volatility is likely headed.
• Statistical hygiene: Laplace/Beta smoothing, minimum-sample gating, and unconditional fallbacks keep estimates stable. Heavy computations run on confirmed bars; “Freeze at close” avoids intrabar flicker.
📊 What each value means
• Regime label & background: 🟩 Calm, 🟧 Neutral, 🟥 Volatile — quick read of market context.
• P(next r > 0): Directional tilt for the very next bar.
• P(next r > +θ): Odds of an outsized positive move beyond θ.
• P(next r < −θ): Odds of an outsized negative move beyond −θ.
• Partition row: Distributes next-bar probability across four intuitive buckets; they ≈ sum to 100%.
• Next Regime Probs: Likelihood of switching to Calm/Neutral/Volatile on the next bar (row of A for the current/frozen state).
• Samples row: How many next-bar samples support each next-state estimate (a confidence cue).
• Smoothing α: The Laplace prior used to stabilize binary event rates.
⚙️ Inputs you control
• Returns: Log (default) or %
• Include Volume (z-score) + lookback
• Include Range (HL/PrevClose)
• Rolling window N (transitions & estimates)
• θ as percent (e.g., 0.5%)
• Freeze forecast at last close (recommended)
• Display toggles (plots, partition, samples)
🎯 How to use it
• Volatility awareness & sizing: Rising P(next regime = Volatile) → consider smaller size, wider stops, or skipping marginal entries.
• Breakout preparation: Elevated P(next r > +θ) highlights environments where range expansion is more likely; pair with your setup/trigger.
• Defense for mean-reversion: If P(next r < −θ) lifts while you’re late long (or P(next r > +θ) lifts while late short), tighten risk or wait for better context.
• Calibration tip: Start θ near your market’s typical bar size; adjust until “>+θ” flags truly meaningful moves for your timeframe.
📝 Method notes & limits
Activity features (|r|, volume z, range) are standardized; only positive z’s feed the composite activity score. Estimates adapt to instrument/timeframe; rare regimes or small windows increase variance (hence smoothing, sample gating, fallbacks). This is a context/forecast tool, not a standalone signal—combine with your entry/exit rules and risk management.
🧩 Strategies too
We also develop full strategy versions that use these probabilities for entries, filters, and position sizing. Like this publication if you’d like us to release the strategy edition next.
⚠️ Disclaimer
Educational use only. Not financial advice. Markets involve risk. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Indikatoren und Strategien
Volume Profile and Indicator by Daniel KatzensteinAfter 10 years of trading, I decided to make an indicator that suits me better for market analysis.
BTS by Ichan Aristain• Breakout Trading System
Adaptive buy/sell engine tuned for crypto that blends EMAs, Ichimoku cloud context, breakout/consolidation filters, momentum checks, and volume validation. It auto-detects symbol
class (BTC, majors, alts, DeFi, small caps) and adjusts the logic accordingly. On the chart you see clean BUY/SELL tags, optional TP ideas, and peak/floor markers; support/resistance
price-action dots keep the view tidy.
Breakout helpers, consolidation and momentum pings, peak/floor updates, and TP suggestions all drive alert hooks so you can automate entries, exits, or take-profit workflows. A
bottom-right dashboard tracks buy/sell win counts (TP hits) and overall hit rate so you always know how the strategy is performing. Toggle the visual layers you need via the “Trade
Visuals” inputs to match your workflow—from scalping to higher-timeframe swing trading.
Breakout Trading System• Breakout Trading System
Adaptive buy/sell engine tuned for crypto that blends EMAs, Ichimoku cloud context, breakout/consolidation filters, momentum checks, and volume validation. It auto-detects symbol
class (BTC, majors, alts, DeFi, small caps) and adjusts the logic accordingly. On the chart you see clean BUY/SELL tags, optional TP ideas, and peak/floor markers; support/resistance
price-action dots keep the view tidy.
Breakout helpers, consolidation and momentum pings, peak/floor updates, and TP suggestions all drive alert hooks so you can automate entries, exits, or take-profit workflows. A
bottom-right dashboard tracks buy/sell win counts (TP hits) and overall hit rate so you always know how the strategy is performing. Toggle the visual layers you need via the “Trade
Visuals” inputs to match your workflow—from scalping to higher-timeframe swing trading.
Volume Profile and Indicator by Daniel KatzensteinAfter 10 years of trading, I decided to make an indicator that suits me better for market analysis.
