Editor's PicksOPEN-SOURCE SCRIPT

Earnings Price Move Cheat Sheet [KT]

Aktualisiert
Hello!
This script looks to distinguish replicable sequences and correlations between earnings releases and price. The indicator calculates the average 1-session to 20-session performance of an asset prior to an earnings release, and the 1-session to 20-session performance of an asset subsequent an earnings release.

You can select the number of sessions the script calculates for asset performance.

Snapshot

In the image above the script calculates the average 1-session performance following an earnings surprise, earnings miss, and in general. 20 sessions is the maximum value!

Also measured is the average performance of an asset before and after earnings, in addition to the average performance following an earnings surprise "green earnings" and the average performance following an earnings miss "red earnings".

I included VaR and CVaR calculations - using the historical method - in the script. For those of you unfamiliar with the metrics, both look to quantify the risk of financial loss for a portfolio, or even a particular position.

The script also calculates the 1st - 5th percentile for earnings losses. A more comprehensive explanation of the metrics is stored in tooltips in the user input tab.

The script also calculates the highest high and lowest low following an earnings release, up to 20 sessions, and calculates the difference between the two.

Keep in mind that a company might not have a significant number of earnings misses, or may have only traded publicly for a short while. If true, the resulting earnings/price calculations *will* be misleading - there is an insufficient sample size; no correlations are ascertainable.

I will be working on this script more, so let me know if there is anything you would like included!

Versionshinweise
Fixed a label size issue
Versionshinweise
Got a bit creative with plots - added a diamond line to help visualize the VaR price level and the corresponding CVaR price level.

Snapshot
Versionshinweise
Improved VaR and CVaR plot
Versionshinweise
Snapshot

Made use of Pine's new table.merge_cells feature to spice up the table!

Included an option to plot VaR and CVaR lines across all historical price data.
Versionshinweise
Color additions
Versionshinweise
Included fundamental ratios/statistics. These labels, and accompanying lines, can be hidden in the user inputs tab!
Versionshinweise
Snapshot
Versionshinweise
Snapshot

Added a few volume measures
Versionshinweise
Added more fundamental statistics. There is an options to hide the blue labels in the user input tab
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Snapshot

Added calculations for Q1, Q2, Q3, and Q4 earnings releases.
Versionshinweise
Fixed a dashed line
Versionshinweise
Added some cool features in the top right corner of the chart!

Fiscal quarters are highlighted during the period, in addition to a description - "surprise" or "miss" - of the company's earnings performance during that quarter.
Versionshinweise
Added earnings actual and earnings estimate number in the top right.
Versionshinweise
The script will now stamp the year/month/day that earnings occur!
Versionshinweise
Worked on aesthetics - a checkmark appear when a company exceeds earnings estimates; an "X" appears when a company underperforms estimates.
Versionshinweise
Included additional volume measures for ER sessions, and sessions within close proximity of ER sessions, which can be adjusted in the user input tab!
Versionshinweise
Compliant with memory calculation changes
Earnings

Open-source Skript

Ganz im Sinne von TradingView hat dieser Autor sein/ihr Script als Open-Source veröffentlicht. Auf diese Weise können nun das Script auch andere Trader verstehen und prüfen. Vielen Dank an den Autor! Sie können das Script kostenlos verwenden. Die Nutzung dieses Codes in einer Veröffentlichung wird in unseren Hausregeln reguliert. Sie können es als Favoriten auswählen, um es in einem Chart zu verwenden.

Möchten Sie dieses Skript auf einem Chart verwenden?


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