btc and the trend continuation

duo to my look to usd index as it will have a huge down move coming this week . btc may visit this resistance at 40000

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i will be glad if we made some team work
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if that fail the next buy will be around 22000 as shown in the chart

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i tade it with a very close s.l at 28500 cuz it have a flag pattern in the 1h frame
if it completed means breaking the trend line and retsting the support at 22000.
if not we will have a huge profit with a small risk.
and target still 40000