WOW Intraday Tracker by Dev🎯 WOW Intraday Tracker: Professional Trade Execution & R/R Analysis
The WOW Intraday Tracker (V1.30 Final) is an advanced, invite-only tool built for disciplined intraday trading. It transforms market signals into a fully managed trade, providing both real-time execution confidence and objective performance review.
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✨ Core Execution Features
The Tracker automates the most critical aspects of trade management:
Automatic Entry Trigger: The script uses a proprietary multi-factor scoring system to identify high-probability setups. Once a trade signal is validated and its Score meets the Activation Threshold (which is visible in the Running Trade Table), the entry order (Long or Short) is automatically triggered and monitored.
Trade Grade Qualification: Crucially, every setup is assigned a Trade Grade (A+, A, or B) before entry, based on structural confluence, allowing traders to qualify the setup quality instantly.
Initial SL & Multiple Targets (TGTs): All trades are established with risk-defined parameters from the start.
Initial Stop-Loss (SL): Automatically calculated based on user-defined ATR Multiples to align risk with current volatility.
Multiple Take-Targets (TGTs): Two distinct target levels (TGT1 and TGT2) are set based on user-defined R-Multiples (Risk-to-Reward ratios) to facilitate a partial profit-taking strategy.
Dynamic Trailing & Stop Adjustment: As the trade progresses, the script automatically manages risk, adjusting the stop-loss upon TGT hits to lock in profit.
Signal Cancellation Feature: To protect capital, the script actively monitors the signal's health. If the internal trade score drops below the configurable Cancellation Threshold before entry, the pending order is automatically invalidated and cleared.
⚖️ Trade Exit and Weighted R/R Assumptions
The script's primary function is to track and calculate a Weighted Risk-to-Reward (R/R) based on a predetermined exit plan:
Target 1 (T1): 30% of the original position. Stop is adjusted to protect profits.
Target 2 (T2): Another 30% of the original position. Trailing Stop begins based on a volatility factor.
Final Exit: Rest 40% of the original position. Exited when the Trailing Stop is hit.
Important Note: The Trailing Stop is tracked on a closing basis within the script. While you can choose to exit the trade manually on a hit basis or book profits based on your personal judgment, the script's final Weighted R/R calculation is based on the assumption that the position exits as detailed above.
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📊 Global R/R Tracker Table (Performance by Grade)
This powerful feature provides objective, actionable data for trade review. It continuously tallies your performance, broken down by the quality (Grade) of the trade setup.
The table tracks performance for A+, A, and B grade setups, plus a TOTAL row, based on your chosen lookback (Full History or Day Start)
By separating performance by Grade, you gain a clear, evidence-based understanding of which setups truly deserve your capital and focus.
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🎨 Advanced Customization & Styling
The WOW Intraday Tracker offers extensive control over the look and feel of your workspace to ensure maximum clarity and minimal chart clutter.
Table Positioning: Freely select the on-chart location (Top Right, Bottom Left, etc.) for all three tables.
Theming: Customize the background and text colors for all tables, including the dynamic green/red backgrounds of the Global R/R Tracker.
Plot Lines: Full color control over all plotted trade lines: PDH/PDL, Entry Price, Initial Stop, Trailing Stop, and Targets.
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⏱️ Usage & Recommended Timeframes
The WOW Intraday Tracker is primarily designed and optimized for high-frequency, short-term intraday trading.
Recommended Timeframes: For optimal performance, we recommend using the script on lower-to-mid-range intraday timeframes: 5-minute, 15-minute, and 25 (or 30) minutes.
Intended Use: While the script can be applied to higher timeframes, its main purpose is to capture volatility and quick moves within the trading day.
Swing Trading: In rare instances, the tracker may generate signals suitable for a short-term swing trade (1-2 days), but this is secondary to its core intraday function.
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🔑 Access Note
The WOW Intraday Tracker utilizes proprietary logic within its scoring system and is published as an invite-only script. The source code is protected to maintain the integrity and value of the intellectual property.
To inquire about access, please contact the author directly via TradingView Private Message on this profile.
(5m) EMA Cross + RSI + Stoch + ATR Strategy Psammodromus1979Indicators
EMA4
EMA9
EMA20
EMA50
RSI
STOCHASTIC
ATR
With buy/sell indicators directly on main chart
It worked for me when waited for retracement on EMA50
Didn't work when on accumulation.
