The VX Explosion is Just Beginning
Here's a 4hr chart for VX. We can see VX just broke out above a major downtrend dating back to highs in October of 2023. So far, VX has stalled at the April highs around 22.50. I have a few scenarios I am planning for, but it's really all about this major downtrend breakout and some key horizontal support and resistance levels for me.
BTC is looking rough along with the weekend dow, but we'll see how futures open later this evening and it can of course completely change by the time NYSE opens in the morning. If VX continues above the April high on Monday, I'll be looking for it to hold on any retests, if it can't do that, bulls may have some relief.
Next area above is an important low dating back to September of 2023 at 26. I'd expect VX to fail there at least briefly, and that could be the top for this run as well. If it does not stop there, I think we can almost confirm that a new major leg has started, but for not it is still on the edge in my opinion. Looking rough though.
If VX fails to break above April highs tomorrow, maybe bulls will see some relief and we might have a short squeeze. I'm currently bearish as can be as many of you know, but VX is everything. If VX does not sustain this move, this dump will be short lived.
BTC is looking rough along with the weekend dow, but we'll see how futures open later this evening and it can of course completely change by the time NYSE opens in the morning. If VX continues above the April high on Monday, I'll be looking for it to hold on any retests, if it can't do that, bulls may have some relief.
Next area above is an important low dating back to September of 2023 at 26. I'd expect VX to fail there at least briefly, and that could be the top for this run as well. If it does not stop there, I think we can almost confirm that a new major leg has started, but for not it is still on the edge in my opinion. Looking rough though.
If VX fails to break above April highs tomorrow, maybe bulls will see some relief and we might have a short squeeze. I'm currently bearish as can be as many of you know, but VX is everything. If VX does not sustain this move, this dump will be short lived.
Short Thesis:
advancedplays.com/short-thesis.pdf
Disclaimer:
The ideas I post do not always represent my positions and they are intended for educational purposes. Trading is risky, most traders lose money!
advancedplays.com/short-thesis.pdf
Disclaimer:
The ideas I post do not always represent my positions and they are intended for educational purposes. Trading is risky, most traders lose money!
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