Dumb Money Flow - Retail Panic & FOMO

# Dumb Money Flow (DMF) - Retail Panic & FOMO
## 🌊 Overview
**Dumb Money Flow (DMF)** is a powerful **contrarian indicator** designed to track the emotional state of the retail "herd." It identifies moments of extreme **Panic** (irrational selling) and **FOMO** (irrational buying) by analyzing on-chain data, volume anomalies, and price velocity.
In crypto markets, retail traders often buy the top (FOMO) and sell the bottom (Panic). This indicator helps you do the opposite: **Buy when the herd is fearful, and Sell when the herd is greedy.**
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## 🧠 How It Works
The indicator combines multiple data points into a single **Sentiment Index** (0-100), normalized over a 90-day period to ensure it always uses the full range of the chart.
### 1. Panic Index (Bearish Sentiment)
Tracks signs of capitulation and fear. High values contribute to the **Panic Zone**.
* **Exchange Inflows:** Spikes in funds moving to exchanges (preparing to sell).
* **Volume Spikes:** High volume during price drops (panic selling).
* **Price Crash (ROC):** Rapid, emotional price drops over 3 days.
* **Volatility (ATR):** High market nervousness and instability.
### 2. FOMO Index (Bullish Sentiment)
Tracks signs of euphoria and greed. High values contribute to the **FOMO Zone**.
* **Exchange Outflows:** Funds moving to cold storage (HODLing/Greed).
* **Profitable Addresses:** When >90% of holders are in profit, tops often form.
* **Parabolic Rise:** Rapid, unsustainable price increases.
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## 🎨 Visual Guide
The indicator uses a distinct color scheme to highlight extremes:
* **🟢 Dark Green Zone (> 80): Extreme FOMO**
* **Meaning:** The crowd is euphoric. Risk of a correction is high.
* **Action:** Consider taking profits or looking for short entries.
* **🔴 Dark Burgundy Zone (< 20): Extreme Panic**
* **Meaning:** The crowd is capitulating. Prices may be oversold.
* **Action:** Look for buying opportunities (catching the knife with confirmation).
* **🔵 Light Blue Line:**
* The smoothed moving average of the sentiment, helpful for seeing the trend direction.
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## 🛠️ How to Use (Trading Strategies)
### 1. Contrarian Reversals (The Primary Strategy)
* **Buy Signal:** Wait for the line to drop deep into the **Burgundy Panic Zone (< 20)** and then start curling up. This indicates that the worst of the selling pressure is over.
* **Sell Signal:** Wait for the line to spike into the **Green FOMO Zone (> 80)** and then start curling down. This suggests buying exhaustion.
### 2. Divergences
* **Bullish Divergence:** Price makes a **Lower Low**, but the DMF Indicator makes a **Higher Low** (less panic on the second drop). This is a strong reversal signal.
* **Bearish Divergence:** Price makes a **Higher High**, but the DMF Indicator makes a **Lower High** (less FOMO/buying power on the second peak).
### 3. Trend Confirmation (Midline Cross)
* **Crossing 50 Up:** Sentiment is shifting from Fear to Greed (Bullish).
* **Crossing 50 Down:** Sentiment is shifting from Greed to Fear (Bearish).
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## ⚙️ Settings
* **Data Source:** Defaults to `INTOTHEBLOCK` for on-chain data.
* **Crypto Asset:** Auto-detects BTC/ETH, but can be forced.
* **Normalization Period:** Default 90 days. Determines the "window" for defining what is considered "Extreme" relative to recent history.
* **Weights:** You can customize how much each factor (Volume, Inflows, Price) contributes to the index.
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**Disclaimer:** This indicator is for educational purposes only. "Dumb Money" analysis is a probability tool, not a crystal ball. Always manage your risk.

**Indicator by:** iCD_creator
**Version:** 1.0
**Pine Script™ Version:** 6
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## Updates & Support
For questions, suggestions, or bug reports, please comment below or message the author.
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