MACD Alekhine V1MACD Alekhine V1 هو مؤشر احترافي متعدد الأطر الزمنية ، ويجسد الدقة الإستراتيجية في قراءة حركة السوق.
يُوحّد هذا المؤشر عدة نماذج من الـ MACD داخل نظام واحد لتقديم رؤية أوضح لقوة الزخم واتجاه السعر.
المكونات الرئيسـية
MACD القياسي (12-26-9) لرصد الزخم العام.
MACD السريع (5-13-1) لمتابعة التسارع اللحظي.
منطق ألوان MACD Color لتوضيح التحولات في الاتجاه بصريًا.
جدول القوة متعدد الأطر (MTF Table) لعرض قوة الاتجاه على الفريمات 4H / 1H / 30m / 15m / 10m / 5m / 3m.
الميزات
نظام MACD مزدوج للرؤية الطبقية لحركة السوق.
ألوان ديناميكية تفاعلية مع الزخم.
جدول قوة موحّد بين الأطر الزمنية.
إعدادات مرنة للألوان، الشفافية، وحجم الجدول، مع توافق كامل للأجهزة المحمولة.
المراجع
MACD Color — كمصدر مجاني مفتوح للمنطق اللوني.
MACD 12-26-9 القياسي.
MACD 5-13-1 السريع.
جميع عمليات الدمج والتعديل البرمجي تمت يدويًا من قِبل الناشر.
إخلاء مسؤولية هذا المؤشر مخصص لأغراض التحليل الفني والتعليم فقط،
ولا يُعتبر توصية بيع أو شراء أو استثمار مالي.
يُنصح المستخدم بالاعتماد على تحليله الخاص قبل اتخاذ قرارات التداول.
يتوافق هذا المؤشر مع سياسات النشر وحماية الملكية الفكرية في TradingView.
♟️ MACD Alekhine V1 — Multi-Timeframe Momentum System
📈 Concept & Structure
MACD Alekhine V1 is a professional multi-timeframe momentum indicator , symbolizing precision, strategy, and calculated movement.
This tool merges multiple MACD models into a single, cohesive framework for high-clarity momentum and trend visualization.
It integrates:
Standard MACD (12-26-9) for core momentum and trend strength visualization.
Fast MACD (5-13-1) for short-term acceleration tracking.
MACD Color logic as a visual reference for histogram and signal-line color dynamics.
Compact MTF Strength Table for normalized trend strength across multiple timeframes: 4H, 1H, 30m, 15m, 10m, 5m, and 3m.
⚙️ Key Features
Dual MACD System: Combines slow and fast MACD models for layered market insight.
Adaptive Color Logic: Derived from MACD Color, providing clear visual differentiation between rising and weakening trends.
Normalized Strength Table: Multi-timeframe heatmap that measures standardized MACD momentum strength.
Customizable Interface: Adjust histogram opacity, table position and size, color palette, and overall scaling — optimized for mobile users.
🧩 References
Conceptually based on:
MACD Color (for histogram & signal logic).
MACD 12-26-9 (standard model).
MACD 5-13-1 (fast-momentum model).
All implementations and integrations are custom-coded by the author.
⚠️ Disclaimer
This indicator is designed for analytical and educational use only.
It does not constitute financial advice or a trading recommendation.
Users should conduct independent verification before making any investment or trading decision.
This script fully complies with TradingView’s publishing and content policies.
---
🏷️ Suggested Publishing Details
Title: MACD Alekhine V1 — Multi-Timeframe Momentum System
Short Description:
Dual-MACD system with adaptive color logic and compact MTF strength matrix.
Tags: macd, momentum, multi-timeframe, trend, strength, color
DANIEl KATZENSTEINDANIEL KATZENSTEIN- After 10 years of trading, I decided to make an indicator that suits me better for market analysis.
MACD PRO 5-13-1 + MTFMACD Alekhine V1 هو مؤشر احترافي متعدد الأطر الزمنية ، ويجسد الدقة الإستراتيجية في قراءة حركة السوق.
يُوحّد هذا المؤشر عدة نماذج من الـ MACD داخل نظام واحد لتقديم رؤية أوضح لقوة الزخم واتجاه السعر.
المكونات الرئيسـية
MACD القياسي (12-26-9) لرصد الزخم العام.
MACD السريع (5-13-1) لمتابعة التسارع اللحظي.
منطق ألوان MACD Color لتوضيح التحولات في الاتجاه بصريًا.
جدول القوة متعدد الأطر (MTF Table) لعرض قوة الاتجاه على الفريمات 4H / 1H / 30m / 15m / 10m / 5m / 3m.
الميزات
نظام MACD مزدوج للرؤية الطبقية لحركة السوق.
ألوان ديناميكية تفاعلية مع الزخم.
جدول قوة موحّد بين الأطر الزمنية.
إعدادات مرنة للألوان، الشفافية، وحجم الجدول، مع توافق كامل للأجهزة المحمولة.
المراجع
MACD Color — كمصدر مجاني مفتوح للمنطق اللوني.
MACD 12-26-9 القياسي.
MACD 5-13-1 السريع.
جميع عمليات الدمج والتعديل البرمجي تمت يدويًا من قِبل الناشر.
إخلاء مسؤولية هذا المؤشر مخصص لأغراض التحليل الفني والتعليم فقط،
ولا يُعتبر توصية بيع أو شراء أو استثمار مالي.
يُنصح المستخدم بالاعتماد على تحليله الخاص قبل اتخاذ قرارات التداول.
يتوافق هذا المؤشر مع سياسات النشر وحماية الملكية الفكرية في TradingView.
♟️ MACD Alekhine V1 — Multi-Timeframe Momentum System
📈 Concept & Structure
MACD Alekhine V1 is a professional multi-timeframe momentum indicator , symbolizing precision, strategy, and calculated movement.
This tool merges multiple MACD models into a single, cohesive framework for high-clarity momentum and trend visualization.
It integrates:
Standard MACD (12-26-9) for core momentum and trend strength visualization.
Fast MACD (5-13-1) for short-term acceleration tracking.
MACD Color logic as a visual reference for histogram and signal-line color dynamics.
Compact MTF Strength Table for normalized trend strength across multiple timeframes: 4H, 1H, 30m, 15m, 10m, 5m, and 3m.
⚙️ Key Features
Dual MACD System: Combines slow and fast MACD models for layered market insight.
Adaptive Color Logic: Derived from MACD Color, providing clear visual differentiation between rising and weakening trends.
Normalized Strength Table: Multi-timeframe heatmap that measures standardized MACD momentum strength.
Customizable Interface: Adjust histogram opacity, table position and size, color palette, and overall scaling — optimized for mobile users.
🧩 References
Conceptually based on:
MACD Color (for histogram & signal logic).
MACD 12-26-9 (standard model).
MACD 5-13-1 (fast-momentum model).
All implementations and integrations are custom-coded by the author.
⚠️ Disclaimer
This indicator is designed for analytical and educational use only.
It does not constitute financial advice or a trading recommendation.
Users should conduct independent verification before making any investment or trading decision.
This script fully complies with TradingView’s publishing and content policies.
---
🏷️ Suggested Publishing Details
Title: MACD Alekhine V1 — Multi-Timeframe Momentum System
Short Description:
Dual-MACD system with adaptive color logic and compact MTF strength matrix.
Tags: macd, momentum, multi-timeframe, trend, strength, color
EMA+SuperThis comprehensive indicator combines multiple powerful trend-following tools into a single chart overlay, designed for traders seeking clear entry and exit signals with market context.
Features:
Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs): Five EMAs (9, 21, 50, 100, 200) plotted for multi-timeframe trend analysis and dynamic support/resistance.
Supertrend: Classic volatility-based trend indicator highlighting bullish and bearish phases with dynamic colored bands.
NovaWave Cloud: Custom trend cloud created using fast and slow EMAs plus a signal moving average for visualizing market momentum shifts.
Displaced Moving Averages (20, 50, 200 DMA): Simple moving averages with optional displacement to assess lagged trend confirmation and cyclical ranges.
Buy/Sell Signal Labels: Automated labels show “BUY” when the 9 EMA crosses above the 21 EMA, and “SELL” when the 9 EMA crosses below the 21 EMA, providing timely entry/exit cues.
Intended Use:
Perfect for swing and position traders, this indicator combines trend confirmation and actionable signals to help identify sustained price moves in various markets. It works well on multiple timeframes, offering a clear visual framework for market direction and trading decisions.
How to Use:
Look for BUY labels for potential long entry opportunities when momentum shifts bullish.
Look for SELL labels as potential exit or short signals when a bearish momentum crossover occurs.
Use the overlaying EMAs, Supertrend, and cloud as additional confirmation for trend strength and timing.
This all-in-one tool is ideal for traders who want a unified view of trend dynamics combined with simple, clear signals without needing multiple separate indicators.
Feel free to modify or expand based on your style. Let me know if you want a shorter summary or technical details added!
Bollinger Bands ±3σ (No Fill, Paired Colors)±３σまで１つのインジケーターで表示できるシンプルなボリンジャーバンドです。
A simple Bollinger Bands indicator that can display up to ±3σ within a single script.
phx_liq_tlLibrary "phx_liq_tl"
new_state()
update(st, len, cup, cdn, space, proximity_pct, shs)
Parameters:
st (LTState)
len (int)
cup (color)
cdn (color)
space (float)
proximity_pct (float)
shs (bool)
LTState
Fields:
upln (array)
dnln (array)
upBroken (series bool)
dnBroken (series bool)
EMA50 Pullback + Re-entry Candle ColorModification of candle color, break or pullback so we can know about the confirmation candle and make decision whether we can entry or not
VNREAL-ExVG (ex VHM, VRE, IDC) — rebased=100 — no-arraysVNREAL-ExVG (ex VHM, VRE, IDC) — rebased=100 — no-arrays
phx_kroLibrary "phx_kro"
compute(src, bandwidth, bbwidth, sdLook, sdMult, obos_mult)
Parameters:
src (float)
bandwidth (int)
bbwidth (float)
sdLook (int)
sdMult (float)
obos_mult (float)
start_flags(src, bandwidth, bbwidth)
Parameters:
src (float)
bandwidth (int)
bbwidth (float)
KROFeed
Fields:
Wave (series float)
is_green (series bool)
is_red (series bool)
band_width (series float)
band_width_sma (series float)
band_width_std (series float)
is_hyper_wide (series bool)
wave_sma (series float)
wave_std (series float)
wave_ob_threshold (series float)
wave_os_threshold (series float)
is_overbought (series bool)
is_oversold (series bool)
is_oversold_confirmed (series bool)
is_overbought_confirmed (series bool)
enhanced_os_confirmed (series bool)
enhanced_ob_confirmed (series bool)
triple_green_transition (series bool)
triple_red_transition (series bool)
startwave_bull (series bool)
startwave_bear (series bool)
Wilder's ADX/DIワイルダー氏が作ったトレンドの強弱を計るインジケーターです。証券会社のものは微妙に計算式が違うため、ワイルダー氏のオリジナルの計算式で作りました。
It’s an indicator created by Mr. Wilder to measure the strength of a trend.
Since the calculation formulas used by brokerage firms vary slightly, this version is built using Mr. Wilder’s original formula.
Standard Deviation VolatilityThe Standard Deviation (StDev) measures the volatility or dispersion of price from its historical average. Higher values suggest greater price fluctuation and potentially a trending market. Lower values indicate lower volatility, often found during consolidation or ranging markets.
標準偏差（Standard Deviation）は、価格の過去の平均からの**ばらつき（ボラティリティ）**を測る指標です。値が高いほど価格変動が激しく、トレンド相場であることを示唆します。値が低いほど、レンジ相場または保ち合いであることを示します。
SPYDER ORBITSPYDER ORBIT is an adaptation of the original Kaiser Windowed Sinc Moving Average by The_Peaceful_Lizard.
This version adds the dynamic standard deviation bands with the precision of a Kaiser windowed sinc filter for ultra-smooth, low-lag trend extraction — ideal for identifying dominant directional bias while minimizing market noise.
Around this smoothed orbit, SPYDER ORBIT adds multi-level deviation envelopes (1σ, 2σ, 3σ) to visualize volatility expansion and contraction zones. These act like adaptive shells, helping identify exhaustion, breakout volatility, and mean-reversion opportunities.
Credits:
Sinc MA © The_Peaceful_Lizard
Daily Vertical LineThis indicator draws vertical lines at a specific time each day, helping you visualize important intraday levels or session opens/closes.
Features:
Customizable time in EST timezone (hour and minute inputs)
Adjustable line color, width, and style (solid, dashed, or dotted)
Automatically draws lines for all historical days
Projects one line into the future for the next occurrence
Works on all intraday timeframes. Future line appears as semi-transparent and dashed to distinguish from historical data.
